Michigan St
W-L: (27- 8) PR = 98.7093Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 1103 A Colgate PAT (18-15, 94.7) 80-69 1108 A Arkansas SEC (28- 9, 98.5) 69-66 1113 A San Jose St MW ( 9-24, 95.3) 79-60 1118 A Kentucky SEC (22-14, 98.0) 83-66 1121 A Detroit HL (17-15, 95.2) 84-56 1125 A Ea Carolina AME (12-19, 95.1) 89-56 1127 A No Carolina ACC (24- 9, 98.2) 74-58 1202 A Iowa B10 (24-13, 97.9) 71-52 1206 H Duke ACC (35- 3, 99.7) 60-66 1213 A Penn St B10 (12-20, 96.2) 76-72 1216 A Toledo MA (19-15, 95.7) 92-69 1220 A Oakland HL (16-16, 95.4) 79-70 1229 A Cornell IVY (14-14, 95.1) **-97 102 H Nebraska B10 (28- 7, 98.6) 56-58 105 A USC B10 (18-14, 97.3) 80-51 108 A Northwestern B10 (15-19, 96.9) 76-66 113 A Indiana B10 (18-14, 97.3) 81-60 117 A Washington B10 (16-17, 96.9) 80-63 120 A Oregon B10 (12-20, 96.6) 68-52 124 A Maryland B10 (12-21, 96.6) 91-48 127 A Rutgers B10 (14-19, 96.5) 88-79 130 H Michigan B10 (37- 3, 99.8) 71-83 204 H Minnesota B10 (15-18, 96.7) 73-76 207 A Illinois B10 (28- 9, 98.7) 85-82 213 H Wisconsin B10 (23-11, 98.2) 71-92 217 A UCLA B10 (24-12, 98.0) 82-59 222 A Ohio St B10 (20-14, 97.8) 66-60 226 A Purdue B10 (30- 9, 98.8) 76-74 301 A Indiana B10 (18-14, 97.3) 77-64 305 A Rutgers B10 (14-19, 96.5) 91-87 308 H Michigan B10 (37- 3, 99.8) 80-90 313 H UCLA B10 (24-12, 98.0) 84-88 319 A No Dakota St SM (26- 8, 96.1) 92-67 321 A Louisville ACC (24-11, 98.0) 77-69 327 H Connecticut BE (33- 6, 99.1) 63-67
PREDICTION LIST
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|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1103 A Colgate 80-69 11 4 0.00
1108 A Arkansas 69-66 3 0 1.80
1113 A San Jose St 79-60 19 3 0.00
1118 A Kentucky 83-66 17 1 1.29
1121 A Detroit 84-56 28 4 0.00
1125 A Ea Carolina 89-56 33 4 0.00
1127 A No Carolina 74-58 16 1 1.49
1202 A Iowa 71-52 19 1 1.20
1206 H Duke 60-66 -6 -1 -0.99
1213 A Penn St 76-72 4 2 0.00
1216 A Toledo 92-69 23 3 0.00
1220 A Oakland 79-70 9 3 0.00
1229 A Cornell **-97 17 4 0.00
102 H Nebraska 56-58 -2 0 - -2.15
105 A USC 80-51 29 1 0.60
108 A Northwestern 76-66 10 2 0.18
113 A Indiana 81-60 21 1 0.62
117 A Washington 80-63 17 2 0.24
120 A Oregon 68-52 16 2 0.00
124 A Maryland 91-48 43 2 0.00
127 A Rutgers 88-79 9 2 0.00
130 H Michigan 71-83 -12 -1 -0.96
204 H Minnesota 73-76 -3 2 - -3.98
207 A Illinois 85-82 3 0 1.97
213 H Wisconsin 71-92 -21 1 - -2.53
217 A UCLA 82-59 23 1 1.34
222 A Ohio St 66-60 6 1 1.09
226 A Purdue 76-74 2 0 + 2.06
301 A Indiana 77-64 13 1 0.62
305 A Rutgers 91-87 4 2 0.00
308 H Michigan 80-90 -10 -1 -0.96
313 H UCLA 84-88 -4 1 - -2.68
319 A No Dakota St 92-67 25 3 0.00
321 A Louisville 77-69 8 1 1.33
327 H Connecticut 63-67 -4 0 -1.59
