Loyola Chic
W-L: ( 9-23) PR = 94.9277Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 1103 A Cleveland St HL (11-22, 94.3) 91-88 1106 H Mercyhurst NE M (17-18, 94.0) 65-73 1109 H No Texas AME (18-14, 96.0) 62-64 1113 H Wichita St AME (24-12, 96.6) 74-95 1116 H Colorado St MW (21-13, 96.7) 67-80 1121 H No Illinois MA ( 9-21, 94.2) 59-76 1125 H No Iowa MV (23-13, 96.2) 51-72 1126 H San Jose St MW ( 9-24, 95.3) 51-63 1202 A Ce Michigan MA (10-21, 94.5) 83-72 1206 A Princeton IVY ( 9-19, 94.5) 73-68 1214 H Chicago St NE C ( 7-25, 93.2) 75-84 1217 H San Fran WC (17-16, 96.2) 71-85 1220 A Santa Clara WC (26- 9, 97.5) 80-78 1231 A Rhode Island A10 (16-16, 95.6) 61-57 103 H Dayton A10 (24-12, 96.9) 68-70 107 H Davidson A10 (20-15, 96.2) 64-79 110 H George Wash A10 (19-16, 96.0) 66-** 113 H George Mason A10 (23-10, 96.6) 74-82 120 H St. Bonnies A10 (17-17, 95.8) 70-84 124 H Duquesne A10 (18-15, 95.9) 59-71 127 H St Joseph's A10 (25-12, 96.5) 64-85 130 H VCU A10 (29- 8, 97.6) 75-89 203 A La Salle A10 ( 9-23, 95.0) 71-61 206 H Davidson A10 (20-15, 96.2) 64-84 213 H St Louis A10 (29- 6, 97.6) 59-86 218 H Fordham A10 (17-15, 95.4) 59-62 221 H St Joseph's A10 (25-12, 96.5) 61-75 228 A Richmond A10 (15-17, 95.5) 69-66 304 H St Louis A10 (29- 6, 97.6) 65-79 307 A George Wash A10 (19-16, 96.0) 68-62 311 A Richmond A10 (15-17, 95.5) 75-67 312 H Davidson A10 (20-15, 96.2) 59-64
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1103 A Cleveland St 91-88 3 1 1.40
1106 H Mercyhurst 65-73 -8 1 - -2.93
1109 H No Texas 62-64 -2 -1 -0.94
1113 H Wichita St 74-95 -21 -2 -0.29
1116 H Colorado St 67-80 -13 -2 -0.25
1121 H No Illinois 59-76 -17 1 - -2.77
1125 H No Iowa 51-72 -21 -1 -0.70
1126 H San Jose St 51-63 -12 0 -1.63
1202 A Ce Michigan 83-72 11 0 1.56
1206 A Princeton 73-68 5 0 1.56
1214 H Chicago St 75-84 -9 2 - -3.71
1217 H San Fran 71-85 -14 -1 -0.77
1220 A Santa Clara 80-78 2 -3 ++ 4.00
1231 A Rhode Island 61-57 4 -1 + 2.70
103 H Dayton 68-70 -2 -2 0.00
107 H Davidson 64-79 -15 -1 -0.79
110 H George Wash 66-** -35 -1 -0.90
113 H George Mason 74-82 -8 -2 -0.35
120 H St. Bonnies 70-84 -14 -1 -1.16
124 H Duquesne 59-71 -12 -1 -0.99
127 H St Joseph's 64-85 -21 -2 -0.45
130 H VCU 75-89 -14 -3 0.00
203 A La Salle 71-61 10 0 + 2.07
206 H Davidson 64-84 -20 -1 -0.79
213 H St Louis 59-86 -27 -3 0.00
218 H Fordham 59-62 -3 0 -1.55
221 H St Joseph's 61-75 -14 -2 -0.45
228 A Richmond 69-66 3 -1 + 2.60
304 H St Louis 65-79 -14 -3 0.00
307 A George Wash 68-62 6 -1 + 3.12
311 A Richmond 75-67 8 -1 + 2.60
312 H Davidson 59-64 -5 -1 -0.79
