Michigan
W-L: (37- 3) PR = 99.7604Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 1103 A Oakland HL (16-16, 95.4) **-78 1111 A Wake Forest ACC (18-17, 97.0) 85-84 1114 A TCU B12 (24-12, 98.0) 67-63 1119 A Middle Tenn CUSA (16-16, 95.4) 86-61 1124 A San Diego St MW (22-11, 97.4) 94-54 1125 A Auburn SEC A (22-16, 97.7) **-72 1126 A Gonzaga WC (31- 4, 98.5) **-61 1206 A Rutgers B10 (14-19, 96.5) **-60 1209 A Villanova BE (24- 9, 98.1) 89-61 1213 A Maryland B10 (12-21, 96.6) **-83 1221 A La Salle A10 ( 9-23, 95.0) **-50 1229 A McNeese SL M (26- 7, 96.8) **-71 102 A USC B10 (18-14, 97.3) 96-66 106 A Penn St B10 (12-20, 96.2) 74-72 110 H Wisconsin B10 (23-11, 98.2) 88-91 114 A Washington B10 (16-17, 96.9) 82-72 117 A Oregon B10 (12-20, 96.6) 81-71 120 A Indiana B10 (18-14, 97.3) 86-72 123 A Ohio St B10 (20-14, 97.8) 74-62 127 A Nebraska B10 (28- 7, 98.6) 75-72 130 A Michigan St B10 (27- 8, 98.7) 83-71 205 A Penn St B10 (12-20, 96.2) **-69 208 A Ohio St B10 (20-14, 97.8) 82-61 211 A Northwestern B10 (15-19, 96.9) 87-75 214 A UCLA B10 (24-12, 98.0) 86-56 217 A Purdue B10 (30- 9, 98.8) 91-80 221 H Duke ACC (35- 3, 99.7) 63-68 224 A Minnesota B10 (15-18, 96.7) 77-67 227 A Illinois B10 (28- 9, 98.7) 84-70 305 A Iowa B10 (24-13, 97.9) 71-68 308 A Michigan St B10 (27- 8, 98.7) 90-80 313 A Ohio St B10 (20-14, 97.8) 71-67 314 A Wisconsin B10 (23-11, 98.2) 68-65 315 H Purdue B10 (30- 9, 98.8) 72-80 319 A Howard MEAC (24-11, 95.0) **-80 321 A St Louis A10 (29- 6, 97.6) 95-72 327 A Alabama SEC A (25-10, 98.5) 90-77 329 A Tennessee SEC (25-12, 98.3) 95-62 404 A Arizona B12 (36- 3, 99.9) 91-73 406 H Connecticut BE (33- 6, 99.1) 69-63
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1103 A Oakland **-78 43 4 0.00
1111 A Wake Forest 85-84 1 3 -1.00
1114 A TCU 67-63 4 2 0.26
1119 A Middle Tenn 86-61 25 4 0.00
1124 A San Diego St 94-54 40 2 0.00
1125 A Auburn **-72 30 2 0.00
1126 A Gonzaga **-61 40 1 0.78
1206 A Rutgers **-60 41 3 0.00
1209 A Villanova 89-61 28 2 0.32
1213 A Maryland **-83 18 3 0.00
1221 A La Salle **-50 52 5 0.00
1229 A McNeese **-71 41 3 0.00
102 A USC 96-66 30 2 0.00
106 A Penn St 74-72 2 4 0.00
110 H Wisconsin 88-91 -3 2 - -3.58
114 A Washington 82-72 10 3 0.00
117 A Oregon 81-71 10 3 0.00
120 A Indiana 86-72 14 2 0.00
123 A Ohio St 74-62 12 2 0.03
127 A Nebraska 75-72 3 1 0.82
130 A Michigan St 83-71 12 1 0.96
205 A Penn St **-69 41 4 0.00
208 A Ohio St 82-61 21 2 0.03
211 A Northwestern 87-75 12 3 0.00
214 A UCLA 86-56 30 2 0.29
217 A Purdue 91-80 11 1 1.01
221 H Duke 63-68 -5 0 - -2.04
224 A Minnesota 77-67 10 3 0.00
227 A Illinois 84-70 14 1 0.92
305 A Iowa 71-68 3 2 0.15
308 A Michigan St 90-80 10 1 0.96
313 A Ohio St 71-67 4 2 0.03
314 A Wisconsin 68-65 3 2 0.44
315 H Purdue 72-80 -8 1 - -3.01
319 A Howard **-80 21 5 0.00
321 A St Louis 95-72 23 2 0.00
327 A Alabama 90-77 13 1 0.79
329 A Tennessee 95-62 33 1 0.56
404 A Arizona 91-73 18 0 + 2.15
