Montana St
W-L: (18-14) PR = 95.5082Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 1103 H Colorado B12 (17-16, 97.1) 78-84 1105 A NWUNI **-44 1109 H Denver SM (14-18, 94.9) 73-75 1112 H Stanford ACC (20-13, 97.2) 68-77 1115 H Boise St MW (20-12, 97.0) 58-62 1120 A NOBEL 92-55 1121 A LB St BW (11-22, 94.7) 78-72 1129 H Utah State MW (29- 7, 97.9) 81-84 1203 A St Thomas MN SM (24-10, 95.8) 82-74 1206 H Oral Roberts SM (10-24, 94.2) 68-72 1213 H Oregon State WC (17-16, 96.1) 57-67 1216 A Cal Poly BW (14-19, 95.2) 83-80 1222 A NWUNI 93-54 101 A No Colorado BS (20-12, 95.6) 89-75 103 A No Arizona BS (11-22, 94.3) 77-68 108 A Ea Wash BS (14-18, 95.0) 68-64 110 H Idaho BS (21-15, 95.5) 89-92 117 A Montana BS (18-16, 95.5) 76-67 119 A No Colorado BS (20-12, 95.6) 73-68 122 A Idaho St BS (14-20, 94.7) 74-62 124 A Weber St BS (15-17, 95.1) 91-88 129 H Sacra St BS (10-21, 94.5) 80-83 131 H Portland St BS (20-11, 95.7) 54-63 205 A Idaho BS (21-15, 95.5) 73-66 207 H Ea Wash BS (14-18, 95.0) 71-72 214 A Montana BS (18-16, 95.5) 82-71 219 H Weber St BS (15-17, 95.1) 79-82 221 H Idaho St BS (14-20, 94.7) 76-91 226 A Portland St BS (20-11, 95.7) 84-69 228 A Sacra St BS (10-21, 94.5) 82-61 302 A No Arizona BS (11-22, 94.3) 76-65 308 H Idaho BS (21-15, 95.5) 74-78
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1103 H Colorado 78-84 -6 -2 -0.43
1109 H Denver 73-75 -2 1 - -2.63
1112 H Stanford 68-77 -9 -2 -0.33
1115 H Boise St 58-62 -4 -2 -0.47
1121 A LB St 78-72 6 1 1.23
1129 H Utah State 81-84 -3 -2 0.00
1203 A St Thomas MN 82-74 8 0 + 2.29
1206 H Oral Roberts 68-72 -4 1 - -3.32
1213 H Oregon State 57-67 -10 -1 -1.46
1216 A Cal Poly 83-80 3 0 1.75
101 A No Colorado 89-75 14 0 + 2.08
103 A No Arizona 77-68 9 1 0.82
108 A Ea Wash 68-64 4 0 1.50
110 H Idaho 89-92 -3 0 - -2.04
117 A Montana 76-67 9 0 1.96
119 A No Colorado 73-68 5 0 + 2.08
122 A Idaho St 74-62 12 1 1.17
124 A Weber St 91-88 3 0 1.61
129 H Sacra St 80-83 -3 1 - -3.03
131 H Portland St 54-63 -9 0 -1.86
205 A Idaho 73-66 7 0 1.98
207 H Ea Wash 71-72 -1 1 -1.52
214 A Montana 82-71 11 0 1.96
219 H Weber St 79-82 -3 0 - -2.41
221 H Idaho St 76-91 -15 1 - -2.85
226 A Portland St 84-69 15 0 + 2.16
228 A Sacra St 82-61 21 1 0.99
302 A No Arizona 76-65 11 1 0.82
308 H Idaho 74-78 -4 0 - -2.04
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1109 H Denver 73-75 -2 1 - -2.63 1206 H Oral Roberts 68-72 -4 1 - -3.32 110 H Idaho 89-92 -3 0 - -2.04 129 H Sacra St 80-83 -3 1 - -3.03 219 H Weber St 79-82 -3 0 - -2.41 221 H Idaho St 76-91 -15 1 - -2.85 308 H Idaho 74-78 -4 0 - -2.04 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1203 A St Thomas MN 82-74 8 0 + 2.29 101 A No Colorado 89-75 14 0 + 2.08 119 A No Colorado 73-68 5 0 + 2.08 226 A Portland St 84-69 15 0 + 2.16 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 33.01
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H Colorado (17-16, 97.1) 78-84 -2.81 4.67 -0.01 1.14 -1.60
3 H Denver (14-18, 94.9) 73-75 -5.01 2.46 -0.01 1.14 -2.86
3 H Stanford (20-13, 97.2) 68-77 -2.71 4.76 -0.01 1.14 -1.55
3 H Boise St (20-12, 97.0) 58-62 -2.85 4.62 -0.01 1.14 -1.63
3 A LB St (11-22, 94.7) 78-72 -5.18 2.30 0.01 1.14 5.26
3 H Utah State (29- 7, 97.9) 81-84 -2.00 5.47 -0.01 1.14 -1.15
3 A St Thomas MN (24-10, 95.8) 82-74 -4.11 3.37 0.01 1.14 7.69
3 H Oral Roberts (10-24, 94.2) 68-72 -5.70 1.77 -0.01 1.14 -3.25
3 H Oregon State (17-16, 96.1) 57-67 -3.85 3.63 -0.01 1.14 -2.19
3 A Cal Poly (14-19, 95.2) 83-80 -4.66 2.82 0.01 1.14 6.44
3 A No Colorado (20-12, 95.6) 89-75 -4.33 3.15 0.01 1.14 7.19
3 A No Arizona (11-22, 94.3) 77-68 -5.58 1.90 0.01 1.14 4.35
3 A Ea Wash (14-18, 95.0) 68-64 -4.90 2.58 0.01 1.14 5.89
3 H Idaho (21-15, 95.5) 89-92 -4.42 3.06 -0.01 1.14 -2.52
3 A Montana (18-16, 95.5) 76-67 -4.44 3.04 0.01 1.14 6.94
3 A No Colorado (20-12, 95.6) 73-68 -4.33 3.15 0.01 1.14 7.19
3 A Idaho St (14-20, 94.7) 74-62 -5.24 2.24 0.01 1.14 5.12
3 A Weber St (15-17, 95.1) 91-88 -4.79 2.68 0.01 1.14 6.13
3 H Sacra St (10-21, 94.5) 80-83 -5.41 2.06 -0.01 1.14 -3.09
3 H Portland St (20-11, 95.7) 54-63 -4.25 3.23 -0.01 1.14 -2.42
3 A Idaho (21-15, 95.5) 73-66 -4.42 3.06 0.01 1.14 6.99
3 H Ea Wash (14-18, 95.0) 71-72 -4.90 2.58 -0.01 1.14 -2.79
3 A Montana (18-16, 95.5) 82-71 -4.44 3.04 0.01 1.14 6.94
3 H Weber St (15-17, 95.1) 79-82 -4.79 2.68 -0.01 1.14 -2.73
3 H Idaho St (14-20, 94.7) 76-91 -5.24 2.24 -0.01 1.14 -2.99
3 A Portland St (20-11, 95.7) 84-69 -4.25 3.23 0.01 1.14 7.38
3 A Sacra St (10-21, 94.5) 82-61 -5.41 2.06 0.01 1.14 4.72
3 A No Arizona (11-22, 94.3) 76-65 -5.58 1.90 0.01 1.14 4.35
3 H Idaho (21-15, 95.5) 74-78 -4.42 3.06 -0.01 1.14 -2.52
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59.28
|
winning pts = 92.5790 losing points = -33.2981
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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