NC State
W-L: (20-14) PR = 97.5969Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 1103 A NC Center MEAC (14-18, 93.6) **-66 1107 A UAB AME (20-12, 96.2) 94-70 1112 A UNCG SO U (14-20, 94.5) **-64 1117 A VCU A10 (29- 8, 97.6) 85-79 1124 H Seton Hall BE (21-12, 97.6) 74-85 1125 A Boise St MW (20-12, 97.0) 81-70 1126 H Texas SEC T (21-15, 97.8) 97-** 1203 H Auburn SEC A (22-16, 97.7) 73-83 1206 A UNC-Ash BSO (16-17, 94.8) 75-63 1210 A Liberty CUSA (26- 8, 96.5) 85-45 1213 H Kansas B12 (24-11, 98.4) 76-77 1217 A TX Southern SWAC T (12-18, 94.0) **-72 1221 A Ole Miss SEC (15-20, 96.9) 76-62 1231 A Wake Forest ACC (18-17, 97.0) 70-57 103 H Virginia ACC (30- 6, 98.6) 61-76 106 A Boston Col ACC (11-20, 95.7) 79-71 110 A Florida St ACC (18-15, 97.2) **-69 117 H Georgia Tech ACC (11-20, 95.8) 74-78 120 A Clemson ACC (24-11, 97.8) 80-76 124 A Pittsburgh ACC (13-20, 96.4) 81-72 127 A Syracuse ACC (15-17, 96.8) 88-68 131 A Wake Forest ACC (18-17, 97.0) 96-78 203 A SMU ACC (20-14, 97.4) 84-83 207 A Va Tech ACC (19-13, 97.4) 82-73 209 H Louisville ACC (24-11, 98.0) 77-** 214 H Miami (Fl) ACC (26- 9, 98.0) 76-77 217 A No Carolina ACC (24- 9, 98.2) 82-58 224 H Virginia ACC (30- 6, 98.6) 61-90 228 H Notre D (13-18, 96.6) 90-96 302 H Duke ACC (35- 3, 99.7) 64-93 307 H Stanford ACC (20-13, 97.2) 84-85 311 A Pittsburgh ACC (13-20, 96.4) 98-88 312 H Virginia ACC (30- 6, 98.6) 74-81 317 H Texas SEC T (21-15, 97.8) 66-68
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1103 A NC Center **-66 48 4 0.00
1107 A UAB 94-70 24 1 0.65
1112 A UNCG **-64 46 3 0.00
1117 A VCU 85-79 6 0 1.99
1124 H Seton Hall 74-85 -11 0 - -2.05
1125 A Boise St 81-70 11 1 1.46
1126 H Texas 97-** -5 0 -1.82
1203 H Auburn 73-83 -10 0 -1.89
1206 A UNC-Ash 75-63 12 3 0.00
1210 A Liberty 85-45 40 1 0.93
1213 H Kansas 76-77 -1 -1 -0.17
1217 A TX Southern **-72 36 4 0.00
1221 A Ole Miss 76-62 14 1 1.28
1231 A Wake Forest 70-57 13 1 1.46
103 H Virginia 61-76 -15 -1 -0.97
106 A Boston Col 79-71 8 2 0.12
110 A Florida St **-69 44 0 1.63
117 H Georgia Tech 74-78 -4 2 - -3.84
120 A Clemson 80-76 4 0 + 2.25
124 A Pittsburgh 81-72 9 1 0.80
127 A Syracuse 88-68 20 1 1.18
131 A Wake Forest 96-78 18 1 1.46
203 A SMU 84-83 1 0 0.78
207 A Va Tech 82-73 9 0 1.78
209 H Louisville 77-** -41 0 -1.58
214 H Miami (Fl) 76-77 -1 0 -0.64
217 A No Carolina 82-58 24 -1 + 2.61
224 H Virginia 61-90 -29 -1 -0.97
228 H Notre D 90-96 -6 1 - -3.02
302 H Duke 64-93 -29 -2 0.00
307 H Stanford 84-85 -1 0 -1.42
311 A Pittsburgh 98-88 10 1 0.80
312 H Virginia 74-81 -7 -1 -0.97
317 H Texas 66-68 -2 0 -1.82