406 H Connecticut 69-63 6 1 1.36
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 110 H Wisconsin 88-91 -3 2 - -3.58 221 H Duke 63-68 -5 0 - -2.04 315 H Purdue 72-80 -8 1 - -3.01 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 404 A Arizona 91-73 18 0 + 2.15 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 33.01
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A Oakland (16-16, 95.4) **-78 -4.53 2.94 0.01 0.83 4.87
3 A Wake Forest (18-17, 97.0) 85-84 -2.85 4.63 0.01 0.83 7.65
3 A TCU (24-12, 98.0) 67-63 -1.89 5.58 0.01 0.83 9.23
3 A Middle Tenn (16-16, 95.4) 86-61 -4.46 3.02 0.01 0.83 4.99
3 A San Diego St (22-11, 97.4) 94-54 -2.51 4.96 0.01 0.83 8.21
3 A Auburn (22-16, 97.7) **-72 -2.19 5.29 0.01 0.83 8.75
3 A Gonzaga (31- 4, 98.5) **-61 -1.37 6.10 0.01 0.83 10.09
3 A Rutgers (14-19, 96.5) **-60 -3.41 4.07 0.01 0.83 6.73
3 A Villanova (24- 9, 98.1) 89-61 -1.83 5.65 0.01 0.83 9.34
3 A Maryland (12-21, 96.6) **-83 -3.32 4.15 0.01 0.83 6.87
3 A La Salle ( 9-23, 95.0) **-50 -4.91 2.57 0.01 0.83 4.26
3 A McNeese (26- 7, 96.8) **-71 -3.11 4.37 0.01 0.83 7.22
3 A USC (18-14, 97.3) 96-66 -2.60 4.88 0.01 0.83 8.06
3 A Penn St (12-20, 96.2) 74-72 -3.68 3.80 0.01 0.83 6.29
3 H Wisconsin (23-11, 98.2) 88-91 -1.71 5.77 -0.01 0.83 -0.71
3 A Washington (16-17, 96.9) 82-72 -2.96 4.52 0.01 0.83 7.48
3 A Oregon (12-20, 96.6) 81-71 -3.33 4.15 0.01 0.83 6.86
3 A Indiana (18-14, 97.3) 86-72 -2.58 4.89 0.01 0.83 8.09
3 A Ohio St (20-14, 97.8) 74-62 -2.12 5.36 0.01 0.83 8.87
3 A Nebraska (28- 7, 98.6) 75-72 -1.33 6.15 0.01 0.83 10.16
3 A Michigan St (27- 8, 98.7) 83-71 -1.19 6.29 0.01 0.83 10.39
3 A Penn St (12-20, 96.2) **-69 -3.68 3.80 0.01 0.83 6.29
3 A Ohio St (20-14, 97.8) 82-61 -2.12 5.36 0.01 0.83 8.87
3 A Northwestern (15-19, 96.9) 87-75 -3.02 4.46 0.01 0.83 7.38
3 A UCLA (24-12, 98.0) 86-56 -1.86 5.61 0.01 0.83 9.28
3 A Purdue (30- 9, 98.8) 91-80 -1.14 6.34 0.01 0.83 10.48
3 H Duke (35- 3, 99.7) 63-68 -0.17 7.30 -0.01 0.83 -0.08
3 A Minnesota (15-18, 96.7) 77-67 -3.17 4.31 0.01 0.83 7.13
3 A Illinois (28- 9, 98.7) 84-70 -1.23 6.25 0.01 0.83 10.33
3 A Iowa (24-13, 97.9) 71-68 -2.00 5.48 0.01 0.83 9.05
3 A Michigan St (27- 8, 98.7) 90-80 -1.19 6.29 0.01 0.83 10.39
3 A Ohio St (20-14, 97.8) 71-67 -2.12 5.36 0.01 0.83 8.87
3 A Wisconsin (23-11, 98.2) 68-65 -1.71 5.77 0.01 0.83 9.54
3 H Purdue (30- 9, 98.8) 72-80 -1.14 6.34 -0.01 0.83 -0.47
3 A Howard (24-11, 95.0) **-80 -4.95 2.53 0.01 0.83 4.19
3 A St Louis (29- 6, 97.6) 95-72 -2.27 5.21 0.01 0.83 8.61
3 A Alabama (25-10, 98.5) 90-77 -1.36 6.12 0.01 0.83 10.12
3 A Tennessee (25-12, 98.3) 95-62 -1.59 5.88 0.01 0.83 9.73
3 A Arizona (36- 3, 99.9) 91-73 -0.00 7.48 0.01 0.83 12.36
3 H Connecticut (33- 6, 99.1) 69-63 -0.77 6.71 -0.01 0.83 11.05
------
306.82
|
winning pts = 308.0771 losing points = -1.2573
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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