Murray St
W-L: (21-13) PR = 96.0314Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 1103 A Omaha SM (16-17, 94.8) 85-77 1107 A Miss Val St SWAC ( 3-30, 92.4) **-60 1111 H SMU ACC (20-14, 97.4) 91-** 1115 A Nicholls SL N (14-19, 94.8) 99-79 1118 A Little Rock OV (13-20, 94.0) 89-68 1123 H Middle Tenn CUSA (16-16, 95.4) 87-90 1124 H McNeese SL M (26- 7, 96.8) 60-73 1125 A George Wash A10 (19-16, 96.0) 96-95 1202 A Morehead St OV (20-14, 94.8) 84-52 1206 A Bellarmine AS (13-19, 94.4) 81-68 1213 A Akron MA (29- 6, 96.9) **-** 1218 A Drake MV (14-20, 95.1) 81-72 1218 A Drake MV (14-20, 95.1) 81-72 1221 A Valparaiso MV (18-15, 95.6) 85-79 1229 A So Illinois MV (16-16, 95.5) 84-81 101 A Ill-Chicago MV (17-17, 95.6) 81-77 104 A Bradley MV (23-12, 96.1) 86-66 107 A Evansville MV ( 7-25, 94.5) 79-69 110 A Valparaiso MV (18-15, 95.6) 92-79 117 A Indiana St MV (11-22, 94.7) 85-81 121 H Drake MV (14-20, 95.1) 90-** 124 H No Iowa MV (23-13, 96.2) 76-81 128 H Illinois St MV (24-13, 96.3) 65-70 131 H Belmont MV (26- 6, 96.7) 86-** 203 A Ill-Chicago MV (17-17, 95.6) 81-74 206 A So Illinois MV (16-16, 95.5) 91-81 209 H No Iowa MV (23-13, 96.2) 60-89 212 A Indiana St MV (11-22, 94.7) 74-72 215 H Belmont MV (26- 6, 96.7) 70-87 218 H Illinois St MV (24-13, 96.3) 61-78 221 A Evansville MV ( 7-25, 94.5) 88-75 301 H Bradley MV (23-12, 96.1) 78-87 306 H Ill-Chicago MV (17-17, 95.6) 79-92 318 H Nevada MW (24-13, 96.9) 75-89
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1103 A Omaha 85-77 8 1 0.79
1107 A Miss Val St **-60 48 4 0.00
1111 H SMU 91-** -11 -1 -0.67
1115 A Nicholls 99-79 20 1 0.76
1118 A Little Rock 89-68 21 2 0.00
1123 H Middle Tenn 87-90 -3 1 - -2.60
1124 H McNeese 60-73 -13 -1 -1.25
1125 A George Wash 96-95 1 0 1.01
1202 A Morehead St 84-52 32 1 0.75
1206 A Bellarmine 81-68 13 2 0.41
1213 A Akron **-** 15 -1 + 2.85
1218 A Drake 81-72 9 1 1.12
1218 A Drake 81-72 9 1 1.12
1221 A Valparaiso 85-79 6 0 1.62
1229 A So Illinois 84-81 3 1 1.46
101 A Ill-Chicago 81-77 4 0 1.55
104 A Bradley 86-66 20 0 + 2.09
107 A Evansville 79-69 10 2 0.49
110 A Valparaiso 92-79 13 0 1.62
117 A Indiana St 85-81 4 1 0.70
121 H Drake 90-** -11 1 - -2.90
124 H No Iowa 76-81 -5 0 -1.80
128 H Illinois St 65-70 -5 0 -1.72
131 H Belmont 86-** -17 -1 -1.29
203 A Ill-Chicago 81-74 7 0 1.55
206 A So Illinois 91-81 10 1 1.46
209 H No Iowa 60-89 -29 0 -1.80
212 A Indiana St 74-72 2 1 0.70
215 H Belmont 70-87 -17 -1 -1.29
218 H Illinois St 61-78 -17 0 -1.72
221 A Evansville 88-75 13 2 0.49
301 H Bradley 78-87 -9 0 -1.93
306 H Ill-Chicago 79-92 -13 0 - -2.47
318 H Nevada 75-89 -14 -1 -1.11
