Merrimack
W-L: (22-12) PR = 95.4969Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 1103 H So Dakota St SM (13-18, 94.7) 66-75 1106 H Auburn SEC A (22-16, 97.7) 57-95 1111 H Tarleton St WAC T (13-18, 95.2) 62-76 1115 A Boston Univ PAT (17-17, 94.3) 91-79 1119 A Maine AE ( 8-24, 93.2) 72-65 1121 H Florida SEC (27- 8, 98.8) 45-80 1128 H Pennsylvania IVY (18-12, 95.8) 65-77 1129 H Hofstra CA (24-11, 96.1) 58-78 1130 A La Salle A10 ( 9-23, 95.0) 66-60 1204 A Rider MAAC ( 4-25, 93.2) 68-66 1207 A Fairfield MAAC (22-13, 95.1) 74-63 1210 A Princeton IVY ( 9-19, 94.5) 59-56 1214 H Vermont AE (22-12, 94.8) 59-66 1229 A Sacred Heart MAAC (14-19, 94.4) 80-72 102 A Mt St Marys MAAC (14-17, 94.5) 75-65 104 A Manhattan MAAC (12-21, 94.1) 73-66 109 A Siena MAAC (23-12, 95.3) 63-59 111 H St Peters MAAC (17-12, 95.1) 63-76 117 A Quinnipiac MAAC (19-13, 95.2) 83-71 119 A Marist MAAC (19-12, 95.2) 68-55 122 H Iona MAAC (19-13, 95.1) 60-61 124 A St Peters MAAC (17-12, 95.1) 67-59 201 A Sacred Heart MAAC (14-19, 94.4) 75-58 205 A Mt St Marys MAAC (14-17, 94.5) 87-70 207 A Rider MAAC ( 4-25, 93.2) 73-47 212 A Marist MAAC (19-12, 95.2) 81-56 215 A Quinnipiac MAAC (19-13, 95.2) 56-49 220 A Siena MAAC (23-12, 95.3) 79-72 222 A Iona MAAC (19-13, 95.1) 88-94 227 H Canisius MAAC (10-21, 93.9) 62-67 301 A Niagara MAAC ( 8-22, 93.7) 73-66 306 A Sacred Heart MAAC (14-19, 94.4) 70-48 308 A Marist MAAC (19-12, 95.2) 58-57 310 H Siena MAAC (23-12, 95.3) 54-64
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1103 H So Dakota St 66-75 -9 1 - -2.78
1106 H Auburn 57-95 -38 -2 0.00
1111 H Tarleton St 62-76 -14 0 - -2.32
1115 A Boston Univ 91-79 12 1 0.80
1119 A Maine 72-65 7 2 0.00
1121 H Florida 45-80 -35 -3 0.00
1128 H Pennsylvania 65-77 -12 0 -1.71
1129 H Hofstra 58-78 -20 -1 -1.39
1130 A La Salle 66-60 6 0 1.51
1204 A Rider 68-66 2 2 0.00
1207 A Fairfield 74-63 11 0 1.57
1210 A Princeton 59-56 3 1 0.99
1214 H Vermont 59-66 -7 1 - -2.73
1229 A Sacred Heart 80-72 8 1 0.88
102 A Mt St Marys 75-65 10 1 1.06
104 A Manhattan 73-66 7 1 0.60
109 A Siena 63-59 4 0 1.81
111 H St Peters 63-76 -13 0 - -2.38
117 A Quinnipiac 83-71 12 0 1.67
119 A Marist 68-55 13 0 1.69
122 H Iona 60-61 -1 0 -1.38
124 A St Peters 67-59 8 0 1.64
201 A Sacred Heart 75-58 17 1 0.88
205 A Mt St Marys 87-70 17 1 1.06
207 A Rider 73-47 26 2 0.00
212 A Marist 81-56 25 0 1.69
215 A Quinnipiac 56-49 7 0 1.67
220 A Siena 79-72 7 0 1.81
222 A Iona 88-94 -6 0 - -2.36
227 H Canisius 62-67 -5 2 - -3.56
301 A Niagara 73-66 7 2 0.21
306 A Sacred Heart 70-48 22 1 0.88
308 A Marist 58-57 1 0 0.69
310 H Siena 54-64 -10 0 - -2.21
