Mt St Marys
W-L: (14-17) PR = 94.5465Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 1104 H West Va B12 (22-13, 97.7) 54-70 1107 H Bucknell PAT (10-23, 93.8) 62-73 1111 A St Francis NE S ( 7-24, 92.9) 74-66 1116 H Cincinnati B12 (18-15, 97.4) 55-72 1119 H Maryland B10 (12-21, 96.6) 90-95 1123 H We Michigan MA (10-21, 94.6) 60-83 1125 H Ohio St B10 (20-14, 97.8) 60-** 1129 A Howard MEAC (24-11, 95.0) 79-75 1203 H Sacred Heart MAAC (14-19, 94.4) 80-87 1205 H Marist MAAC (19-12, 95.2) 56-64 1213 A Loyola-MD PAT L (12-20, 93.7) 81-73 1219 H Drexel CA (17-16, 95.1) 67-75 1221 A PSTBW 73-42 1229 A Iona MAAC (19-13, 95.1) 66-59 102 H Merrimack MAAC (22-12, 95.5) 65-75 104 H Quinnipiac MAAC (19-13, 95.2) 69-80 109 A St Peters MAAC (17-12, 95.1) 70-65 111 H Siena MAAC (23-12, 95.3) 50-67 119 A Niagara MAAC ( 8-22, 93.7) 68-58 122 H Quinnipiac MAAC (19-13, 95.2) 62-77 124 A Rider MAAC ( 4-25, 93.2) 71-61 130 H St Peters MAAC (17-12, 95.1) 58-66 201 A Manhattan MAAC (12-21, 94.1) 72-65 205 H Merrimack MAAC (22-12, 95.5) 70-87 207 A Iona MAAC (19-13, 95.1) 83-76 213 A Rider MAAC ( 4-25, 93.2) 65-55 220 A Niagara MAAC ( 8-22, 93.7) 76-63 222 A Canisius MAAC (10-21, 93.9) 68-47 227 H Sacred Heart MAAC (14-19, 94.4) 69-77 301 A Fairfield MAAC (22-13, 95.1) 69-47 307 H Siena MAAC (23-12, 95.3) 58-63
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1104 H West Va 54-70 -16 -3 0.00
1107 H Bucknell 62-73 -11 1 - -2.79
1111 A St Francis 74-66 8 2 0.40
1116 H Cincinnati 55-72 -17 -3 0.00
1119 H Maryland 90-95 -5 -2 0.00
1123 H We Michigan 60-83 -23 0 -1.95
1125 H Ohio St 60-** -53 -3 0.00
1129 A Howard 79-75 4 0 + 2.42
1203 H Sacred Heart 80-87 -7 0 - -2.19
1205 H Marist 56-64 -8 -1 -1.38
1213 A Loyola-MD 81-73 8 1 1.16
1219 H Drexel 67-75 -8 -1 -1.49
1229 A Iona 66-59 7 -1 + 2.59
102 H Merrimack 65-75 -10 -1 -1.06
104 H Quinnipiac 69-80 -11 -1 -1.39
109 A St Peters 70-65 5 -1 + 2.59
111 H Siena 50-67 -17 -1 -1.25
119 A Niagara 68-58 10 1 1.16
122 H Quinnipiac 62-77 -15 -1 -1.39
124 A Rider 71-61 10 1 0.64
130 H St Peters 58-66 -8 -1 -1.43
201 A Manhattan 72-65 7 0 1.56
205 H Merrimack 70-87 -17 -1 -1.06
207 A Iona 83-76 7 -1 + 2.59
213 A Rider 65-55 10 1 0.64
220 A Niagara 76-63 13 1 1.16
222 A Canisius 68-47 21 1 1.41
227 H Sacred Heart 69-77 -8 0 - -2.19
301 A Fairfield 69-47 22 -1 + 2.52
307 H Siena 58-63 -5 -1 -1.25
