Liberty
W-L: (26- 8) PR = 96.5169Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 1103 A KYCHR 98-57 1107 A Charlotte AME (39-26, 95.9) 90-75 1109 A Florida Atl AME (18-14, 96.1) 88-68 1117 A CARUN 98-46 1124 A Vermont AE (22-12, 94.8) 79-73 1125 H Towson CA (19-15, 95.5) 69-72 1126 H Bradley MV (23-12, 96.1) 64-74 1206 A Coppin St MEAC C ( 7-24, 93.0) 92-50 1210 H NC State ACC (20-14, 97.6) 45-85 1216 A MIDWA 95-57 1220 A Dayton A10 (24-12, 96.9) 64-61 1228 A Florida Int CUSA (15-17, 95.2) 97-94 102 A Kennesaw St CUSA (20-14, 95.7) 81-73 104 A Jacksonv St CUSA (15-17, 95.0) 78-69 108 A La Tech CUSA (20-13, 95.5) 72-56 110 A Sam Houston CUSA (22-12, 96.1) 82-74 115 A NM St CUSA (16-16, 95.3) 73-71 117 A TX-El Paso CUSA (11-20, 94.7) 80-69 121 A We Kentucky CUSA (18-14, 95.7) 76-69 124 A Delaware CUSA (10-21, 94.6) 67-51 129 A Middle Tenn CUSA (16-16, 95.4) 81-65 204 A Delaware CUSA (10-21, 94.6) 75-69 207 A Missouri St CUSA (17-17, 95.3) 79-76 211 A NM St CUSA (16-16, 95.3) 77-75 214 A TX-El Paso CUSA (11-20, 94.7) 73-64 219 A Florida Int CUSA (15-17, 95.2) 90-89 221 H We Kentucky CUSA (18-14, 95.7) 73-94 226 H Kennesaw St CUSA (20-14, 95.7) 65-74 228 A Jacksonv St CUSA (15-17, 95.0) 81-78 305 H La Tech CUSA (20-13, 95.5) 71-76 307 A Sam Houston CUSA (22-12, 96.1) 79-72 311 H Missouri St CUSA (17-17, 95.3) 69-77 317 A George Mason A10 (23-10, 96.6) 77-71 321 H Nevada MW (24-13, 96.9) 63-73
PREDICTION LIST
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|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1107 A Charlotte 90-75 15 1 1.40
1109 A Florida Atl 88-68 20 0 1.58
1124 A Vermont 79-73 6 2 0.27
1125 H Towson 69-72 -3 1 - -3.04
1126 H Bradley 64-74 -10 0 - -2.41
1206 A Coppin St 92-50 42 4 0.00
1210 H NC State 45-85 -40 -1 -0.93
1220 A Dayton 64-61 3 0 + 2.44
1228 A Florida Int 97-94 3 1 0.71
102 A Kennesaw St 81-73 8 1 1.21
104 A Jacksonv St 78-69 9 1 0.51
108 A La Tech 72-56 16 1 1.02
110 A Sam Houston 82-74 8 0 1.61
115 A NM St 73-71 2 1 0.83
117 A TX-El Paso 80-69 11 2 0.19
121 A We Kentucky 76-69 7 1 1.16
124 A Delaware 67-51 16 2 0.14
129 A Middle Tenn 81-65 16 1 0.93
204 A Delaware 75-69 6 2 0.14
207 A Missouri St 79-76 3 1 0.79
211 A NM St 77-75 2 1 0.83
214 A TX-El Paso 73-64 9 2 0.19
219 A Florida Int 90-89 1 1 -0.29
221 H We Kentucky 73-94 -21 1 - -2.86
226 H Kennesaw St 65-74 -9 1 - -2.81
228 A Jacksonv St 81-78 3 1 0.51
305 H La Tech 71-76 -5 1 - -3.00
307 A Sam Houston 79-72 7 0 1.61
311 H Missouri St 69-77 -8 1 - -3.23
317 A George Mason 77-71 6 0 + 2.08
321 H Nevada 63-73 -10 0 -1.59
