Saint Marys
W-L: (27- 6) PR = 97.7710Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 1103 A St Thomas MN SM (24-10, 95.8) 84-58 1107 A Chattanooga SO U (13-19, 94.2) 87-66 1111 A Ohio MA (15-17, 95.2) 90-60 1114 A No Texas AME (18-14, 96.0) 80-49 1119 A Arkansas St SB A (20-12, 95.7) 85-72 1122 A CALME 96-42 1126 A Wichita St AME (24-12, 96.6) 70-65 1127 A Va Tech ACC (19-13, 97.4) 77-66 1128 H Vanderbilt SEC V (27- 9, 98.5) 71-96 1207 A Davidson A10 (20-15, 96.2) 70-61 1214 H Boise St MW (20-12, 97.0) 67-68 1219 A Florida Atl AME (18-14, 96.1) 88-75 1222 A No Iowa MV (23-13, 96.2) 63-58 1228 A Loyola Marym WC (14-18, 95.6) 78-73 1230 A Pepperdine WC ( 9-24, 94.6) 72-45 102 A Portland WC (15-19, 95.6) 78-57 104 A Seattle WC (21-14, 96.2) 93-76 110 A Wash St WC (12-20, 95.6) 88-82 113 A San Fran WC (17-16, 96.2) 82-68 117 H Santa Clara WC (26- 9, 97.5) 54-62 121 A Oregon State WC (17-16, 96.1) 81-51 124 A Portland WC (15-19, 95.6) 75-69 131 H Gonzaga WC (31- 4, 98.5) 65-73 204 A San Diego WC (11-21, 95.1) 87-60 207 A San Fran WC (17-16, 96.2) 79-54 211 A Pepperdine WC ( 9-24, 94.6) 88-60 214 A Pacific WC (18-15, 96.1) 72-61 218 A Seattle WC (21-14, 96.2) 72-70 221 A Wash St WC (12-20, 95.6) 83-67 225 A Santa Clara WC (26- 9, 97.5) 86-67 228 A Gonzaga WC (31- 4, 98.5) 70-59 309 H Santa Clara WC (26- 9, 97.5) 71-76 319 H Texas A&M SEC T (22-12, 97.8) 50-63
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1103 A St Thomas MN 84-58 26 2 0.03
1107 A Chattanooga 87-66 21 4 0.00
1111 A Ohio 90-60 30 3 0.00
1114 A No Texas 80-49 31 2 0.24
1119 A Arkansas St 85-72 13 2 0.00
1126 A Wichita St 70-65 5 1 0.89
1127 A Va Tech 77-66 11 0 1.61
1128 H Vanderbilt 71-96 -25 -1 -1.25
1207 A Davidson 70-61 9 2 0.39
1214 H Boise St 67-68 -1 1 -1.73
1219 A Florida Atl 88-75 13 2 0.32
1222 A No Iowa 63-58 5 2 0.48
1228 A Loyola Marym 78-73 5 2 0.00
1230 A Pepperdine 72-45 27 3 0.00
102 A Portland 78-57 21 2 0.00
104 A Seattle 93-76 17 2 0.49
110 A Wash St 88-82 6 2 0.00
113 A San Fran 82-68 14 2 0.40
117 H Santa Clara 54-62 -8 0 - -2.28
121 A Oregon State 81-51 30 2 0.29
124 A Portland 75-69 6 2 0.00
131 H Gonzaga 65-73 -8 -1 -1.26
204 A San Diego 87-60 27 3 0.00
207 A San Fran 79-54 25 2 0.40
211 A Pepperdine 88-60 28 3 0.00
214 A Pacific 72-61 11 2 0.29
218 A Seattle 72-70 2 2 0.49
221 A Wash St 83-67 16 2 0.00
225 A Santa Clara 86-67 19 0 1.74
228 A Gonzaga 70-59 11 -1 + 2.76
309 H Santa Clara 71-76 -5 0 - -2.28
319 H Texas A&M 50-63 -13 0 - -2.02