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1107 H Bucknell 62-73 -11 1 - -2.79 1203 H Sacred Heart 80-87 -7 0 - -2.19 227 H Sacred Heart 69-77 -8 0 - -2.19 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1129 A Howard 79-75 4 0 + 2.42 1229 A Iona 66-59 7 -1 + 2.59 109 A St Peters 70-65 5 -1 + 2.59 207 A Iona 83-76 7 -1 + 2.59 301 A Fairfield 69-47 22 -1 + 2.52 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 33.01
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H West Va (22-13, 97.7) 54-70 -2.24 5.24 -0.01 1.10 -1.24
3 H Bucknell (10-23, 93.8) 62-73 -6.13 1.34 -0.01 1.10 -3.38
3 A St Francis ( 7-24, 92.9) 74-66 -6.96 1.00 0.01 1.10 2.22
3 H Cincinnati (18-15, 97.4) 55-72 -2.53 4.95 -0.01 1.10 -1.40
3 H Maryland (12-21, 96.6) 90-95 -3.32 4.15 -0.01 1.10 -1.83
3 H We Michigan (10-21, 94.6) 60-83 -5.29 2.19 -0.01 1.10 -2.92
3 H Ohio St (20-14, 97.8) 60-** -2.12 5.36 -0.01 1.10 -1.17
3 A Howard (24-11, 95.0) 79-75 -4.95 2.53 0.01 1.10 5.59
3 H Sacred Heart (14-19, 94.4) 80-87 -5.54 1.94 -0.01 1.10 -3.05
3 H Marist (19-12, 95.2) 56-64 -4.73 2.75 -0.01 1.10 -2.61
3 A Loyola-MD (12-20, 93.7) 81-73 -6.20 1.28 0.01 1.10 2.83
3 H Drexel (17-16, 95.1) 67-75 -4.83 2.64 -0.01 1.10 -2.66
3 A Iona (19-13, 95.1) 66-59 -4.77 2.71 0.01 1.10 5.98
3 H Merrimack (22-12, 95.5) 65-75 -4.40 3.07 -0.01 1.10 -2.43
3 H Quinnipiac (19-13, 95.2) 69-80 -4.74 2.74 -0.01 1.10 -2.61
3 A St Peters (17-12, 95.1) 70-65 -4.77 2.71 0.01 1.10 5.98
3 H Siena (23-12, 95.3) 50-67 -4.60 2.88 -0.01 1.10 -2.54
3 A Niagara ( 8-22, 93.7) 68-58 -6.20 1.28 0.01 1.10 2.83
3 H Quinnipiac (19-13, 95.2) 62-77 -4.74 2.74 -0.01 1.10 -2.61
3 A Rider ( 4-25, 93.2) 71-61 -6.73 1.00 0.01 1.10 2.22
3 H St Peters (17-12, 95.1) 58-66 -4.77 2.71 -0.01 1.10 -2.63
3 A Manhattan (12-21, 94.1) 72-65 -5.81 1.67 0.01 1.10 3.69
3 H Merrimack (22-12, 95.5) 70-87 -4.40 3.07 -0.01 1.10 -2.43
3 A Iona (19-13, 95.1) 83-76 -4.77 2.71 0.01 1.10 5.98
3 A Rider ( 4-25, 93.2) 65-55 -6.73 1.00 0.01 1.10 2.22
3 A Niagara ( 8-22, 93.7) 76-63 -6.20 1.28 0.01 1.10 2.83
3 A Canisius (10-21, 93.9) 68-47 -5.95 1.53 0.01 1.10 3.38
3 H Sacred Heart (14-19, 94.4) 69-77 -5.54 1.94 -0.01 1.10 -3.05
3 A Fairfield (22-13, 95.1) 69-47 -4.85 2.63 0.01 1.10 5.81
3 H Siena (23-12, 95.3) 58-63 -4.60 2.88 -0.01 1.10 -2.54
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10.48
|
winning pts = 51.5669 losing points = -41.0900
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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