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1125 H Towson 69-72 -3 1 - -3.04 1126 H Bradley 64-74 -10 0 - -2.41 221 H We Kentucky 73-94 -21 1 - -2.86 226 H Kennesaw St 65-74 -9 1 - -2.81 305 H La Tech 71-76 -5 1 - -3.00 311 H Missouri St 69-77 -8 1 - -3.23 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1220 A Dayton 64-61 3 0 + 2.44 317 A George Mason 77-71 6 0 + 2.08 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 33.01
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A Charlotte (39-26, 95.9) 90-75 -4.00 3.48 0.01 1.06 7.43
3 A Florida Atl (18-14, 96.1) 88-68 -3.82 3.66 0.01 1.06 7.82
3 A Vermont (22-12, 94.8) 79-73 -5.12 2.36 0.01 1.06 5.04
3 H Towson (19-15, 95.5) 69-72 -4.42 3.06 -0.01 1.06 -2.36
3 H Bradley (23-12, 96.1) 64-74 -3.79 3.69 -0.01 1.06 -2.02
3 A Coppin St ( 7-24, 93.0) 92-50 -6.94 1.00 0.01 1.06 2.15
3 H NC State (20-14, 97.6) 45-85 -2.30 5.17 -0.01 1.06 -1.23
3 A Dayton (24-12, 96.9) 64-61 -2.95 4.52 0.01 1.06 9.66
3 A Florida Int (15-17, 95.2) 97-94 -4.68 2.80 0.01 1.06 5.98
3 A Kennesaw St (20-14, 95.7) 81-73 -4.18 3.29 0.01 1.06 7.03
3 A Jacksonv St (15-17, 95.0) 78-69 -4.89 2.59 0.01 1.06 5.54
3 A La Tech (20-13, 95.5) 72-56 -4.37 3.11 0.01 1.06 6.64
3 A Sam Houston (22-12, 96.1) 82-74 -3.78 3.70 0.01 1.06 7.89
3 A NM St (16-16, 95.3) 73-71 -4.57 2.91 0.01 1.06 6.22
3 A TX-El Paso (11-20, 94.7) 80-69 -5.20 2.28 0.01 1.06 4.87
3 A We Kentucky (18-14, 95.7) 76-69 -4.23 3.24 0.01 1.06 6.93
3 A Delaware (10-21, 94.6) 67-51 -5.25 2.22 0.01 1.06 4.76
3 A Middle Tenn (16-16, 95.4) 81-65 -4.46 3.02 0.01 1.06 6.45
3 A Delaware (10-21, 94.6) 75-69 -5.25 2.22 0.01 1.06 4.76
3 A Missouri St (17-17, 95.3) 79-76 -4.61 2.87 0.01 1.06 6.13
3 A NM St (16-16, 95.3) 77-75 -4.57 2.91 0.01 1.06 6.22
3 A TX-El Paso (11-20, 94.7) 73-64 -5.20 2.28 0.01 1.06 4.87
3 A Florida Int (15-17, 95.2) 90-89 -4.68 2.80 0.01 1.06 5.98
3 H We Kentucky (18-14, 95.7) 73-94 -4.23 3.24 -0.01 1.06 -2.26
3 H Kennesaw St (20-14, 95.7) 65-74 -4.18 3.29 -0.01 1.06 -2.23
3 A Jacksonv St (15-17, 95.0) 81-78 -4.89 2.59 0.01 1.06 5.54
3 H La Tech (20-13, 95.5) 71-76 -4.37 3.11 -0.01 1.06 -2.33
3 A Sam Houston (22-12, 96.1) 79-72 -3.78 3.70 0.01 1.06 7.89
3 H Missouri St (17-17, 95.3) 69-77 -4.61 2.87 -0.01 1.06 -2.46
3 A George Mason (23-10, 96.6) 77-71 -3.31 4.16 0.01 1.06 8.89
3 H Nevada (24-13, 96.9) 63-73 -2.96 4.51 -0.01 1.06 -1.58
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128.20
|
winning pts = 144.6758 losing points = -16.4750
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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