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1124 H Seton Hall 74-85 -11 0 - -2.05 117 H Georgia Tech 74-78 -4 2 - -3.84 228 H Notre D 90-96 -6 1 - -3.02 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 120 A Clemson 80-76 4 0 + 2.25 217 A No Carolina 82-58 24 -1 + 2.61 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 33.01
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A NC Center (14-18, 93.6) **-66 -6.34 1.14 0.01 0.97 2.23
3 A UAB (20-12, 96.2) 94-70 -3.66 3.81 0.01 0.97 7.42
3 A UNCG (14-20, 94.5) **-64 -5.38 2.10 0.01 0.97 4.09
3 A VCU (29- 8, 97.6) 85-79 -2.32 5.16 0.01 0.97 10.04
3 H Seton Hall (21-12, 97.6) 74-85 -2.35 5.13 -0.01 0.97 -1.14
3 A Boise St (20-12, 97.0) 81-70 -2.85 4.62 0.01 0.97 9.00
3 H Texas (21-15, 97.8) 97-** -2.12 5.36 -0.01 0.97 -1.03
3 H Auburn (22-16, 97.7) 73-83 -2.19 5.29 -0.01 0.97 -1.07
3 A UNC-Ash (16-17, 94.8) 75-63 -5.15 2.33 0.01 0.97 4.55
3 A Liberty (26- 8, 96.5) 85-45 -3.38 4.09 0.01 0.97 7.97
3 H Kansas (24-11, 98.4) 76-77 -1.47 6.01 -0.01 0.97 -0.72
3 A TX Southern (12-18, 94.0) **-72 -5.88 1.60 0.01 0.97 3.13
3 A Ole Miss (15-20, 96.9) 76-62 -3.03 4.45 0.01 0.97 8.65
3 A Wake Forest (18-17, 97.0) 70-57 -2.85 4.63 0.01 0.97 9.00
3 H Virginia (30- 6, 98.6) 61-76 -1.26 6.21 -0.01 0.97 -0.62
3 A Boston Col (11-20, 95.7) 79-71 -4.19 3.29 0.01 0.97 6.40
3 A Florida St (18-15, 97.2) **-69 -2.68 4.79 0.01 0.97 9.33
3 H Georgia Tech (11-20, 95.8) 74-78 -4.13 3.35 -0.01 0.97 -2.01
3 A Clemson (24-11, 97.8) 80-76 -2.07 5.41 0.01 0.97 10.52
3 A Pittsburgh (13-20, 96.4) 81-72 -3.52 3.96 0.01 0.97 7.71
3 A Syracuse (15-17, 96.8) 88-68 -3.13 4.34 0.01 0.97 8.46
3 A Wake Forest (18-17, 97.0) 96-78 -2.85 4.63 0.01 0.97 9.00
3 A SMU (20-14, 97.4) 84-83 -2.53 4.95 0.01 0.97 9.63
3 A Va Tech (19-13, 97.4) 82-73 -2.53 4.95 0.01 0.97 9.63
3 H Louisville (24-11, 98.0) 77-** -1.87 5.61 -0.01 0.97 -0.91
3 H Miami (Fl) (26- 9, 98.0) 76-77 -1.93 5.54 -0.01 0.97 -0.94
3 A No Carolina (24- 9, 98.2) 82-58 -1.71 5.77 0.01 0.97 11.22
3 H Virginia (30- 6, 98.6) 61-90 -1.26 6.21 -0.01 0.97 -0.62
3 H Notre D (13-18, 96.6) 90-96 -3.32 4.16 -0.01 0.97 -1.62
3 H Duke (35- 3, 99.7) 64-93 -0.17 7.30 -0.01 0.97 -0.09
3 H Stanford (20-13, 97.2) 84-85 -2.71 4.76 -0.01 0.97 -1.32
3 A Pittsburgh (13-20, 96.4) 98-88 -3.52 3.96 0.01 0.97 7.71
3 H Virginia (30- 6, 98.6) 74-81 -1.26 6.21 -0.01 0.97 -0.62
3 H Texas (21-15, 97.8) 66-68 -2.12 5.36 -0.01 0.97 -1.03
------
141.93
|
winning pts = 155.6750 losing points = -13.7407
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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