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UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 102 H Nebraska 56-58 -2 0 - -2.15 204 H Minnesota 73-76 -3 2 - -3.98 213 H Wisconsin 71-92 -21 1 - -2.53 313 H UCLA 84-88 -4 1 - -2.68 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 226 A Purdue 76-74 2 0 + 2.06 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 33.01
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A Colgate (18-15, 94.7) 80-69 -5.20 2.28 0.01 0.94 4.32
3 A Arkansas (28- 9, 98.5) 69-66 -1.40 6.07 0.01 0.94 11.48
3 A San Jose St ( 9-24, 95.3) 79-60 -4.59 2.88 0.01 0.94 5.46
3 A Kentucky (22-14, 98.0) 83-66 -1.91 5.57 0.01 0.94 10.53
3 A Detroit (17-15, 95.2) 84-56 -4.70 2.78 0.01 0.94 5.25
3 A Ea Carolina (12-19, 95.1) 89-56 -4.84 2.63 0.01 0.94 4.99
3 A No Carolina (24- 9, 98.2) 74-58 -1.71 5.77 0.01 0.94 10.90
3 A Iowa (24-13, 97.9) 71-52 -2.00 5.48 0.01 0.94 10.35
3 H Duke (35- 3, 99.7) 60-66 -0.17 7.30 -0.01 0.94 -0.09
3 A Penn St (12-20, 96.2) 76-72 -3.68 3.80 0.01 0.94 7.19
3 A Toledo (19-15, 95.7) 92-69 -4.20 3.27 0.01 0.94 6.19
3 A Oakland (16-16, 95.4) 79-70 -4.53 2.94 0.01 0.94 5.57
3 A Cornell (14-14, 95.1) **-97 -4.78 2.70 0.01 0.94 5.11
3 H Nebraska (28- 7, 98.6) 56-58 -1.33 6.15 -0.01 0.94 -0.63
3 A USC (18-14, 97.3) 80-51 -2.60 4.88 0.01 0.94 9.22
3 A Northwestern (15-19, 96.9) 76-66 -3.02 4.46 0.01 0.94 8.43
3 A Indiana (18-14, 97.3) 81-60 -2.58 4.89 0.01 0.94 9.25
3 A Washington (16-17, 96.9) 80-63 -2.96 4.52 0.01 0.94 8.54
3 A Oregon (12-20, 96.6) 68-52 -3.33 4.15 0.01 0.94 7.84
3 A Maryland (12-21, 96.6) 91-48 -3.32 4.15 0.01 0.94 7.85
3 A Rutgers (14-19, 96.5) 88-79 -3.41 4.07 0.01 0.94 7.69
3 H Michigan (37- 3, 99.8) 71-83 -0.14 7.34 -0.01 0.94 -0.07
3 H Minnesota (15-18, 96.7) 73-76 -3.17 4.31 -0.01 0.94 -1.50
3 A Illinois (28- 9, 98.7) 85-82 -1.23 6.25 0.01 0.94 11.80
3 H Wisconsin (23-11, 98.2) 71-92 -1.71 5.77 -0.01 0.94 -0.81
3 A UCLA (24-12, 98.0) 82-59 -1.86 5.61 0.01 0.94 10.61
3 A Ohio St (20-14, 97.8) 66-60 -2.12 5.36 0.01 0.94 10.13
3 A Purdue (30- 9, 98.8) 76-74 -1.14 6.34 0.01 0.94 11.97
3 A Indiana (18-14, 97.3) 77-64 -2.58 4.89 0.01 0.94 9.25
3 A Rutgers (14-19, 96.5) 91-87 -3.41 4.07 0.01 0.94 7.69
3 H Michigan (37- 3, 99.8) 80-90 -0.14 7.34 -0.01 0.94 -0.07
3 H UCLA (24-12, 98.0) 84-88 -1.86 5.61 -0.01 0.94 -0.88
3 A No Dakota St (26- 8, 96.1) 92-67 -3.82 3.65 0.01 0.94 6.91
3 A Louisville (24-11, 98.0) 77-69 -1.87 5.61 0.01 0.94 10.59
3 H Connecticut (33- 6, 99.1) 63-67 -0.77 6.71 -0.01 0.94 -0.37
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220.69
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winning pts = 225.1098 losing points = -4.4162
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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