Navy
W-L: (26- 8) PR = 95.4432Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 1103 A Presbyterian BSO (15-18, 94.4) 76-55 1107 H Yale IVY (24- 7, 96.3) 68-97 1111 H Penn St B10 (12-20, 96.2) 71-80 1114 A WACOL 97-64 1118 H No Carolina ACC (24- 9, 98.2) 61-73 1122 A NJ Tech AE (16-17, 94.2) 86-70 1126 A Gardner-Webb BSO ( 5-29, 92.9) 84-51 1128 H UNC-Wilm CA (27- 7, 96.3) 57-87 1129 H Soea LA SL S ( 9-22, 94.1) 65-69 1203 A Delaware St MEAC D ( 8-24, 92.7) 66-59 1207 A Air Force MW ( 3-29, 94.0) 61-56 1219 A Coppin St MEAC C ( 7-24, 93.0) 88-55 1221 A ROSEM 70-23 1231 A Boston Univ PAT (17-17, 94.3) 82-77 103 A Holy Cross PAT H (11-22, 93.6) 65-58 107 A Bucknell PAT (10-23, 93.8) 76-55 110 A Lafayette PAT L (11-22, 93.8) 76-50 112 H American PAT (16-17, 94.5) 51-65 117 A Lehigh PAT L (19-17, 94.4) 82-24 121 A Holy Cross PAT H (11-22, 93.6) 85-68 124 A Army PAT (11-21, 93.5) 84-56 128 A Boston Univ PAT (17-17, 94.3) 58-50 131 A Loyola-MD PAT L (12-20, 93.7) 87-71 204 A Lafayette PAT L (11-22, 93.8) 65-50 207 A American PAT (16-17, 94.5) 82-73 209 A Bucknell PAT (10-23, 93.8) 76-60 214 A Colgate PAT (18-15, 94.7) 84-80 218 A Lehigh PAT L (19-17, 94.4) 72-49 221 A Army PAT (11-21, 93.5) 81-63 225 A Loyola-MD PAT L (12-20, 93.7) 78-51 228 A Colgate PAT (18-15, 94.7) 85-69 305 A Bucknell PAT (10-23, 93.8) 74-69 308 H Boston Univ PAT (17-17, 94.3) 72-73 318 H Wake Forest ACC (18-17, 97.0) 72-82
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1103 A Presbyterian 76-55 21 1 0.94
1107 H Yale 68-97 -29 -1 -1.12
1111 H Penn St 71-80 -9 -1 -1.23
1118 H No Carolina 61-73 -12 -3 0.00
1122 A NJ Tech 86-70 16 1 0.77
1126 A Gardner-Webb 84-51 33 3 0.00
1128 H UNC-Wilm 57-87 -30 -1 -1.17
1129 H Soea LA 65-69 -4 1 - -3.31
1203 A Delaware St 66-59 7 3 0.00
1207 A Air Force 61-56 5 1 0.60
1219 A Coppin St 88-55 33 2 0.00
1231 A Boston Univ 82-77 5 1 0.86
103 A Holy Cross 65-58 7 2 0.19
107 A Bucknell 76-55 21 2 0.33
110 A Lafayette 76-50 26 2 0.35
112 H American 51-65 -14 1 - -2.97
117 A Lehigh 82-24 58 1 0.95
121 A Holy Cross 85-68 17 2 0.19
124 A Army 84-56 28 2 0.12
128 A Boston Univ 58-50 8 1 0.86
131 A Loyola-MD 87-71 16 2 0.27
204 A Lafayette 65-50 15 2 0.35
207 A American 82-73 9 1 1.05
209 A Bucknell 76-60 16 2 0.33
214 A Colgate 84-80 4 1 1.27
218 A Lehigh 72-49 23 1 0.95
221 A Army 81-63 18 2 0.12
225 A Loyola-MD 78-51 27 2 0.27
228 A Colgate 85-69 16 1 1.27
305 A Bucknell 74-69 5 2 0.33
