UNC-Ash
W-L: (16-17) PR = 94.7543Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 1104 H Wichita St AME (24-12, 96.6) 58-75 1108 H Georgia So SB G (22-16, 95.2) 90-93 1111 A Lipscomb AS (19-13, 95.2) 69-64 1113 A Bryant AE (10-25, 93.3) 92-54 1119 H We Carolina SO W (15-17, 94.8) 73-80 1125 H Tenn St OV (24-10, 95.5) 73-75 1130 A App State SB A (19-14, 95.5) 67-55 1202 A UNCG SO U (14-20, 94.5) 82-77 1206 H NC State ACC (20-14, 97.6) 63-75 1210 H Miami (OH) MA (30- 4, 97.4) 87-90 1213 H St Thomas MN SM (24-10, 95.8) 59-80 1216 A KYCHR 83-73 1218 A MORCO 89-56 1218 A MORCO 89-56 1221 H UAB AME (20-12, 96.2) 47-72 1231 H High Point BSO (30- 6, 96.3) 69-87 103 H Charlotte So BSO (16-17, 94.4) 83-86 107 A Longwood BSO (16-16, 94.3) 72-61 110 A Radford BSO (16-17, 94.5) 91-72 114 H Presbyterian BSO (15-18, 94.4) 70-71 117 H Winthrop BSO (23-12, 95.6) 67-69 121 A SC Upstate BSO (13-19, 94.1) 83-69 129 A Gardner-Webb BSO ( 5-29, 92.9) 69-50 131 H Winthrop BSO (23-12, 95.6) 71-84 204 A SC Upstate BSO (13-19, 94.1) 76-67 212 A Longwood BSO (16-16, 94.3) 79-74 214 H Presbyterian BSO (15-18, 94.4) 57-58 219 H High Point BSO (30- 6, 96.3) 48-74 221 A Radford BSO (16-17, 94.5) 74-73 226 A Gardner-Webb BSO ( 5-29, 92.9) 77-71 228 H Charlotte So BSO (16-17, 94.4) 75-92 306 A Longwood BSO (16-16, 94.3) 85-82 307 H High Point BSO (30- 6, 96.3) 71-75
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1104 H Wichita St 58-75 -17 -2 -0.12
1108 H Georgia So 90-93 -3 0 -1.52
1111 A Lipscomb 69-64 5 0 + 2.46
1113 A Bryant 92-54 38 1 0.58
1119 H We Carolina 73-80 -7 0 -1.93
1125 H Tenn St 73-75 -2 -1 -1.30
1130 A App State 67-55 12 -1 + 2.72
1202 A UNCG 82-77 5 0 1.78
1206 H NC State 63-75 -12 -3 0.00
1210 H Miami (OH) 87-90 -3 -3 0.00
1213 H St Thomas MN 59-80 -21 -1 -0.98
1221 H UAB 47-72 -25 -1 -0.53
1231 H High Point 69-87 -18 -2 -0.42
103 H Charlotte So 83-86 -3 0 - -2.38
107 A Longwood 72-61 11 0 1.53
110 A Radford 91-72 19 0 1.78
114 H Presbyterian 70-71 -1 0 -1.39
117 H Winthrop 67-69 -2 -1 -1.21
121 A SC Upstate 83-69 14 1 1.35
129 A Gardner-Webb 69-50 19 2 0.11
131 H Winthrop 71-84 -13 -1 -1.21
204 A SC Upstate 76-67 9 1 1.35
212 A Longwood 79-74 5 0 1.53
214 H Presbyterian 57-58 -1 0 -1.39
219 H High Point 48-74 -26 -2 -0.42
221 A Radford 74-73 1 0 0.78
226 A Gardner-Webb 77-71 6 2 0.11
228 H Charlotte So 75-92 -17 0 - -2.38
306 A Longwood 85-82 3 0 1.53
307 H High Point 71-75 -4 -2 -0.42
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 103 H Charlotte So 83-86 -3 0 - -2.38 228 H Charlotte So 75-92 -17 0 - -2.38 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1111 A Lipscomb 69-64 5 0 + 2.46 1130 A App State 67-55 12 -1 + 2.72 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 33.01
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H Wichita St (24-12, 96.6) 58-75 -3.25 4.22 -0.01 1.10 -1.80
3 H Georgia So (22-16, 95.2) 90-93 -4.66 2.82 -0.01 1.10 -2.57
3 A Lipscomb (19-13, 95.2) 69-64 -4.70 2.78 0.01 1.10 6.14
3 A Bryant (10-25, 93.3) 92-54 -6.57 1.00 0.01 1.10 2.22
3 H We Carolina (15-17, 94.8) 73-80 -5.06 2.41 -0.01 1.10 -2.79
3 H Tenn St (24-10, 95.5) 73-75 -4.44 3.04 -0.01 1.10 -2.45
3 A App State (19-14, 95.5) 67-55 -4.44 3.04 0.01 1.10 6.71
3 A UNCG (14-20, 94.5) 82-77 -5.38 2.10 0.01 1.10 4.64
3 H NC State (20-14, 97.6) 63-75 -2.30 5.17 -0.01 1.10 -1.27
3 H Miami (OH) (30- 4, 97.4) 87-90 -2.50 4.97 -0.01 1.10 -1.38
3 H St Thomas MN (24-10, 95.8) 59-80 -4.11 3.37 -0.01 1.10 -2.27
3 H UAB (20-12, 96.2) 47-72 -3.66 3.81 -0.01 1.10 -2.02
3 H High Point (30- 6, 96.3) 69-87 -3.56 3.92 -0.01 1.10 -1.96
3 H Charlotte So (16-17, 94.4) 83-86 -5.51 1.96 -0.01 1.10 -3.04
3 A Longwood (16-16, 94.3) 72-61 -5.63 1.85 0.01 1.10 4.08
3 A Radford (16-17, 94.5) 91-72 -5.37 2.10 0.01 1.10 4.65
3 H Presbyterian (15-18, 94.4) 70-71 -5.53 1.95 -0.01 1.10 -3.05
3 H Winthrop (23-12, 95.6) 67-69 -4.35 3.13 -0.01 1.10 -2.40
3 A SC Upstate (13-19, 94.1) 83-69 -5.80 1.67 0.01 1.10 3.71
3 A Gardner-Webb ( 5-29, 92.9) 69-50 -7.05 1.00 0.01 1.10 2.22
3 H Winthrop (23-12, 95.6) 71-84 -4.35 3.13 -0.01 1.10 -2.40
3 A SC Upstate (13-19, 94.1) 76-67 -5.80 1.67 0.01 1.10 3.71
3 A Longwood (16-16, 94.3) 79-74 -5.63 1.85 0.01 1.10 4.08
3 H Presbyterian (15-18, 94.4) 57-58 -5.53 1.95 -0.01 1.10 -3.05
3 H High Point (30- 6, 96.3) 48-74 -3.56 3.92 -0.01 1.10 -1.96
3 A Radford (16-17, 94.5) 74-73 -5.37 2.10 0.01 1.10 4.65
3 A Gardner-Webb ( 5-29, 92.9) 77-71 -7.05 1.00 0.01 1.10 2.22
3 H Charlotte So (16-17, 94.4) 75-92 -5.51 1.96 -0.01 1.10 -3.04
3 A Longwood (16-16, 94.3) 85-82 -5.63 1.85 0.01 1.10 4.08
3 H High Point (30- 6, 96.3) 71-75 -3.56 3.92 -0.01 1.10 -1.96
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13.72
|
winning pts = 53.1245 losing points = -39.4032
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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