LIU 
W-L: (24-11) PR = 95.2021
Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score
1103 H Notre D (13-18, 96.6) 67-89
1106 A IUI HL ( 6-24, 93.5) 94-90
1111 A Air Force MW ( 3-29, 94.0) 76-72
1115 A Jam Madison SB J (18-15, 95.3) 88-79
1120 H Fordham A10 (17-15, 95.4) 53-69
1122 H Illinois B10 (28- 9, 98.7) 58-98
1124 A Missouri St CUSA (17-17, 95.3) 75-61
1202 H Winthrop BSO (23-12, 95.6) 92-94
1206 A Lehigh PAT L (19-17, 94.4) 87-82
1213 A La Salle A10 ( 9-23, 95.0) 70-60
1216 H Miss St SEC M (13-19, 96.7) 83-87
1220 H Florida Int CUSA (15-17, 95.2) 79-86
1229 H Georgia SEC (23-11, 97.8) 74-89
102 A Ce Connecticut NE C (18-13, 94.3) 84-78
104 A Chicago St NE C ( 7-25, 93.2) 74-55
108 A Mercyhurst NE M (17-18, 94.0) 60-58
110 A St Francis NE S ( 7-24, 92.9) 67-63
117 A FDU NE (11-21, 93.3) 66-59
119 H Le Moyne NE L (15-17, 94.1) 77-83
123 A Stonehill NE S (12-21, 93.4) 66-63
129 A Le Moyne NE L (15-17, 94.1) 83-61
131 A Ce Connecticut NE C (18-13, 94.3) 80-59
205 A New Haven NE N (14-17, 93.8) 60-55
207 A Stonehill NE S (12-21, 93.4) 61-54
212 A Wagner NE W (14-17, 93.9) 67-57
214 H New Haven NE N (14-17, 93.8) 52-55
216 A Wagner NE W (14-17, 93.9) 83-65
219 A St Francis NE S ( 7-24, 92.9) 91-89
221 H Mercyhurst NE M (17-18, 94.0) 83-91
226 A Chicago St NE C ( 7-25, 93.2) 73-56
228 A FDU NE (11-21, 93.3) 74-60
304 A Chicago St NE C ( 7-25, 93.2) 79-75
307 A Wagner NE W (14-17, 93.9) 64-56
310 A Mercyhurst NE M (17-18, 94.0) 79-70
320 H Arizona B12 (36- 3, 99.9) 58-92
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1103 H Notre D 67-89 -22 -1 -0.63
1106 A IUI 94-90 4 2 0.35
1111 A Air Force 76-72 4 1 0.84
1115 A Jam Madison 88-79 9 0 + 2.07
1120 H Fordham 53-69 -16 0 -1.82
1122 H Illinois 58-98 -40 -3 0.00
1124 A Missouri St 75-61 14 0 + 2.10
1202 H Winthrop 92-94 -2 0 -1.66
1206 A Lehigh 87-82 5 1 1.19
1213 A La Salle 70-60 10 0 1.80
1216 H Miss St 83-87 -4 -1 -0.51
1220 H Florida Int 79-86 -7 0 -1.99
1229 H Georgia 74-89 -15 -3 0.00
102 A Ce Connecticut 84-78 6 1 1.16
104 A Chicago St 74-55 19 2 0.03
108 A Mercyhurst 60-58 2 1 0.82
110 A St Francis 67-63 4 2 0.00
117 A FDU 66-59 7 2 0.15
119 H Le Moyne 77-83 -6 1 - -3.14
123 A Stonehill 66-63 3 2 0.21
129 A Le Moyne 83-61 22 1 0.88
131 A Ce Connecticut 80-59 21 1 1.16
205 A New Haven 60-55 5 1 0.63
207 A Stonehill 61-54 7 2 0.21
212 A Wagner 67-57 10 1 0.67
214 H New Haven 52-55 -3 1 - -3.39
216 A Wagner 83-65 18 1 0.67
219 A St Francis 91-89 2 2 0.00
221 H Mercyhurst 83-91 -8 1 - -3.20
226 A Chicago St 73-56 17 2 0.03
228 A FDU 74-60 14 2 0.15
304 A Chicago St 79-75 4 2 0.03
307 A Wagner 64-56 8 1 0.67
310 A Mercyhurst 79-70 9 1 0.82
320 H Arizona 58-92 -34 -5 0.00
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