308 H Boston Univ 72-73 -1 1 - -2.16
318 H Wake Forest 72-82 -10 -2 -0.40
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1129 H Soea LA 65-69 -4 1 - -3.31 112 H American 51-65 -14 1 - -2.97 308 H Boston Univ 72-73 -1 1 - -2.16 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 33.01
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A Presbyterian (15-18, 94.4) 76-55 -5.53 1.95 0.01 1.03 4.04
3 H Yale (24- 7, 96.3) 68-97 -3.57 3.91 -0.01 1.03 -1.85
3 H Penn St (12-20, 96.2) 71-80 -3.68 3.80 -0.01 1.03 -1.90
3 H No Carolina (24- 9, 98.2) 61-73 -1.71 5.77 -0.01 1.03 -0.89
3 A NJ Tech (16-17, 94.2) 86-70 -5.69 1.78 0.01 1.03 3.70
3 A Gardner-Webb ( 5-29, 92.9) 84-51 -7.05 1.00 0.01 1.03 2.08
3 H UNC-Wilm (27- 7, 96.3) 57-87 -3.61 3.86 -0.01 1.03 -1.87
3 H Soea LA ( 9-22, 94.1) 65-69 -5.76 1.72 -0.01 1.03 -2.98
3 A Delaware St ( 8-24, 92.7) 66-59 -7.25 1.00 0.01 1.03 2.08
3 A Air Force ( 3-29, 94.0) 61-56 -5.87 1.61 0.01 1.03 3.34
3 A Coppin St ( 7-24, 93.0) 88-55 -6.94 1.00 0.01 1.03 2.08
3 A Boston Univ (17-17, 94.3) 82-77 -5.61 1.87 0.01 1.03 3.87
3 A Holy Cross (11-22, 93.6) 65-58 -6.28 1.20 0.01 1.03 2.50
3 A Bucknell (10-23, 93.8) 76-55 -6.13 1.34 0.01 1.03 2.79
3 A Lafayette (11-22, 93.8) 76-50 -6.11 1.36 0.01 1.03 2.83
3 H American (16-17, 94.5) 51-65 -5.42 2.06 -0.01 1.03 -2.80
3 A Lehigh (19-17, 94.4) 82-24 -5.52 1.96 0.01 1.03 4.06
3 A Holy Cross (11-22, 93.6) 85-68 -6.28 1.20 0.01 1.03 2.50
3 A Army (11-21, 93.5) 84-56 -6.35 1.12 0.01 1.03 2.34
3 A Boston Univ (17-17, 94.3) 58-50 -5.61 1.87 0.01 1.03 3.87
3 A Loyola-MD (12-20, 93.7) 87-71 -6.20 1.28 0.01 1.03 2.65
3 A Lafayette (11-22, 93.8) 65-50 -6.11 1.36 0.01 1.03 2.83
3 A American (16-17, 94.5) 82-73 -5.42 2.06 0.01 1.03 4.26
3 A Bucknell (10-23, 93.8) 76-60 -6.13 1.34 0.01 1.03 2.79
3 A Colgate (18-15, 94.7) 84-80 -5.20 2.28 0.01 1.03 4.72
3 A Lehigh (19-17, 94.4) 72-49 -5.52 1.96 0.01 1.03 4.06
3 A Army (11-21, 93.5) 81-63 -6.35 1.12 0.01 1.03 2.34
3 A Loyola-MD (12-20, 93.7) 78-51 -6.20 1.28 0.01 1.03 2.65
3 A Colgate (18-15, 94.7) 85-69 -5.20 2.28 0.01 1.03 4.72
3 A Bucknell (10-23, 93.8) 74-69 -6.13 1.34 0.01 1.03 2.79
3 H Boston Univ (17-17, 94.3) 72-73 -5.61 1.87 -0.01 1.03 -2.90
3 H Wake Forest (18-17, 97.0) 72-82 -2.85 4.63 -0.01 1.03 -1.48
------
59.29
|
winning pts = 75.9430 losing points = -16.6516
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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