Louisville
W-L: (24-11) PR = 98.0286Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 1103 A SC St MEAC (10-22, 93.3) **-45 1106 A Jackson St SWAC J (11-22, 94.0) **-70 1111 A Kentucky SEC (22-14, 98.0) 96-88 1115 A Ohio MA (15-17, 95.2) **-81 1121 A Cincinnati B12 (18-15, 97.4) 74-64 1124 A Ea Michigan MA (10-21, 94.7) 87-46 1126 A NJ Tech AE (16-17, 94.2) **-47 1203 H Arkansas SEC (28- 9, 98.5) 80-89 1206 A Indiana B10 (18-14, 97.3) 87-78 1213 A Memphis AME (13-19, 95.9) 99-73 1216 H Tennessee SEC (25-12, 98.3) 62-83 1220 A Montana BS (18-16, 95.5) 94-54 1230 A California ACC (22-12, 97.1) 90-70 102 H Stanford ACC (20-13, 97.2) 76-80 106 H Duke ACC (35- 3, 99.7) 73-84 110 A Boston Col ACC (11-20, 95.7) 75-62 113 H Virginia ACC (30- 6, 98.6) 70-79 117 A Pittsburgh ACC (13-20, 96.4) **-59 124 A Va Tech ACC (19-13, 97.4) 85-71 126 H Duke ACC (35- 3, 99.7) 52-83 131 A SMU ACC (20-14, 97.4) 88-74 204 A Notre D (13-18, 96.6) 76-65 207 A Wake Forest ACC (18-17, 97.0) 88-80 209 A NC State ACC (20-14, 97.6) **-77 214 A Baylor B12 (17-17, 97.2) 82-71 217 H SMU ACC (20-14, 97.4) 85-95 221 A Georgia Tech ACC (11-20, 95.8) 87-70 223 H No Carolina ACC (24- 9, 98.2) 74-77 228 H Clemson ACC (24-11, 97.8) 75-80 303 A Syracuse ACC (15-17, 96.8) 77-62 307 A Miami (Fl) ACC (26- 9, 98.0) 92-89 311 A SMU ACC (20-14, 97.4) 62-58 312 H Miami (Fl) ACC (26- 9, 98.0) 73-78 319 A So Florida AME (24-10, 97.1) 83-79 321 H Michigan St B10 (27- 8, 98.7) 69-77
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1103 A SC St **-45 59 5 0.00
1106 A Jackson St **-70 36 4 0.00
1111 A Kentucky 96-88 8 0 1.98
1115 A Ohio **-81 25 3 0.00
1121 A Cincinnati 74-64 10 1 1.35
1124 A Ea Michigan 87-46 41 3 0.00
1126 A NJ Tech **-47 57 4 0.00
1203 H Arkansas 80-89 -9 0 -1.54
1206 A Indiana 87-78 9 1 1.30
1213 A Memphis 99-73 26 2 0.00
1216 H Tennessee 62-83 -21 0 -1.73
1220 A Montana 94-54 40 3 0.00
1230 A California 90-70 20 1 1.13
102 H Stanford 76-80 -4 1 - -2.85
106 H Duke 73-84 -11 -2 -0.31
110 A Boston Col 75-62 13 2 0.00
113 H Virginia 70-79 -9 -1 -1.40
117 A Pittsburgh **-59 41 2 0.37
124 A Va Tech 85-71 14 1 1.35
126 H Duke 52-83 -31 -2 -0.31
131 A SMU 88-74 14 1 1.35
204 A Notre D 76-65 11 1 0.56
207 A Wake Forest 88-80 8 1 1.03
209 A NC State **-77 41 0 1.58
214 A Baylor 82-71 11 1 1.15
217 H SMU 85-95 -10 1 - -2.67
221 A Georgia Tech 87-70 17 2 0.00
223 H No Carolina 74-77 -3 0 -1.85
228 H Clemson 75-80 -5 0 - -2.21
303 A Syracuse 77-62 15 1 0.75
307 A Miami (Fl) 92-89 3 0 1.95
311 A SMU 62-58 4 1 1.35
312 H Miami (Fl) 73-78 -5 0 - -2.07
319 A So Florida 83-79 4 1 1.08
321 H Michigan St 69-77 -8 -1 -1.33
