Morehead St 
W-L: (20-14) PR = 94.7703
Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score
1103 A MIDWA 89-84
1107 H Wake Forest ACC (18-17, 97.0) 65-81
1109 H Georgia SEC (23-11, 97.8) 81-**
1111 H Clemson ACC (24-11, 97.8) 56-83
1116 A KYCHR **-51
1121 H Ea Tenn St SO E (23-11, 95.4) 62-77
1122 A LA-Monroe SB U ( 4-28, 93.1) 83-80
1129 H IUI HL ( 6-24, 93.5) 80-85
1202 H Murray St MV (21-13, 96.0) 52-84
1206 H Presbyterian BSO (15-18, 94.4) 72-80
1216 A Little Rock OV (13-20, 94.0) 78-64
1220 A So Indiana OV ( 7-24, 93.2) 64-60
1228 A ALILL **-65
101 H Lindenwood OV (19-15, 94.4) 64-77
103 A SIUE OV (19-15, 94.5) 73-72
108 H UT Martin OV (22-12, 95.1) 68-76
110 A SE MO St OV (20-14, 94.8) 71-69
116 H Tenn St OV (24-10, 95.5) **-**
117 A Tenn Tech OV (14-18, 94.1) 76-70
119 H Howard MEAC (24-11, 95.0) 69-78
122 A We Illinois OV ( 5-27, 92.7) 71-66
124 A Ea Illinois OV (14-20, 94.1) 73-68
129 A SIUE OV (19-15, 94.5) 67-65
131 H Lindenwood OV (19-15, 94.4) 78-79
205 H SE MO St OV (20-14, 94.8) 70-82
207 A UT Martin OV (22-12, 95.1) 61-55
212 A Tenn Tech OV (14-18, 94.1) 73-66
214 A Tenn St OV (24-10, 95.5) 94-86
219 A Ea Illinois OV (14-20, 94.1) 73-70
221 A We Illinois OV ( 5-27, 92.7) 81-59
224 A So Indiana OV ( 7-24, 93.2) 64-63
226 A Little Rock OV (13-20, 94.0) 76-70
306 A SE MO St OV (20-14, 94.8) 66-61
307 H Tenn St OV (24-10, 95.5) 67-93
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1107 H Wake Forest 65-81 -16 -2 0.00
1109 H Georgia 81-** -39 -3 0.00
1111 H Clemson 56-83 -27 -3 0.00
1121 H Ea Tenn St 62-77 -15 -1 -1.34
1122 A LA-Monroe 83-80 3 2 0.38
1129 H IUI 80-85 -5 1 - -3.24
1202 H Murray St 52-84 -32 -1 -0.75
1206 H Presbyterian 72-80 -8 0 - -2.41
1216 A Little Rock 78-64 14 1 1.26
1220 A So Indiana 64-60 4 2 0.41
101 H Lindenwood 64-77 -13 0 - -2.35
103 A SIUE 73-72 1 0 0.73
108 H UT Martin 68-76 -8 0 -1.72
110 A SE MO St 71-69 2 0 + 2.06
116 H Tenn St **-** -5 -1 -1.32
117 A Tenn Tech 76-70 6 1 1.33
119 H Howard 69-78 -9 0 -1.83
122 A We Illinois 71-66 5 2 0.00
124 A Ea Illinois 73-68 5 1 1.31
129 A SIUE 67-65 2 0 1.73
131 H Lindenwood 78-79 -1 0 -1.35
205 H SE MO St 70-82 -12 0 -1.96
207 A UT Martin 61-55 6 0 + 2.30
212 A Tenn Tech 73-66 7 1 1.33
214 A Tenn St 94-86 8 -1 + 2.70
219 A Ea Illinois 73-70 3 1 1.31
221 A We Illinois 81-59 22 2 0.00
224 A So Indiana 64-63 1 2 -0.59
226 A Little Rock 76-70 6 1 1.26
306 A SE MO St 66-61 5 0 + 2.06
307 H Tenn St 67-93 -26 -1 -1.32
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1129 H IUI 80-85 -5 1 - -3.24
