UNCG
W-L: (14-20) PR = 94.5213Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 1104 H Kansas St B12 (12-20, 96.7) 64-93 1108 H Elon CA (14-18, 94.9) 90-92 1112 H NC State ACC (20-14, 97.6) 64-** 1115 H Austin Peay AS (21-10, 95.5) 63-69 1120 H Queens Univ AS (21-14, 95.4) 94-** 1123 A Youngstown St HL (15-17, 94.8) 68-62 1125 H Delaware CUSA (10-21, 94.6) 60-73 1126 H Miami (OH) MA (30- 4, 97.4) 71-82 1202 H UNC-Ash BSO (16-17, 94.8) 77-82 1206 A Ea Carolina AME (12-19, 95.1) 82-78 1212 A WPEAC 90-62 1216 H NC A&T CA (11-19, 94.3) 65-71 1221 A VALYN 101 A Chattanooga SO U (13-19, 94.2) 77-72 103 A Samford SO S (18-14, 95.1) 89-82 107 H Wofford SO W (19-13, 95.0) 85-97 110 H Ea Tenn St SO E (23-11, 95.4) 60-86 115 A The Citadel SO (11-22, 93.9) 69-66 117 H Mercer SO M (19-13, 95.2) 92-** 121 A VMI SO ( 6-26, 93.1) 85-78 123 H Furman SO F (23-13, 95.4) 66-89 129 H Mercer SO M (19-13, 95.2) 77-95 131 H The Citadel SO (11-22, 93.9) 66-71 204 A We Carolina SO W (15-17, 94.8) 81-78 208 A Furman SO F (23-13, 95.4) 67-64 211 A VMI SO ( 6-26, 93.1) 92-71 214 A Wofford SO W (19-13, 95.0) 99-89 218 H We Carolina SO W (15-17, 94.8) 77-91 221 H Ea Tenn St SO E (23-11, 95.4) 75-87 226 A Chattanooga SO U (13-19, 94.2) 85-80 228 H Samford SO S (18-14, 95.1) 78-87 306 A VMI SO ( 6-26, 93.1) 84-70 307 A Wofford SO W (19-13, 95.0) 75-72 308 H Furman SO F (23-13, 95.4) 75-81
PREDICTION LIST
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|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1104 H Kansas St 64-93 -29 -2 0.00
1108 H Elon 90-92 -2 0 -1.64
1112 H NC State 64-** -46 -3 0.00
1115 H Austin Peay 63-69 -6 -1 -1.01
1120 H Queens Univ 94-** -7 -1 -1.11
1123 A Youngstown St 68-62 6 0 + 2.26
1125 H Delaware 60-73 -13 0 -1.88
1126 H Miami (OH) 71-82 -11 -3 0.00
1202 H UNC-Ash 77-82 -5 0 -1.78
1206 A Ea Carolina 82-78 4 -1 + 2.55
1216 H NC A&T 65-71 -6 0 - -2.19
101 A Chattanooga 77-72 5 0 1.68
103 A Samford 89-82 7 -1 + 2.58
107 H Wofford 85-97 -12 0 -1.52
110 H Ea Tenn St 60-86 -26 -1 -1.09
115 A The Citadel 69-66 3 1 1.42
117 H Mercer 92-** -10 -1 -1.33
121 A VMI 85-78 7 1 0.57
123 H Furman 66-89 -23 -1 -1.16
129 H Mercer 77-95 -18 -1 -1.33
131 H The Citadel 66-71 -5 1 - -2.60
204 A We Carolina 81-78 3 0 + 2.33
208 A Furman 67-64 3 -1 + 2.86
211 A VMI 92-71 21 1 0.57
214 A Wofford 99-89 10 -1 + 2.50
218 H We Carolina 77-91 -14 0 -1.69
221 H Ea Tenn St 75-87 -12 -1 -1.09
226 A Chattanooga 85-80 5 0 1.68
228 H Samford 78-87 -9 -1 -1.44
306 A VMI 84-70 14 1 0.57
307 A Wofford 75-72 3 -1 + 2.50
308 H Furman 75-81 -6 -1 -1.16