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1103 H So Dakota St 66-75 -9 1 - -2.78 1111 H Tarleton St 62-76 -14 0 - -2.32 1214 H Vermont 59-66 -7 1 - -2.73 111 H St Peters 63-76 -13 0 - -2.38 222 A Iona 88-94 -6 0 - -2.36 227 H Canisius 62-67 -5 2 - -3.56 310 H Siena 54-64 -10 0 - -2.21 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 33.01
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H So Dakota St (13-18, 94.7) 66-75 -5.17 2.31 -0.01 0.97 -2.51
3 H Auburn (22-16, 97.7) 57-95 -2.19 5.29 -0.01 0.97 -1.07
3 H Tarleton St (13-18, 95.2) 62-76 -4.72 2.76 -0.01 0.97 -2.29
3 A Boston Univ (17-17, 94.3) 91-79 -5.61 1.87 0.01 0.97 3.65
3 A Maine ( 8-24, 93.2) 72-65 -6.72 1.00 0.01 0.97 1.96
3 H Florida (27- 8, 98.8) 45-80 -1.07 6.40 -0.01 0.97 -0.53
3 H Pennsylvania (18-12, 95.8) 65-77 -4.10 3.37 -0.01 0.97 -2.00
3 H Hofstra (24-11, 96.1) 58-78 -3.78 3.70 -0.01 0.97 -1.84
3 A La Salle ( 9-23, 95.0) 66-60 -4.91 2.57 0.01 0.97 5.01
3 A Rider ( 4-25, 93.2) 68-66 -6.73 1.00 0.01 0.97 1.96
3 A Fairfield (22-13, 95.1) 74-63 -4.85 2.63 0.01 0.97 5.12
3 A Princeton ( 9-19, 94.5) 59-56 -5.43 2.05 0.01 0.97 4.00
3 H Vermont (22-12, 94.8) 59-66 -5.12 2.36 -0.01 0.97 -2.49
3 A Sacred Heart (14-19, 94.4) 80-72 -5.54 1.94 0.01 0.97 3.79
3 A Mt St Marys (14-17, 94.5) 75-65 -5.35 2.12 0.01 0.97 4.14
3 A Manhattan (12-21, 94.1) 73-66 -5.81 1.67 0.01 0.97 3.26
3 A Siena (23-12, 95.3) 63-59 -4.60 2.88 0.01 0.97 5.61
3 H St Peters (17-12, 95.1) 63-76 -4.77 2.71 -0.01 0.97 -2.32
3 A Quinnipiac (19-13, 95.2) 83-71 -4.74 2.74 0.01 0.97 5.34
3 A Marist (19-12, 95.2) 68-55 -4.73 2.75 0.01 0.97 5.36
3 H Iona (19-13, 95.1) 60-61 -4.77 2.71 -0.01 0.97 -2.32
3 A St Peters (17-12, 95.1) 67-59 -4.77 2.71 0.01 0.97 5.27
3 A Sacred Heart (14-19, 94.4) 75-58 -5.54 1.94 0.01 0.97 3.79
3 A Mt St Marys (14-17, 94.5) 87-70 -5.35 2.12 0.01 0.97 4.14
3 A Rider ( 4-25, 93.2) 73-47 -6.73 1.00 0.01 0.97 1.96
3 A Marist (19-12, 95.2) 81-56 -4.73 2.75 0.01 0.97 5.36
3 A Quinnipiac (19-13, 95.2) 56-49 -4.74 2.74 0.01 0.97 5.34
3 A Siena (23-12, 95.3) 79-72 -4.60 2.88 0.01 0.97 5.61
3 A Iona (19-13, 95.1) 88-94 -4.77 2.71 0.01 0.97 -2.31
3 H Canisius (10-21, 93.9) 62-67 -5.95 1.53 -0.01 0.97 -2.89
3 A Niagara ( 8-22, 93.7) 73-66 -6.20 1.28 0.01 0.97 2.50
3 A Sacred Heart (14-19, 94.4) 70-48 -5.54 1.94 0.01 0.97 3.79
3 A Marist (19-12, 95.2) 58-57 -4.73 2.75 0.01 0.97 5.36
3 H Siena (23-12, 95.3) 54-64 -4.60 2.88 -0.01 0.97 -2.24
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67.49
|
winning pts = 92.3000 losing points = -24.8105
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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