1206 H Presbyterian 72-80 -8 0 - -2.41
101 H Lindenwood 64-77 -13 0 - -2.35
|
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
110 A SE MO St 71-69 2 0 + 2.06
207 A UT Martin 61-55 6 0 + 2.30
214 A Tenn St 94-86 8 -1 + 2.70
306 A SE MO St 66-61 5 0 + 2.06
|

division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 33.01
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H Wake Forest (18-17, 97.0) 65-81 -2.85 4.63 -0.01 1.06 -1.52
3 H Georgia (23-11, 97.8) 81-** -2.13 5.35 -0.01 1.06 -1.14
3 H Clemson (24-11, 97.8) 56-83 -2.07 5.41 -0.01 1.06 -1.11
3 H Ea Tenn St (23-11, 95.4) 62-77 -4.46 3.02 -0.01 1.06 -2.38
3 A LA-Monroe ( 4-28, 93.1) 83-80 -6.76 1.00 0.01 1.06 2.15
3 H IUI ( 6-24, 93.5) 80-85 -6.36 1.11 -0.01 1.06 -3.39
3 H Murray St (21-13, 96.0) 52-84 -3.87 3.61 -0.01 1.06 -2.07
3 H Presbyterian (15-18, 94.4) 72-80 -5.53 1.95 -0.01 1.06 -2.95
3 A Little Rock (13-20, 94.0) 78-64 -5.88 1.60 0.01 1.06 3.42
3 A So Indiana ( 7-24, 93.2) 64-60 -6.73 1.00 0.01 1.06 2.15
3 H Lindenwood (19-15, 94.4) 64-77 -5.47 2.01 -0.01 1.06 -2.92
3 A SIUE (19-15, 94.5) 73-72 -5.41 2.07 0.01 1.06 4.43
3 H UT Martin (22-12, 95.1) 68-76 -4.84 2.64 -0.01 1.06 -2.58
3 A SE MO St (20-14, 94.8) 71-69 -5.08 2.39 0.01 1.06 5.12
3 H Tenn St (24-10, 95.5) **-** -4.44 3.04 -0.01 1.06 -2.37
3 A Tenn Tech (14-18, 94.1) 76-70 -5.81 1.66 0.01 1.06 3.57
3 H Howard (24-11, 95.0) 69-78 -4.95 2.53 -0.01 1.06 -2.64
3 A We Illinois ( 5-27, 92.7) 71-66 -7.24 1.00 0.01 1.06 2.15
3 A Ea Illinois (14-20, 94.1) 73-68 -5.82 1.65 0.01 1.06 3.54
3 A SIUE (19-15, 94.5) 67-65 -5.41 2.07 0.01 1.06 4.43
3 H Lindenwood (19-15, 94.4) 78-79 -5.47 2.01 -0.01 1.06 -2.92
3 H SE MO St (20-14, 94.8) 70-82 -5.08 2.39 -0.01 1.06 -2.71
3 A UT Martin (22-12, 95.1) 61-55 -4.84 2.64 0.01 1.06 5.65
3 A Tenn Tech (14-18, 94.1) 73-66 -5.81 1.66 0.01 1.06 3.57
3 A Tenn St (24-10, 95.5) 94-86 -4.44 3.04 0.01 1.06 6.49
3 A Ea Illinois (14-20, 94.1) 73-70 -5.82 1.65 0.01 1.06 3.54
3 A We Illinois ( 5-27, 92.7) 81-59 -7.24 1.00 0.01 1.06 2.15
3 A So Indiana ( 7-24, 93.2) 64-63 -6.73 1.00 0.01 1.06 2.15
3 A Little Rock (13-20, 94.0) 76-70 -5.88 1.60 0.01 1.06 3.42
3 A SE MO St (20-14, 94.8) 66-61 -5.08 2.39 0.01 1.06 5.12
3 H Tenn St (24-10, 95.5) 67-93 -4.44 3.04 -0.01 1.06 -2.37
------
29.97
|
winning pts = 63.0311 losing points = -33.0590
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction. ------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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