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1216 H NC A&T 65-71 -6 0 - -2.19 131 H The Citadel 66-71 -5 1 - -2.60 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1123 A Youngstown St 68-62 6 0 + 2.26 1206 A Ea Carolina 82-78 4 -1 + 2.55 103 A Samford 89-82 7 -1 + 2.58 204 A We Carolina 81-78 3 0 + 2.33 208 A Furman 67-64 3 -1 + 2.86 214 A Wofford 99-89 10 -1 + 2.50 307 A Wofford 75-72 3 -1 + 2.50 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 33.01
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H Kansas St (12-20, 96.7) 64-93 -3.19 4.28 -0.01 1.03 -1.65
3 H Elon (14-18, 94.9) 90-92 -5.01 2.46 -0.01 1.03 -2.59
3 H NC State (20-14, 97.6) 64-** -2.30 5.17 -0.01 1.03 -1.19
3 H Austin Peay (21-10, 95.5) 63-69 -4.38 3.09 -0.01 1.03 -2.27
3 H Queens Univ (21-14, 95.4) 94-** -4.48 3.00 -0.01 1.03 -2.32
3 A Youngstown St (15-17, 94.8) 68-62 -5.13 2.34 0.01 1.03 4.86
3 H Delaware (10-21, 94.6) 60-73 -5.25 2.22 -0.01 1.03 -2.71
3 H Miami (OH) (30- 4, 97.4) 71-82 -2.50 4.97 -0.01 1.03 -1.30
3 H UNC-Ash (16-17, 94.8) 77-82 -5.15 2.33 -0.01 1.03 -2.66
3 A Ea Carolina (12-19, 95.1) 82-78 -4.84 2.63 0.01 1.03 5.46
3 H NC A&T (11-19, 94.3) 65-71 -5.56 1.92 -0.01 1.03 -2.87
3 A Chattanooga (13-19, 94.2) 77-72 -5.71 1.77 0.01 1.03 3.66
3 A Samford (18-14, 95.1) 89-82 -4.81 2.67 0.01 1.03 5.52
3 H Wofford (19-13, 95.0) 85-97 -4.89 2.59 -0.01 1.03 -2.53
3 H Ea Tenn St (23-11, 95.4) 60-86 -4.46 3.02 -0.01 1.03 -2.30
3 A The Citadel (11-22, 93.9) 69-66 -5.97 1.50 0.01 1.03 3.12
3 H Mercer (19-13, 95.2) 92-** -4.70 2.77 -0.01 1.03 -2.43
3 A VMI ( 6-26, 93.1) 85-78 -6.82 1.00 0.01 1.03 2.08
3 H Furman (23-13, 95.4) 66-89 -4.53 2.95 -0.01 1.03 -2.34
3 H Mercer (19-13, 95.2) 77-95 -4.70 2.77 -0.01 1.03 -2.43
3 H The Citadel (11-22, 93.9) 66-71 -5.97 1.50 -0.01 1.03 -3.09
3 A We Carolina (15-17, 94.8) 81-78 -5.06 2.41 0.01 1.03 5.00
3 A Furman (23-13, 95.4) 67-64 -4.53 2.95 0.01 1.03 6.10
3 A VMI ( 6-26, 93.1) 92-71 -6.82 1.00 0.01 1.03 2.08
3 A Wofford (19-13, 95.0) 99-89 -4.89 2.59 0.01 1.03 5.36
3 H We Carolina (15-17, 94.8) 77-91 -5.06 2.41 -0.01 1.03 -2.62
3 H Ea Tenn St (23-11, 95.4) 75-87 -4.46 3.02 -0.01 1.03 -2.30
3 A Chattanooga (13-19, 94.2) 85-80 -5.71 1.77 0.01 1.03 3.66
3 H Samford (18-14, 95.1) 78-87 -4.81 2.67 -0.01 1.03 -2.49
3 A VMI ( 6-26, 93.1) 84-70 -6.82 1.00 0.01 1.03 2.08
3 A Wofford (19-13, 95.0) 75-72 -4.89 2.59 0.01 1.03 5.36
3 H Furman (23-13, 95.4) 75-81 -4.53 2.95 -0.01 1.03 -2.34
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9.93
|
winning pts = 54.3594 losing points = -44.4293
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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