LB St
W-L: (11-22) PR = 94.7250Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 1104 H San Diego St MW (22-11, 97.4) 45-77 1108 H Fresno St MW (13-19, 95.7) 62-82 1112 H Pacific WC (18-15, 96.1) 66-69 1116 H Illinois St MV (24-13, 96.3) 80-82 1119 A NOBEL 87-54 1121 H Montana St BS (18-14, 95.5) 72-78 1126 H Portland WC (15-19, 95.6) 73-93 1130 A San Diego WC (11-21, 95.1) 76-72 1204 H Santa Barbara BW (18-14, 95.7) 77-84 1206 H UC San Diego BW (23-11, 96.1) 74-80 1209 H San Jose St MW ( 9-24, 95.3) 83-89 1218 A Pepperdine WC ( 9-24, 94.6) 81-78 1218 A Pepperdine WC ( 9-24, 94.6) 81-78 1221 H Iowa St B12 (28- 9, 98.7) 60-91 1230 A LINCA **-66 103 A Cal Poly BW (14-19, 95.2) 74-66 108 H UC Irvine BW (22-13, 96.1) 64-74 110 A CS Baker BW ( 9-24, 94.2) 81-75 116 A CA Riverside BW (10-22, 94.7) 88-73 117 A Northridge BW (20-14, 95.8) 87-80 122 H CS Fullerton BW (16-17, 95.6) 61-71 124 H Santa Barbara BW (18-14, 95.7) 71-74 129 H CA Riverside BW (10-22, 94.7) 61-71 131 H Hawaii BW (24- 9, 96.4) 82-89 205 H UC San Diego BW (23-11, 96.1) 74-77 212 H CS Fullerton BW (16-17, 95.6) 82-86 214 H UC Davis BW (19-13, 95.9) 54-71 219 H UC Irvine BW (22-13, 96.1) 58-69 221 H Northridge BW (20-14, 95.8) 76-78 226 H Cal Poly BW (14-19, 95.2) 92-** 228 A CS Baker BW ( 9-24, 94.2) 88-87 305 H UC Davis BW (19-13, 95.9) 70-76 308 A Hawaii BW (24- 9, 96.4) 84-75
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1104 H San Diego St 45-77 -32 -3 0.00
1108 H Fresno St 62-82 -20 -1 -0.99
1112 H Pacific 66-69 -3 -1 -0.68
1116 H Illinois St 80-82 -2 -2 -0.41
1121 H Montana St 72-78 -6 -1 -1.23
1126 H Portland 73-93 -20 -1 -1.18
1130 A San Diego 76-72 4 0 + 2.38
1204 H Santa Barbara 77-84 -7 -1 -1.04
1206 H UC San Diego 74-80 -6 -1 -0.64
1209 H San Jose St 83-89 -6 -1 -1.43
1218 A Pepperdine 81-78 3 0 1.86
1218 A Pepperdine 81-78 3 0 1.86
1221 H Iowa St 60-91 -31 -4 0.00
103 A Cal Poly 74-66 8 -1 + 2.53
108 H UC Irvine 64-74 -10 -1 -0.62
110 A CS Baker 81-75 6 1 1.49
116 A CA Riverside 88-73 15 0 2.00
117 A Northridge 87-80 7 -1 + 3.07
122 H CS Fullerton 61-71 -10 -1 -1.14
124 H Santa Barbara 71-74 -3 -1 -1.04
129 H CA Riverside 61-71 -10 0 - -2.02
131 H Hawaii 82-89 -7 -2 -0.38
205 H UC San Diego 74-77 -3 -1 -0.64
212 H CS Fullerton 82-86 -4 -1 -1.14
214 H UC Davis 54-71 -17 -1 -0.84
219 H UC Irvine 58-69 -11 -1 -0.62
221 H Northridge 76-78 -2 -1 -0.95
226 H Cal Poly 92-** -10 -1 -1.49
228 A CS Baker 88-87 1 1 0.49
305 H UC Davis 70-76 -6 -1 -0.84
308 A Hawaii 84-75 9 -2 + 3.64
