Mercer
W-L: (19-13) PR = 95.1982Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 1103 H Tennessee SEC (25-12, 98.3) 61-76 1105 A LAGRA **-62 1109 A Lipscomb AS (19-13, 95.2) 92-77 1115 H Winthrop BSO (23-12, 95.6) 69-** 1122 A Ea Kentucky AS (11-21, 94.2) 95-83 1126 A App State SB A (19-14, 95.5) 75-67 1129 A Elon CA (14-18, 94.9) 91-84 1202 A Georgia St SB (10-23, 94.2) 78-67 1207 A OGLET **-50 1213 H Clemson ACC (24-11, 97.8) 63-70 1217 H UCF B12 (21-12, 97.8) 63-81 1220 H Wash St WC (12-20, 95.6) 78-84 1228 A BUF **-49 1231 H Furman SO F (23-13, 95.4) 72-74 103 H Ea Tenn St SO E (23-11, 95.4) 71-77 107 A The Citadel SO (11-22, 93.9) **-63 110 A Wofford SO W (19-13, 95.0) **-97 115 A VMI SO ( 6-26, 93.1) 77-67 117 A UNCG SO U (14-20, 94.5) **-92 121 A We Carolina SO W (15-17, 94.8) 88-76 124 H Wofford SO W (19-13, 95.0) 77-80 129 A UNCG SO U (14-20, 94.5) 95-77 131 A VMI SO ( 6-26, 93.1) 95-81 205 H Chattanooga SO U (13-19, 94.2) 75-79 207 H Samford SO S (18-14, 95.1) 49-69 211 A Furman SO F (23-13, 95.4) 69-64 214 A The Citadel SO (11-22, 93.9) 70-54 219 H Chattanooga SO U (13-19, 94.2) 90-94 221 A Samford SO S (18-14, 95.1) 89-86 225 H We Carolina SO W (15-17, 94.8) 74-78 228 A Ea Tenn St SO E (23-11, 95.4) 82-76 307 H We Carolina SO W (15-17, 94.8) 73-77
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1103 H Tennessee 61-76 -15 -3 0.00
1109 A Lipscomb 92-77 15 0 + 2.02
1115 H Winthrop 69-** -36 0 -1.65
1122 A Ea Kentucky 95-83 12 1 1.00
1126 A App State 75-67 8 0 + 2.27
1129 A Elon 91-84 7 0 1.70
1202 A Georgia St 78-67 11 1 1.00
1213 H Clemson 63-70 -7 -3 0.00
1217 H UCF 63-81 -18 -3 0.00
1220 H Wash St 78-84 -6 0 -1.59
1231 H Furman 72-74 -2 0 -1.84
103 H Ea Tenn St 71-77 -6 0 -1.77
107 A The Citadel **-63 38 1 0.74
110 A Wofford **-97 12 0 1.83
115 A VMI 77-67 10 2 0.00
117 A UNCG **-92 10 1 1.33
121 A We Carolina 88-76 12 0 1.65
124 H Wofford 77-80 -3 0 - -2.19
129 A UNCG 95-77 18 1 1.33
131 A VMI 95-81 14 2 0.00
205 H Chattanooga 75-79 -4 1 - -3.02
207 H Samford 49-69 -20 0 - -2.12
211 A Furman 69-64 5 0 + 2.18
214 A The Citadel 70-54 16 1 0.74
219 H Chattanooga 90-94 -4 1 - -3.02
221 A Samford 89-86 3 0 1.90
225 H We Carolina 74-78 -4 0 - -2.37
228 A Ea Tenn St 82-76 6 0 + 2.25
307 H We Carolina 73-77 -4 0 - -2.37
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 124 H Wofford 77-80 -3 0 - -2.19 205 H Chattanooga 75-79 -4 1 - -3.02 207 H Samford 49-69 -20 0 - -2.12 219 H Chattanooga 90-94 -4 1 - -3.02 225 H We Carolina 74-78 -4 0 - -2.37 307 H We Carolina 73-77 -4 0 - -2.37 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1109 A Lipscomb 92-77 15 0 + 2.02 1126 A App State 75-67 8 0 + 2.27 211 A Furman 69-64 5 0 + 2.18 228 A Ea Tenn St 82-76 6 0 + 2.25 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 33.01
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H Tennessee (25-12, 98.3) 61-76 -1.59 5.88 -0.01 1.14 -0.91
3 A Lipscomb (19-13, 95.2) 92-77 -4.70 2.78 0.01 1.14 6.35
3 H Winthrop (23-12, 95.6) 69-** -4.35 3.13 -0.01 1.14 -2.48
3 A Ea Kentucky (11-21, 94.2) 95-83 -5.71 1.77 0.01 1.14 4.05
3 A App State (19-14, 95.5) 75-67 -4.44 3.04 0.01 1.14 6.94
3 A Elon (14-18, 94.9) 91-84 -5.01 2.46 0.01 1.14 5.63
3 A Georgia St (10-23, 94.2) 78-67 -5.71 1.76 0.01 1.14 4.04
3 H Clemson (24-11, 97.8) 63-70 -2.07 5.41 -0.01 1.14 -1.18
3 H UCF (21-12, 97.8) 63-81 -2.10 5.37 -0.01 1.14 -1.20
3 H Wash St (12-20, 95.6) 78-84 -4.28 3.20 -0.01 1.14 -2.44
3 H Furman (23-13, 95.4) 72-74 -4.53 2.95 -0.01 1.14 -2.58
3 H Ea Tenn St (23-11, 95.4) 71-77 -4.46 3.02 -0.01 1.14 -2.54
3 A The Citadel (11-22, 93.9) **-63 -5.97 1.50 0.01 1.14 3.44
3 A Wofford (19-13, 95.0) **-97 -4.89 2.59 0.01 1.14 5.92
3 A VMI ( 6-26, 93.1) 77-67 -6.82 1.00 0.01 1.14 2.30
3 A UNCG (14-20, 94.5) **-92 -5.38 2.10 0.01 1.14 4.80
3 A We Carolina (15-17, 94.8) 88-76 -5.06 2.41 0.01 1.14 5.52
3 H Wofford (19-13, 95.0) 77-80 -4.89 2.59 -0.01 1.14 -2.79
3 A UNCG (14-20, 94.5) 95-77 -5.38 2.10 0.01 1.14 4.80
3 A VMI ( 6-26, 93.1) 95-81 -6.82 1.00 0.01 1.14 2.30
3 H Chattanooga (13-19, 94.2) 75-79 -5.71 1.77 -0.01 1.14 -3.26
3 H Samford (18-14, 95.1) 49-69 -4.81 2.67 -0.01 1.14 -2.74
3 A Furman (23-13, 95.4) 69-64 -4.53 2.95 0.01 1.14 6.73
3 A The Citadel (11-22, 93.9) 70-54 -5.97 1.50 0.01 1.14 3.44
3 H Chattanooga (13-19, 94.2) 90-94 -5.71 1.77 -0.01 1.14 -3.26
3 A Samford (18-14, 95.1) 89-86 -4.81 2.67 0.01 1.14 6.09
3 H We Carolina (15-17, 94.8) 74-78 -5.06 2.41 -0.01 1.14 -2.89
3 A Ea Tenn St (23-11, 95.4) 82-76 -4.46 3.02 0.01 1.14 6.89
3 H We Carolina (15-17, 94.8) 73-77 -5.06 2.41 -0.01 1.14 -2.89
------
48.08
|
winning pts = 79.2429 losing points = -31.1643
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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