Morgan State
W-L: (13-17) PR = 93.5845Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 1103 H Georgetown BE (16-17, 96.9) 70-87 1106 A CENPE **-77 1111 H UMBC AE (24- 9, 94.9) 79-81 1115 H Mercyhurst NE M (17-18, 94.0) 72-86 1118 H NC A&T CA (11-19, 94.3) 73-79 1121 H Old Dominion SB (12-21, 94.7) 56-88 1125 H Drexel CA (17-16, 95.1) 66-71 1206 H Longwood BSO (16-16, 94.3) 80-84 1209 H DePaul BE (16-16, 96.7) 49-92 1213 A Niagara MAAC ( 8-22, 93.7) 81-73 1219 H California ACC (22-12, 97.1) 50-97 1221 H San Fran WC (17-16, 96.2) 64-94 1223 H Loyola Marym WC (14-18, 95.6) 56-83 1230 A PSTBW 92-55 103 H MD-Ea Shore MEAC ( 9-23, 93.0) 49-66 110 A SC St MEAC (10-22, 93.3) 72-67 112 H NC Center MEAC (14-18, 93.6) 78-89 117 A Delaware St MEAC D ( 8-24, 92.7) 80-79 120 A VALYN 124 A Howard MEAC (24-11, 95.0) 78-77 126 A Norfolk St MEAC N (14-19, 93.7) 79-78 131 A Coppin St MEAC C ( 7-24, 93.0) 89-80 207 A MD-Ea Shore MEAC ( 9-23, 93.0) 79-71 216 H NC Center MEAC (14-18, 93.6) 76-80 221 A Delaware St MEAC D ( 8-24, 92.7) 82-68 225 A SC St MEAC (10-22, 93.3) 90-83 228 H Howard MEAC (24-11, 95.0) 59-84 302 A Norfolk St MEAC N (14-19, 93.7) 90-84 305 A Coppin St MEAC C ( 7-24, 93.0) 70-66 311 H Delaware St MEAC D ( 8-24, 92.7) 70-75
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1103 H Georgetown 70-87 -17 -3 0.00
1111 H UMBC 79-81 -2 -1 -0.70
1115 H Mercyhurst 72-86 -14 0 -1.58
1118 H NC A&T 73-79 -6 -1 -1.25
1121 H Old Dominion 56-88 -32 -1 -0.92
1125 H Drexel 66-71 -5 -1 -0.53
1206 H Longwood 80-84 -4 -1 -1.33
1209 H DePaul 49-92 -43 -3 0.00
1213 A Niagara 81-73 8 0 + 2.13
1219 H California 50-97 -47 -4 0.00
1221 H San Fran 64-94 -30 -3 0.00
1223 H Loyola Marym 56-83 -27 -2 -0.02
103 H MD-Ea Shore 49-66 -17 1 - -2.59
110 A SC St 72-67 5 0 1.70
112 H NC Center 78-89 -11 0 - -2.03
117 A Delaware St 80-79 1 1 0.08
124 A Howard 78-77 1 -1 + 2.38
126 A Norfolk St 79-78 1 0 1.16
131 A Coppin St 89-80 9 1 1.38
207 A MD-Ea Shore 79-71 8 1 1.43
216 H NC Center 76-80 -4 0 - -2.03
221 A Delaware St 82-68 14 1 1.08
225 A SC St 90-83 7 0 1.70
228 H Howard 59-84 -25 -1 -0.64
302 A Norfolk St 90-84 6 0 + 2.16
305 A Coppin St 70-66 4 1 1.38
311 H Delaware St 70-75 -5 1 - -2.94
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 103 H MD-Ea Shore 49-66 -17 1 - -2.59 112 H NC Center 78-89 -11 0 - -2.03 216 H NC Center 76-80 -4 0 - -2.03 311 H Delaware St 70-75 -5 1 - -2.94 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1213 A Niagara 81-73 8 0 + 2.13 124 A Howard 78-77 1 -1 + 2.38 302 A Norfolk St 90-84 6 0 + 2.16 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 33.01
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H Georgetown (16-17, 96.9) 70-87 -3.02 4.46 -0.01 1.22 -1.85
3 H UMBC (24- 9, 94.9) 79-81 -5.00 2.47 -0.01 1.22 -3.06
3 H Mercyhurst (17-18, 94.0) 72-86 -5.89 1.59 -0.01 1.22 -3.61
3 H NC A&T (11-19, 94.3) 73-79 -5.56 1.92 -0.01 1.22 -3.40
3 H Old Dominion (12-21, 94.7) 56-88 -5.22 2.25 -0.01 1.22 -3.20
3 H Drexel (17-16, 95.1) 66-71 -4.83 2.64 -0.01 1.22 -2.96
3 H Longwood (16-16, 94.3) 80-84 -5.63 1.85 -0.01 1.22 -3.45
3 H DePaul (16-16, 96.7) 49-92 -3.24 4.24 -0.01 1.22 -1.99
3 A Niagara ( 8-22, 93.7) 81-73 -6.20 1.28 0.01 1.22 3.15
3 H California (22-12, 97.1) 50-97 -2.76 4.72 -0.01 1.22 -1.69
3 H San Fran (17-16, 96.2) 64-94 -3.74 3.74 -0.01 1.22 -2.29
3 H Loyola Marym (14-18, 95.6) 56-83 -4.32 3.15 -0.01 1.22 -2.65
3 H MD-Ea Shore ( 9-23, 93.0) 49-66 -6.90 1.00 -0.01 1.22 -4.22
3 A SC St (10-22, 93.3) 72-67 -6.62 1.00 0.01 1.22 2.47
3 H NC Center (14-18, 93.6) 78-89 -6.34 1.14 -0.01 1.22 -3.88
3 A Delaware St ( 8-24, 92.7) 80-79 -7.25 1.00 0.01 1.22 2.47
3 A Howard (24-11, 95.0) 78-77 -4.95 2.53 0.01 1.22 6.21
3 A Norfolk St (14-19, 93.7) 79-78 -6.17 1.31 0.01 1.22 3.22
3 A Coppin St ( 7-24, 93.0) 89-80 -6.94 1.00 0.01 1.22 2.47
3 A MD-Ea Shore ( 9-23, 93.0) 79-71 -6.90 1.00 0.01 1.22 2.47
3 H NC Center (14-18, 93.6) 76-80 -6.34 1.14 -0.01 1.22 -3.88
3 A Delaware St ( 8-24, 92.7) 82-68 -7.25 1.00 0.01 1.22 2.47
3 A SC St (10-22, 93.3) 90-83 -6.62 1.00 0.01 1.22 2.47
3 H Howard (24-11, 95.0) 59-84 -4.95 2.53 -0.01 1.22 -3.03
3 A Norfolk St (14-19, 93.7) 90-84 -6.17 1.31 0.01 1.22 3.22
3 A Coppin St ( 7-24, 93.0) 70-66 -6.94 1.00 0.01 1.22 2.47
3 H Delaware St ( 8-24, 92.7) 70-75 -7.25 1.00 -0.01 1.22 -4.44
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-16.53
|
winning pts = 33.0773 losing points = -49.6066
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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