No Alabama
W-L: ( 9-21) PR = 93.8423Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 1105 H Miss St SEC M (13-19, 96.7) 62-86 1107 A LANE 90-84 1111 A Nowestern St SL (10-22, 94.1) 87-83 1115 H Ea Tenn St SO E (23-11, 95.4) 74-78 1117 H Clemson ACC (24-11, 97.8) 61-81 1122 H Chattanooga SO U (13-19, 94.2) 57-71 1125 A TENSO 92-60 1201 A Jacksonv St CUSA (15-17, 95.0) 73-66 1203 A San Fran WC (17-16, 96.2) 65-63 1215 H Alabama A&M SWAC (18-15, 94.5) 60-68 1219 H Loyola Marym WC (14-18, 95.6) 57-91 101 H Stetson AS (12-21, 94.2) 67-70 103 H Fl Gulf Co AS (16-18, 94.7) 55-72 108 H Ea Kentucky AS (11-21, 94.2) 80-88 110 A Bellarmine AS (13-19, 94.4) 82-73 115 H No Florida AS ( 7-26, 93.5) 91-** 117 H Jacksonville AS (11-21, 94.3) 68-90 121 H Queens Univ AS (21-14, 95.4) 62-87 129 H Fl Gulf Co AS (16-18, 94.7) 64-72 131 A Stetson AS (12-21, 94.2) 68-66 204 H Ce Arkansas AS (22-12, 95.5) 60-81 207 H Austin Peay AS (21-10, 95.5) 62-91 209 H Ce Arkansas AS (22-12, 95.5) 65-72 211 H We Georgia AS (14-18, 94.4) 73-82 215 A Ea Kentucky AS (11-21, 94.2) 84-78 218 H Queens Univ AS (21-14, 95.4) 78-85 221 H Lipscomb AS (19-13, 95.2) 51-73 225 A Bellarmine AS (13-19, 94.4) 73-68 228 H We Georgia AS (14-18, 94.4) 63-75 304 H Fl Gulf Co AS (16-18, 94.7) 58-69
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1105 H Miss St 62-86 -24 -3 0.00
1111 A Nowestern St 87-83 4 0 + 2.23
1115 H Ea Tenn St 74-78 -4 -2 -0.41
1117 H Clemson 61-81 -20 -4 0.00
1122 H Chattanooga 57-71 -14 0 -1.66
1201 A Jacksonv St 73-66 7 -1 + 3.18
1203 A San Fran 65-63 2 -2 ++ 4.00
1215 H Alabama A&M 60-68 -8 -1 -1.32
1219 H Loyola Marym 57-91 -34 -2 -0.28
101 H Stetson 67-70 -3 0 -1.63
103 H Fl Gulf Co 55-72 -17 -1 -1.13
108 H Ea Kentucky 80-88 -8 0 -1.66
110 A Bellarmine 82-73 9 -1 + 2.60
115 H No Florida 91-** -14 0 - -2.31
117 H Jacksonville 68-90 -22 0 -1.58
121 H Queens Univ 62-87 -25 -2 -0.43
129 H Fl Gulf Co 64-72 -8 -1 -1.13
131 A Stetson 68-66 2 0 + 2.39
204 H Ce Arkansas 60-81 -21 -2 -0.37
207 H Austin Peay 62-91 -29 -2 -0.33
209 H Ce Arkansas 65-72 -7 -2 -0.37
211 H We Georgia 73-82 -9 -1 -1.44
215 A Ea Kentucky 84-78 6 0 + 2.36
218 H Queens Univ 78-85 -7 -2 -0.43
221 H Lipscomb 51-73 -22 -1 -0.65
225 A Bellarmine 73-68 5 -1 + 2.60
228 H We Georgia 63-75 -12 -1 -1.44
304 H Fl Gulf Co 58-69 -11 -1 -1.13
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 115 H No Florida 91-** -14 0 - -2.31 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1203 A San Fran 65-63 2 -2 ++ 4.00 1111 A Nowestern St 87-83 4 0 + 2.23 1201 A Jacksonv St 73-66 7 -1 + 3.18 110 A Bellarmine 82-73 9 -1 + 2.60 131 A Stetson 68-66 2 0 + 2.39 215 A Ea Kentucky 84-78 6 0 + 2.36 225 A Bellarmine 73-68 5 -1 + 2.60 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 33.01
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H Miss St (13-19, 96.7) 62-86 -3.20 4.28 -0.01 1.18 -1.89
3 A Nowestern St (10-22, 94.1) 87-83 -5.84 1.64 0.01 1.18 3.88
3 H Ea Tenn St (23-11, 95.4) 74-78 -4.46 3.02 -0.01 1.18 -2.63
3 H Clemson (24-11, 97.8) 61-81 -2.07 5.41 -0.01 1.18 -1.22
3 H Chattanooga (13-19, 94.2) 57-71 -5.71 1.77 -0.01 1.18 -3.37
3 A Jacksonv St (15-17, 95.0) 73-66 -4.89 2.59 0.01 1.18 6.13
3 A San Fran (17-16, 96.2) 65-63 -3.74 3.74 0.01 1.18 8.85
3 H Alabama A&M (18-15, 94.5) 60-68 -5.36 2.11 -0.01 1.18 -3.17
3 H Loyola Marym (14-18, 95.6) 57-91 -4.32 3.15 -0.01 1.18 -2.55
3 H Stetson (12-21, 94.2) 67-70 -5.68 1.80 -0.01 1.18 -3.35
3 H Fl Gulf Co (16-18, 94.7) 55-72 -5.17 2.30 -0.01 1.18 -3.06
3 H Ea Kentucky (11-21, 94.2) 80-88 -5.71 1.77 -0.01 1.18 -3.37
3 A Bellarmine (13-19, 94.4) 82-73 -5.47 2.01 0.01 1.18 4.76
3 H No Florida ( 7-26, 93.5) 91-** -6.36 1.12 -0.01 1.18 -3.75
3 H Jacksonville (11-21, 94.3) 68-90 -5.63 1.85 -0.01 1.18 -3.32
3 H Queens Univ (21-14, 95.4) 62-87 -4.48 3.00 -0.01 1.18 -2.65
3 H Fl Gulf Co (16-18, 94.7) 64-72 -5.17 2.30 -0.01 1.18 -3.06
3 A Stetson (12-21, 94.2) 68-66 -5.68 1.80 0.01 1.18 4.26
3 H Ce Arkansas (22-12, 95.5) 60-81 -4.42 3.06 -0.01 1.18 -2.61
3 H Austin Peay (21-10, 95.5) 62-91 -4.38 3.09 -0.01 1.18 -2.59
3 H Ce Arkansas (22-12, 95.5) 65-72 -4.42 3.06 -0.01 1.18 -2.61
3 H We Georgia (14-18, 94.4) 73-82 -5.49 1.99 -0.01 1.18 -3.24
3 A Ea Kentucky (11-21, 94.2) 84-78 -5.71 1.77 0.01 1.18 4.19
3 H Queens Univ (21-14, 95.4) 78-85 -4.48 3.00 -0.01 1.18 -2.65
3 H Lipscomb (19-13, 95.2) 51-73 -4.70 2.78 -0.01 1.18 -2.77
3 A Bellarmine (13-19, 94.4) 73-68 -5.47 2.01 0.01 1.18 4.76
3 H We Georgia (14-18, 94.4) 63-75 -5.49 1.99 -0.01 1.18 -3.24
3 H Fl Gulf Co (16-18, 94.7) 58-69 -5.17 2.30 -0.01 1.18 -3.06
------
-23.34
|
winning pts = 36.8323 losing points = -60.1698
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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