119 H Le Moyne 77-83 -6 1 - -3.14
214 H New Haven 52-55 -3 1 - -3.39
221 H Mercyhurst 83-91 -8 1 - -3.20
|
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1115 A Jam Madison 88-79 9 0 + 2.07
1124 A Missouri St 75-61 14 0 + 2.10
|

division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 33.01
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H Notre D (13-18, 96.6) 67-89 -3.32 4.16 -0.01 0.94 -1.57
3 A IUI ( 6-24, 93.5) 94-90 -6.36 1.11 0.01 0.94 2.12
3 A Air Force ( 3-29, 94.0) 76-72 -5.87 1.61 0.01 0.94 3.05
3 A Jam Madison (18-15, 95.3) 88-79 -4.64 2.84 0.01 0.94 5.37
3 H Fordham (17-15, 95.4) 53-69 -4.51 2.97 -0.01 0.94 -2.13
3 H Illinois (28- 9, 98.7) 58-98 -1.23 6.25 -0.01 0.94 -0.58
3 A Missouri St (17-17, 95.3) 75-61 -4.61 2.87 0.01 0.94 5.43
3 H Winthrop (23-12, 95.6) 92-94 -4.35 3.13 -0.01 0.94 -2.05
3 A Lehigh (19-17, 94.4) 87-82 -5.52 1.96 0.01 0.94 3.71
3 A La Salle ( 9-23, 95.0) 70-60 -4.91 2.57 0.01 0.94 4.86
3 H Miss St (13-19, 96.7) 83-87 -3.20 4.28 -0.01 0.94 -1.51
3 H Florida Int (15-17, 95.2) 79-86 -4.68 2.80 -0.01 0.94 -2.21
3 H Georgia (23-11, 97.8) 74-89 -2.13 5.35 -0.01 0.94 -1.01
3 A Ce Connecticut (18-13, 94.3) 84-78 -5.55 1.92 0.01 0.94 3.65
3 A Chicago St ( 7-25, 93.2) 74-55 -6.68 1.00 0.01 0.94 1.91
3 A Mercyhurst (17-18, 94.0) 60-58 -5.89 1.59 0.01 0.94 3.01
3 A St Francis ( 7-24, 92.9) 67-63 -6.96 1.00 0.01 0.94 1.91
3 A FDU (11-21, 93.3) 66-59 -6.56 1.00 0.01 0.94 1.91
3 H Le Moyne (15-17, 94.1) 77-83 -5.83 1.64 -0.01 0.94 -2.75
3 A Stonehill (12-21, 93.4) 66-63 -6.50 1.00 0.01 0.94 1.91
3 A Le Moyne (15-17, 94.1) 83-61 -5.83 1.64 0.01 0.94 3.12
3 A Ce Connecticut (18-13, 94.3) 80-59 -5.55 1.92 0.01 0.94 3.65
3 A New Haven (14-17, 93.8) 60-55 -6.08 1.40 0.01 0.94 2.66
3 A Stonehill (12-21, 93.4) 61-54 -6.50 1.00 0.01 0.94 1.91
3 A Wagner (14-17, 93.9) 67-57 -6.04 1.44 0.01 0.94 2.73
3 H New Haven (14-17, 93.8) 52-55 -6.08 1.40 -0.01 0.94 -2.87
3 A Wagner (14-17, 93.9) 83-65 -6.04 1.44 0.01 0.94 2.73
3 A St Francis ( 7-24, 92.9) 91-89 -6.96 1.00 0.01 0.94 1.91
3 H Mercyhurst (17-18, 94.0) 83-91 -5.89 1.59 -0.01 0.94 -2.78
3 A Chicago St ( 7-25, 93.2) 73-56 -6.68 1.00 0.01 0.94 1.91
3 A FDU (11-21, 93.3) 74-60 -6.56 1.00 0.01 0.94 1.91
3 A Chicago St ( 7-25, 93.2) 79-75 -6.68 1.00 0.01 0.94 1.91
3 A Wagner (14-17, 93.9) 64-56 -6.04 1.44 0.01 0.94 2.73
3 A Mercyhurst (17-18, 94.0) 79-70 -5.89 1.59 0.01 0.94 3.01
3 H Arizona (36- 3, 99.9) 58-92 -0.00 7.48 -0.01 0.94 -0.00
------
49.50
|
winning pts = 68.9835 losing points = -19.4857
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction. ------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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