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UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 102 H Stanford 76-80 -4 1 - -2.85 217 H SMU 85-95 -10 1 - -2.67 228 H Clemson 75-80 -5 0 - -2.21 312 H Miami (Fl) 73-78 -5 0 - -2.07 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 33.01
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A SC St (10-22, 93.3) **-45 -6.62 1.00 0.01 0.94 1.91
3 A Jackson St (11-22, 94.0) **-70 -5.93 1.55 0.01 0.94 2.93
3 A Kentucky (22-14, 98.0) 96-88 -1.91 5.57 0.01 0.94 10.53
3 A Ohio (15-17, 95.2) **-81 -4.66 2.82 0.01 0.94 5.34
3 A Cincinnati (18-15, 97.4) 74-64 -2.53 4.95 0.01 0.94 9.35
3 A Ea Michigan (10-21, 94.7) 87-46 -5.21 2.26 0.01 0.94 4.29
3 A NJ Tech (16-17, 94.2) **-47 -5.69 1.78 0.01 0.94 3.38
3 H Arkansas (28- 9, 98.5) 80-89 -1.40 6.07 -0.01 0.94 -0.67
3 A Indiana (18-14, 97.3) 87-78 -2.58 4.89 0.01 0.94 9.25
3 A Memphis (13-19, 95.9) 99-73 -3.98 3.50 0.01 0.94 6.62
3 H Tennessee (25-12, 98.3) 62-83 -1.59 5.88 -0.01 0.94 -0.76
3 A Montana (18-16, 95.5) 94-54 -4.44 3.04 0.01 0.94 5.75
3 A California (22-12, 97.1) 90-70 -2.76 4.72 0.01 0.94 8.92
3 H Stanford (20-13, 97.2) 76-80 -2.71 4.76 -0.01 0.94 -1.28
3 H Duke (35- 3, 99.7) 73-84 -0.17 7.30 -0.01 0.94 -0.09
3 A Boston Col (11-20, 95.7) 75-62 -4.19 3.29 0.01 0.94 6.22
3 H Virginia (30- 6, 98.6) 70-79 -1.26 6.21 -0.01 0.94 -0.60
3 A Pittsburgh (13-20, 96.4) **-59 -3.52 3.96 0.01 0.94 7.49
3 A Va Tech (19-13, 97.4) 85-71 -2.53 4.95 0.01 0.94 9.35
3 H Duke (35- 3, 99.7) 52-83 -0.17 7.30 -0.01 0.94 -0.09
3 A SMU (20-14, 97.4) 88-74 -2.53 4.95 0.01 0.94 9.35
3 A Notre D (13-18, 96.6) 76-65 -3.32 4.16 0.01 0.94 7.86
3 A Wake Forest (18-17, 97.0) 88-80 -2.85 4.63 0.01 0.94 8.74
3 A NC State (20-14, 97.6) **-77 -2.30 5.17 0.01 0.94 9.78
3 A Baylor (17-17, 97.2) 82-71 -2.74 4.74 0.01 0.94 8.96
3 H SMU (20-14, 97.4) 85-95 -2.53 4.95 -0.01 0.94 -1.20
3 A Georgia Tech (11-20, 95.8) 87-70 -4.13 3.35 0.01 0.94 6.33
3 H No Carolina (24- 9, 98.2) 74-77 -1.71 5.77 -0.01 0.94 -0.81
3 H Clemson (24-11, 97.8) 75-80 -2.07 5.41 -0.01 0.94 -0.98
3 A Syracuse (15-17, 96.8) 77-62 -3.13 4.34 0.01 0.94 8.21
3 A Miami (Fl) (26- 9, 98.0) 92-89 -1.93 5.54 0.01 0.94 10.47
3 A SMU (20-14, 97.4) 62-58 -2.53 4.95 0.01 0.94 9.35
3 H Miami (Fl) (26- 9, 98.0) 73-78 -1.93 5.54 -0.01 0.94 -0.92
3 A So Florida (24-10, 97.1) 83-79 -2.80 4.67 0.01 0.94 8.83
3 H Michigan St (27- 8, 98.7) 69-77 -1.19 6.29 -0.01 0.94 -0.57
------
171.28
|
winning pts = 179.2259 losing points = -7.9494
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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