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 117 H Santa Clara 54-62 -8 0 - -2.28 309 H Santa Clara 71-76 -5 0 - -2.28 319 H Texas A&M 50-63 -13 0 - -2.02 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 228 A Gonzaga 70-59 11 -1 + 2.76 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 33.01
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A St Thomas MN (24-10, 95.8) 84-58 -4.11 3.37 0.01 1.03 6.96
3 A Chattanooga (13-19, 94.2) 87-66 -5.71 1.77 0.01 1.03 3.66
3 A Ohio (15-17, 95.2) 90-60 -4.66 2.82 0.01 1.03 5.84
3 A No Texas (18-14, 96.0) 80-49 -3.90 3.57 0.01 1.03 7.39
3 A Arkansas St (20-12, 95.7) 85-72 -4.16 3.32 0.01 1.03 6.86
3 A Wichita St (24-12, 96.6) 70-65 -3.25 4.22 0.01 1.03 8.73
3 A Va Tech (19-13, 97.4) 77-66 -2.53 4.95 0.01 1.03 10.23
3 H Vanderbilt (27- 9, 98.5) 71-96 -1.37 6.11 -0.01 1.03 -0.71
3 A Davidson (20-15, 96.2) 70-61 -3.75 3.73 0.01 1.03 7.71
3 H Boise St (20-12, 97.0) 67-68 -2.85 4.62 -0.01 1.03 -1.48
3 A Florida Atl (18-14, 96.1) 88-75 -3.82 3.66 0.01 1.03 7.57
3 A No Iowa (23-13, 96.2) 63-58 -3.66 3.82 0.01 1.03 7.90
3 A Loyola Marym (14-18, 95.6) 78-73 -4.32 3.15 0.01 1.03 6.53
3 A Pepperdine ( 9-24, 94.6) 72-45 -5.32 2.16 0.01 1.03 4.47
3 A Portland (15-19, 95.6) 78-57 -4.35 3.13 0.01 1.03 6.48
3 A Seattle (21-14, 96.2) 93-76 -3.65 3.82 0.01 1.03 7.91
3 A Wash St (12-20, 95.6) 88-82 -4.28 3.20 0.01 1.03 6.61
3 A San Fran (17-16, 96.2) 82-68 -3.74 3.74 0.01 1.03 7.74
3 H Santa Clara (26- 9, 97.5) 54-62 -2.40 5.07 -0.01 1.03 -1.24
3 A Oregon State (17-16, 96.1) 81-51 -3.85 3.63 0.01 1.03 7.51
3 A Portland (15-19, 95.6) 75-69 -4.35 3.13 0.01 1.03 6.48
3 H Gonzaga (31- 4, 98.5) 65-73 -1.37 6.10 -0.01 1.03 -0.71
3 A San Diego (11-21, 95.1) 87-60 -4.81 2.67 0.01 1.03 5.53
3 A San Fran (17-16, 96.2) 79-54 -3.74 3.74 0.01 1.03 7.74
3 A Pepperdine ( 9-24, 94.6) 88-60 -5.32 2.16 0.01 1.03 4.47
3 A Pacific (18-15, 96.1) 72-61 -3.85 3.63 0.01 1.03 7.51
3 A Seattle (21-14, 96.2) 72-70 -3.65 3.82 0.01 1.03 7.91
3 A Wash St (12-20, 95.6) 83-67 -4.28 3.20 0.01 1.03 6.61
3 A Santa Clara (26- 9, 97.5) 86-67 -2.40 5.07 0.01 1.03 10.49
3 A Gonzaga (31- 4, 98.5) 70-59 -1.37 6.10 0.01 1.03 12.61
3 H Santa Clara (26- 9, 97.5) 71-76 -2.40 5.07 -0.01 1.03 -1.24
3 H Texas A&M (22-12, 97.8) 50-63 -2.13 5.34 -0.01 1.03 -1.11
------
182.98
|
winning pts = 189.4754 losing points = -6.4970
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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