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 129 H CA Riverside 61-71 -10 0 - -2.02 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1130 A San Diego 76-72 4 0 + 2.38 103 A Cal Poly 74-66 8 -1 + 2.53 117 A Northridge 87-80 7 -1 + 3.07 308 A Hawaii 84-75 9 -2 + 3.64 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 33.01
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H San Diego St (22-11, 97.4) 45-77 -2.51 4.96 -0.01 1.06 -1.34
3 H Fresno St (13-19, 95.7) 62-82 -4.16 3.32 -0.01 1.06 -2.22
3 H Pacific (18-15, 96.1) 66-69 -3.85 3.63 -0.01 1.06 -2.05
3 H Illinois St (24-13, 96.3) 80-82 -3.58 3.90 -0.01 1.06 -1.91
3 H Montana St (18-14, 95.5) 72-78 -4.39 3.08 -0.01 1.06 -2.34
3 H Portland (15-19, 95.6) 73-93 -4.35 3.13 -0.01 1.06 -2.32
3 A San Diego (11-21, 95.1) 76-72 -4.81 2.67 0.01 1.06 5.71
3 H Santa Barbara (18-14, 95.7) 77-84 -4.21 3.27 -0.01 1.06 -2.25
3 H UC San Diego (23-11, 96.1) 74-80 -3.81 3.67 -0.01 1.06 -2.03
3 H San Jose St ( 9-24, 95.3) 83-89 -4.59 2.88 -0.01 1.06 -2.45
3 A Pepperdine ( 9-24, 94.6) 81-78 -5.32 2.16 0.01 1.06 4.61
3 A Pepperdine ( 9-24, 94.6) 81-78 -5.32 2.16 0.01 1.06 4.61
3 H Iowa St (28- 9, 98.7) 60-91 -1.19 6.29 -0.01 1.06 -0.64
3 A Cal Poly (14-19, 95.2) 74-66 -4.66 2.82 0.01 1.06 6.03
3 H UC Irvine (22-13, 96.1) 64-74 -3.78 3.69 -0.01 1.06 -2.02
3 A CS Baker ( 9-24, 94.2) 81-75 -5.69 1.78 0.01 1.06 3.82
3 A CA Riverside (10-22, 94.7) 88-73 -5.19 2.29 0.01 1.06 4.90
3 A Northridge (20-14, 95.8) 87-80 -4.12 3.36 0.01 1.06 7.17
3 H CS Fullerton (16-17, 95.6) 61-71 -4.30 3.18 -0.01 1.06 -2.29
3 H Santa Barbara (18-14, 95.7) 71-74 -4.21 3.27 -0.01 1.06 -2.25
3 H CA Riverside (10-22, 94.7) 61-71 -5.19 2.29 -0.01 1.06 -2.77
3 H Hawaii (24- 9, 96.4) 82-89 -3.55 3.93 -0.01 1.06 -1.90
3 H UC San Diego (23-11, 96.1) 74-77 -3.81 3.67 -0.01 1.06 -2.03
3 H CS Fullerton (16-17, 95.6) 82-86 -4.30 3.18 -0.01 1.06 -2.29
3 H UC Davis (19-13, 95.9) 54-71 -4.00 3.47 -0.01 1.06 -2.14
3 H UC Irvine (22-13, 96.1) 58-69 -3.78 3.69 -0.01 1.06 -2.02
3 H Northridge (20-14, 95.8) 76-78 -4.12 3.36 -0.01 1.06 -2.20
3 H Cal Poly (14-19, 95.2) 92-** -4.66 2.82 -0.01 1.06 -2.48
3 A CS Baker ( 9-24, 94.2) 88-87 -5.69 1.78 0.01 1.06 3.82
3 H UC Davis (19-13, 95.9) 70-76 -4.00 3.47 -0.01 1.06 -2.14
3 A Hawaii (24- 9, 96.4) 84-75 -3.55 3.93 0.01 1.06 8.39
------
2.98
|
winning pts = 49.0601 losing points = -46.0808
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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