UMass Lowell
W-L: (15-18) PR = 93.8834Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 1103 A RIVIE **-55 1107 H Connecticut BE (33- 6, 99.1) 47-** 1110 H New Haven NE N (14-17, 93.8) 67-73 1113 H Columbia IVY (16-12, 95.1) 72-86 1116 H Wake Forest ACC (18-17, 97.0) 75-** 1119 H Bradley MV (23-12, 96.1) 77-87 1122 H St Peters MAAC (17-12, 95.1) 66-68 1126 A Stonehill NE S (12-21, 93.4) 75-64 1129 A EMERS 90-67 1206 H Mass MA (17-16, 95.5) 60-80 1210 A FISHE **-73 1213 H Quinnipiac MAAC (19-13, 95.2) 71-75 1216 A Sacred Heart MAAC (14-19, 94.4) 87-82 1221 H Boston Univ PAT (17-17, 94.3) 76-88 1229 H Iowa B10 (24-13, 97.9) 62-90 103 A UAlbany AE (11-21, 93.5) 83-71 108 A Bryant AE (10-25, 93.3) 77-63 110 A Binghamton AE ( 8-23, 92.7) 73-68 115 H NJ Tech AE (16-17, 94.2) 64-73 122 H Vermont AE (22-12, 94.8) 68-77 124 H UMBC AE (24- 9, 94.9) 56-79 129 H New Hamp. AE ( 9-21, 93.3) 61-66 131 A Maine AE ( 8-24, 93.2) 91-77 205 H NJ Tech AE (16-17, 94.2) 56-81 207 A UAlbany AE (11-21, 93.5) 89-79 212 A Bryant AE (10-25, 93.3) 88-69 219 A New Hamp. AE ( 9-21, 93.3) 78-56 221 A Binghamton AE ( 8-23, 92.7) 92-79 226 H Vermont AE (22-12, 94.8) 64-66 228 H UMBC AE (24- 9, 94.9) 60-84 303 A Maine AE ( 8-24, 93.2) 67-56 307 A UAlbany AE (11-21, 93.5) 81-76 310 H UMBC AE (24- 9, 94.9) 69-91
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1107 H Connecticut 47-** -63 -5 0.00
1110 H New Haven 67-73 -6 0 - -2.07
1113 H Columbia 72-86 -14 -1 -0.75
1116 H Wake Forest 75-** -34 -3 0.00
1119 H Bradley 77-87 -10 -2 0.00
1122 H St Peters 66-68 -2 -1 -0.76
1126 A Stonehill 75-64 11 0 1.53
1206 H Mass 60-80 -20 -2 -0.41
1213 H Quinnipiac 71-75 -4 -1 -0.73
1216 A Sacred Heart 87-82 5 0 + 2.49
1221 H Boston Univ 76-88 -12 0 -1.60
1229 H Iowa 62-90 -28 -4 0.00
103 A UAlbany 83-71 12 0 1.65
108 A Bryant 77-63 14 1 1.45
110 A Binghamton 73-68 5 1 0.84
115 H NJ Tech 64-73 -9 0 -1.69
122 H Vermont 68-77 -9 -1 -1.11
124 H UMBC 56-79 -23 -1 -1.00
129 H New Hamp. 61-66 -5 1 - -2.63
131 A Maine 91-77 14 1 1.31
205 H NJ Tech 56-81 -25 0 -1.69
207 A UAlbany 89-79 10 0 1.65
212 A Bryant 88-69 19 1 1.45
219 A New Hamp. 78-56 22 1 1.39
221 A Binghamton 92-79 13 1 0.84
226 H Vermont 64-66 -2 -1 -1.11
228 H UMBC 60-84 -24 -1 -1.00
303 A Maine 67-56 11 1 1.31
307 A UAlbany 81-76 5 0 1.65
310 H UMBC 69-91 -22 -1 -1.00
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1110 H New Haven 67-73 -6 0 - -2.07 129 H New Hamp. 61-66 -5 1 - -2.63 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1216 A Sacred Heart 87-82 5 0 + 2.49 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 33.01
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H Connecticut (33- 6, 99.1) 47-** -0.77 6.71 -0.01 1.10 -0.43
3 H New Haven (14-17, 93.8) 67-73 -6.08 1.40 -0.01 1.10 -3.35
3 H Columbia (16-12, 95.1) 72-86 -4.75 2.72 -0.01 1.10 -2.62
3 H Wake Forest (18-17, 97.0) 75-** -2.85 4.63 -0.01 1.10 -1.57
3 H Bradley (23-12, 96.1) 77-87 -3.79 3.69 -0.01 1.10 -2.09
3 H St Peters (17-12, 95.1) 66-68 -4.77 2.71 -0.01 1.10 -2.63
3 A Stonehill (12-21, 93.4) 75-64 -6.50 1.00 0.01 1.10 2.22
3 H Mass (17-16, 95.5) 60-80 -4.42 3.06 -0.01 1.10 -2.44
3 H Quinnipiac (19-13, 95.2) 71-75 -4.74 2.74 -0.01 1.10 -2.61
3 A Sacred Heart (14-19, 94.4) 87-82 -5.54 1.94 0.01 1.10 4.29
3 H Boston Univ (17-17, 94.3) 76-88 -5.61 1.87 -0.01 1.10 -3.09
3 H Iowa (24-13, 97.9) 62-90 -2.00 5.48 -0.01 1.10 -1.11
3 A UAlbany (11-21, 93.5) 83-71 -6.38 1.10 0.01 1.10 2.43
3 A Bryant (10-25, 93.3) 77-63 -6.57 1.00 0.01 1.10 2.22
3 A Binghamton ( 8-23, 92.7) 73-68 -7.19 1.00 0.01 1.10 2.22
3 H NJ Tech (16-17, 94.2) 64-73 -5.69 1.78 -0.01 1.10 -3.14
3 H Vermont (22-12, 94.8) 68-77 -5.12 2.36 -0.01 1.10 -2.82
3 H UMBC (24- 9, 94.9) 56-79 -5.00 2.47 -0.01 1.10 -2.76
3 H New Hamp. ( 9-21, 93.3) 61-66 -6.63 1.00 -0.01 1.10 -3.66
3 A Maine ( 8-24, 93.2) 91-77 -6.72 1.00 0.01 1.10 2.22
3 H NJ Tech (16-17, 94.2) 56-81 -5.69 1.78 -0.01 1.10 -3.14
3 A UAlbany (11-21, 93.5) 89-79 -6.38 1.10 0.01 1.10 2.43
3 A Bryant (10-25, 93.3) 88-69 -6.57 1.00 0.01 1.10 2.22
3 A New Hamp. ( 9-21, 93.3) 78-56 -6.63 1.00 0.01 1.10 2.22
3 A Binghamton ( 8-23, 92.7) 92-79 -7.19 1.00 0.01 1.10 2.22
3 H Vermont (22-12, 94.8) 64-66 -5.12 2.36 -0.01 1.10 -2.82
3 H UMBC (24- 9, 94.9) 60-84 -5.00 2.47 -0.01 1.10 -2.76
3 A Maine ( 8-24, 93.2) 67-56 -6.72 1.00 0.01 1.10 2.22
3 A UAlbany (11-21, 93.5) 81-76 -6.38 1.10 0.01 1.10 2.43
3 H UMBC (24- 9, 94.9) 69-91 -5.00 2.47 -0.01 1.10 -2.76
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-16.41
|
winning pts = 29.3745 losing points = -45.7894
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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