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1106 H Mercyhurst 65-73 -8 1 - -2.93 1121 H No Illinois 59-76 -17 1 - -2.77 1214 H Chicago St 75-84 -9 2 - -3.71 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1220 A Santa Clara 80-78 2 -3 ++ 4.00 1231 A Rhode Island 61-57 4 -1 + 2.70 203 A La Salle 71-61 10 0 + 2.07 228 A Richmond 69-66 3 -1 + 2.60 307 A George Wash 68-62 6 -1 + 3.12 311 A Richmond 75-67 8 -1 + 2.60 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 33.01
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A Cleveland St (11-22, 94.3) 91-88 -5.59 1.89 0.01 1.03 3.92
3 H Mercyhurst (17-18, 94.0) 65-73 -5.89 1.59 -0.01 1.03 -3.04
3 H No Texas (18-14, 96.0) 62-64 -3.90 3.57 -0.01 1.03 -2.02
3 H Wichita St (24-12, 96.6) 74-95 -3.25 4.22 -0.01 1.03 -1.68
3 H Colorado St (21-13, 96.7) 67-80 -3.21 4.26 -0.01 1.03 -1.66
3 H No Illinois ( 9-21, 94.2) 59-76 -5.73 1.75 -0.01 1.03 -2.96
3 H No Iowa (23-13, 96.2) 51-72 -3.66 3.82 -0.01 1.03 -1.89
3 H San Jose St ( 9-24, 95.3) 51-63 -4.59 2.88 -0.01 1.03 -2.37
3 A Ce Michigan (10-21, 94.5) 83-72 -5.42 2.06 0.01 1.03 4.27
3 A Princeton ( 9-19, 94.5) 73-68 -5.43 2.05 0.01 1.03 4.25
3 H Chicago St ( 7-25, 93.2) 75-84 -6.68 1.00 -0.01 1.03 -3.45
3 H San Fran (17-16, 96.2) 71-85 -3.74 3.74 -0.01 1.03 -1.93
3 A Santa Clara (26- 9, 97.5) 80-78 -2.40 5.07 0.01 1.03 10.49
3 A Rhode Island (16-16, 95.6) 61-57 -4.28 3.20 0.01 1.03 6.62
3 H Dayton (24-12, 96.9) 68-70 -2.95 4.52 -0.01 1.03 -1.53
3 H Davidson (20-15, 96.2) 64-79 -3.75 3.73 -0.01 1.03 -1.94
3 H George Wash (19-16, 96.0) 66-** -3.86 3.61 -0.01 1.03 -2.00
3 H George Mason (23-10, 96.6) 74-82 -3.31 4.16 -0.01 1.03 -1.71
3 H St. Bonnies (17-17, 95.8) 70-84 -4.13 3.35 -0.01 1.03 -2.13
3 H Duquesne (18-15, 95.9) 59-71 -3.95 3.52 -0.01 1.03 -2.04
3 H St Joseph's (25-12, 96.5) 64-85 -3.41 4.07 -0.01 1.03 -1.76
3 H VCU (29- 8, 97.6) 75-89 -2.32 5.16 -0.01 1.03 -1.20
3 A La Salle ( 9-23, 95.0) 71-61 -4.91 2.57 0.01 1.03 5.32
3 H Davidson (20-15, 96.2) 64-84 -3.75 3.73 -0.01 1.03 -1.94
3 H St Louis (29- 6, 97.6) 59-86 -2.27 5.21 -0.01 1.03 -1.17
3 H Fordham (17-15, 95.4) 59-62 -4.51 2.97 -0.01 1.03 -2.33
3 H St Joseph's (25-12, 96.5) 61-75 -3.41 4.07 -0.01 1.03 -1.76
3 A Richmond (15-17, 95.5) 69-66 -4.38 3.09 0.01 1.03 6.40
3 H St Louis (29- 6, 97.6) 65-79 -2.27 5.21 -0.01 1.03 -1.17
3 A George Wash (19-16, 96.0) 68-62 -3.86 3.61 0.01 1.03 7.47
3 A Richmond (15-17, 95.5) 75-67 -4.38 3.09 0.01 1.03 6.40
3 H Davidson (20-15, 96.2) 59-64 -3.75 3.73 -0.01 1.03 -1.94
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9.49
|
winning pts = 55.1448 losing points = -45.6577
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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