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1123 H Middle Tenn 87-90 -3 1 - -2.60 121 H Drake 90-** -11 1 - -2.90 306 H Ill-Chicago 79-92 -13 0 - -2.47 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1213 A Akron **-** 15 -1 + 2.85 104 A Bradley 86-66 20 0 + 2.09 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 33.01
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A Omaha (16-17, 94.8) 85-77 -5.09 2.38 0.01 0.97 4.65
3 A Miss Val St ( 3-30, 92.4) **-60 -7.48 1.00 0.01 0.97 1.96
3 H SMU (20-14, 97.4) 91-** -2.53 4.95 -0.01 0.97 -1.23
3 A Nicholls (14-19, 94.8) 99-79 -5.12 2.36 0.01 0.97 4.60
3 A Little Rock (13-20, 94.0) 89-68 -5.88 1.60 0.01 0.97 3.12
3 H Middle Tenn (16-16, 95.4) 87-90 -4.46 3.02 -0.01 0.97 -2.17
3 H McNeese (26- 7, 96.8) 60-73 -3.11 4.37 -0.01 0.97 -1.51
3 A George Wash (19-16, 96.0) 96-95 -3.86 3.61 0.01 0.97 7.03
3 A Morehead St (20-14, 94.8) 84-52 -5.13 2.35 0.01 0.97 4.58
3 A Bellarmine (13-19, 94.4) 81-68 -5.47 2.01 0.01 0.97 3.92
3 A Akron (29- 6, 96.9) **-** -3.03 4.45 0.01 0.97 8.65
3 A Drake (14-20, 95.1) 81-72 -4.76 2.72 0.01 0.97 5.30
3 A Drake (14-20, 95.1) 81-72 -4.76 2.72 0.01 0.97 5.30
3 A Valparaiso (18-15, 95.6) 85-79 -4.26 3.22 0.01 0.97 6.27
3 A So Illinois (16-16, 95.5) 84-81 -4.42 3.06 0.01 0.97 5.96
3 A Ill-Chicago (17-17, 95.6) 81-77 -4.33 3.15 0.01 0.97 6.13
3 A Bradley (23-12, 96.1) 86-66 -3.79 3.69 0.01 0.97 7.19
3 A Evansville ( 7-25, 94.5) 79-69 -5.39 2.09 0.01 0.97 4.07
3 A Valparaiso (18-15, 95.6) 92-79 -4.26 3.22 0.01 0.97 6.27
3 A Indiana St (11-22, 94.7) 85-81 -5.18 2.30 0.01 0.97 4.48
3 H Drake (14-20, 95.1) 90-** -4.76 2.72 -0.01 0.97 -2.31
3 H No Iowa (23-13, 96.2) 76-81 -3.66 3.82 -0.01 0.97 -1.78
3 H Illinois St (24-13, 96.3) 65-70 -3.58 3.90 -0.01 0.97 -1.74
3 H Belmont (26- 6, 96.7) 86-** -3.15 4.32 -0.01 0.97 -1.54
3 A Ill-Chicago (17-17, 95.6) 81-74 -4.33 3.15 0.01 0.97 6.13
3 A So Illinois (16-16, 95.5) 91-81 -4.42 3.06 0.01 0.97 5.96
3 H No Iowa (23-13, 96.2) 60-89 -3.66 3.82 -0.01 0.97 -1.78
3 A Indiana St (11-22, 94.7) 74-72 -5.18 2.30 0.01 0.97 4.48
3 H Belmont (26- 6, 96.7) 70-87 -3.15 4.32 -0.01 0.97 -1.54
3 H Illinois St (24-13, 96.3) 61-78 -3.58 3.90 -0.01 0.97 -1.74
3 A Evansville ( 7-25, 94.5) 88-75 -5.39 2.09 0.01 0.97 4.07
3 H Bradley (23-12, 96.1) 78-87 -3.79 3.69 -0.01 0.97 -1.84
3 H Ill-Chicago (17-17, 95.6) 79-92 -4.33 3.15 -0.01 0.97 -2.11
3 H Nevada (24-13, 96.9) 75-89 -2.96 4.51 -0.01 0.97 -1.44
------
87.38
|
winning pts = 110.1145 losing points = -22.7387
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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