Mercyhurst
W-L: (17-18) PR = 94.0101Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 1103 H Northwestern B10 (15-19, 96.9) 47-70 1106 A Loyola Chic A10 ( 9-23, 94.9) 73-65 1108 A PSUNK 93-43 1112 H Canisius MAAC (10-21, 93.9) 55-58 1115 A Morgan State MEAC M (13-17, 93.6) 86-72 1120 H Miami (OH) MA (30- 4, 97.4) 71-76 1123 H Marshall SB M (19-13, 95.6) 60-69 1126 H Bryant AE (10-25, 93.3) 61-87 1130 H West Va B12 (22-13, 97.7) 38-70 1205 H Lafayette PAT L (11-22, 93.8) 71-79 1207 A BETHW 80-51 1213 H Davidson A10 (20-15, 96.2) 47-80 1217 H Syracuse ACC (15-17, 96.8) 62-76 1220 A Binghamton AE ( 8-23, 92.7) 82-61 102 H FDU NE (11-21, 93.3) 67-74 104 A Le Moyne NE L (15-17, 94.1) 74-60 108 H LIU NE (24-11, 95.2) 58-60 110 A Wagner NE W (14-17, 93.9) 70-69 117 H Stonehill NE S (12-21, 93.4) 57-62 119 A Ce Connecticut NE C (18-13, 94.3) 79-61 123 A New Haven NE N (14-17, 93.8) 61-57 125 A Chicago St NE C ( 7-25, 93.2) 61-59 129 A New Haven NE N (14-17, 93.8) 70-51 131 H Chicago St NE C ( 7-25, 93.2) 74-78 205 A St Francis NE S ( 7-24, 92.9) 98-89 207 H FDU NE (11-21, 93.3) 52-55 212 H Le Moyne NE L (15-17, 94.1) 57-58 214 A St Francis NE S ( 7-24, 92.9) 94-79 219 H Wagner NE W (14-17, 93.9) 80-83 221 A LIU NE (24-11, 95.2) 91-83 226 H Ce Connecticut NE C (18-13, 94.3) 78-80 228 A Stonehill NE S (12-21, 93.4) 75-72 304 A FDU NE (11-21, 93.3) 70-61 307 A Stonehill NE S (12-21, 93.4) 56-51 310 H LIU NE (24-11, 95.2) 70-79
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1103 H Northwestern 47-70 -23 -3 0.00
1106 A Loyola Chic 73-65 8 -1 + 2.93
1112 H Canisius 55-58 -3 0 - -2.07
1115 A Morgan State 86-72 14 0 1.58
1120 H Miami (OH) 71-76 -5 -3 0.00
1123 H Marshall 60-69 -9 -2 -0.38
1126 H Bryant 61-87 -26 1 - -2.69
1130 H West Va 38-70 -32 -4 0.00
1205 H Lafayette 71-79 -8 0 - -2.23
1213 H Davidson 47-80 -33 -2 0.00
1217 H Syracuse 62-76 -14 -3 0.00
1220 A Binghamton 82-61 21 1 0.71
102 H FDU 67-74 -7 1 - -2.68
104 A Le Moyne 74-60 14 0 + 2.07
108 H LIU 58-60 -2 -1 -0.82
110 A Wagner 70-69 1 0 0.86
117 H Stonehill 57-62 -5 1 - -2.62
119 A Ce Connecticut 79-61 18 0 + 2.35
123 A New Haven 61-57 4 0 1.82
125 A Chicago St 61-59 2 1 1.22
129 A New Haven 70-51 19 0 1.82
131 H Chicago St 74-78 -4 1 - -2.80
205 A St Francis 98-89 9 1 0.93
207 H FDU 52-55 -3 1 - -2.68
212 H Le Moyne 57-58 -1 0 -0.95
214 A St Francis 94-79 15 1 0.93
219 H Wagner 80-83 -3 0 - -2.16
221 A LIU 91-83 8 -1 + 3.20
226 H Ce Connecticut 78-80 -2 0 -1.67
228 A Stonehill 75-72 3 1 1.40
304 A FDU 70-61 9 1 1.34
307 A Stonehill 56-51 5 1 1.40
310 H LIU 70-79 -9 -1 -0.82
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1112 H Canisius 55-58 -3 0 - -2.07 1126 H Bryant 61-87 -26 1 - -2.69 1205 H Lafayette 71-79 -8 0 - -2.23 102 H FDU 67-74 -7 1 - -2.68 117 H Stonehill 57-62 -5 1 - -2.62 131 H Chicago St 74-78 -4 1 - -2.80 207 H FDU 52-55 -3 1 - -2.68 219 H Wagner 80-83 -3 0 - -2.16 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1106 A Loyola Chic 73-65 8 -1 + 2.93 104 A Le Moyne 74-60 14 0 + 2.07 119 A Ce Connecticut 79-61 18 0 + 2.35 221 A LIU 91-83 8 -1 + 3.20 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 33.01
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H Northwestern (15-19, 96.9) 47-70 -3.02 4.46 -0.01 1.00 -1.51
3 A Loyola Chic ( 9-23, 94.9) 73-65 -4.97 2.50 0.01 1.00 5.03
3 H Canisius (10-21, 93.9) 55-58 -5.95 1.53 -0.01 1.00 -2.98
3 A Morgan State (13-17, 93.6) 86-72 -6.32 1.16 0.01 1.00 2.34
3 H Miami (OH) (30- 4, 97.4) 71-76 -2.50 4.97 -0.01 1.00 -1.26
3 H Marshall (19-13, 95.6) 60-69 -4.26 3.22 -0.01 1.00 -2.14
3 H Bryant (10-25, 93.3) 61-87 -6.57 1.00 -0.01 1.00 -3.29
3 H West Va (22-13, 97.7) 38-70 -2.24 5.24 -0.01 1.00 -1.13
3 H Lafayette (11-22, 93.8) 71-79 -6.11 1.36 -0.01 1.00 -3.06
3 H Davidson (20-15, 96.2) 47-80 -3.75 3.73 -0.01 1.00 -1.88
3 H Syracuse (15-17, 96.8) 62-76 -3.13 4.34 -0.01 1.00 -1.57
3 A Binghamton ( 8-23, 92.7) 82-61 -7.19 1.00 0.01 1.00 2.02
3 H FDU (11-21, 93.3) 67-74 -6.56 1.00 -0.01 1.00 -3.29
3 A Le Moyne (15-17, 94.1) 74-60 -5.83 1.64 0.01 1.00 3.31
3 H LIU (24-11, 95.2) 58-60 -4.70 2.78 -0.01 1.00 -2.35
3 A Wagner (14-17, 93.9) 70-69 -6.04 1.44 0.01 1.00 2.89
3 H Stonehill (12-21, 93.4) 57-62 -6.50 1.00 -0.01 1.00 -3.26
3 A Ce Connecticut (18-13, 94.3) 79-61 -5.55 1.92 0.01 1.00 3.87
3 A New Haven (14-17, 93.8) 61-57 -6.08 1.40 0.01 1.00 2.82
3 A Chicago St ( 7-25, 93.2) 61-59 -6.68 1.00 0.01 1.00 2.02
3 A New Haven (14-17, 93.8) 70-51 -6.08 1.40 0.01 1.00 2.82
3 H Chicago St ( 7-25, 93.2) 74-78 -6.68 1.00 -0.01 1.00 -3.34
3 A St Francis ( 7-24, 92.9) 98-89 -6.96 1.00 0.01 1.00 2.02
3 H FDU (11-21, 93.3) 52-55 -6.56 1.00 -0.01 1.00 -3.29
3 H Le Moyne (15-17, 94.1) 57-58 -5.83 1.64 -0.01 1.00 -2.92
3 A St Francis ( 7-24, 92.9) 94-79 -6.96 1.00 0.01 1.00 2.02
3 H Wagner (14-17, 93.9) 80-83 -6.04 1.44 -0.01 1.00 -3.03
3 A LIU (24-11, 95.2) 91-83 -4.70 2.78 0.01 1.00 5.58
3 H Ce Connecticut (18-13, 94.3) 78-80 -5.55 1.92 -0.01 1.00 -2.78
3 A Stonehill (12-21, 93.4) 75-72 -6.50 1.00 0.01 1.00 2.02
3 A FDU (11-21, 93.3) 70-61 -6.56 1.00 0.01 1.00 2.02
3 A Stonehill (12-21, 93.4) 56-51 -6.50 1.00 0.01 1.00 2.02
3 H LIU (24-11, 95.2) 70-79 -4.70 2.78 -0.01 1.00 -2.35
------
-2.63
|
winning pts = 42.8069 losing points = -45.4332
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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