UNC-Wilm
W-L: (27- 7) PR = 96.2861Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 1103 A MTOLI **-77 1110 H Kent State MA (24-10, 96.2) 77-86 1115 A SC Upstate BSO (13-19, 94.1) 73-60 1118 A Ea Carolina AME (12-19, 95.1) 85-60 1121 A Radford BSO (16-17, 94.5) 81-73 1126 A Soea LA SL S ( 9-22, 94.1) 70-57 1128 A Navy PAT (26- 8, 95.4) 87-57 1129 A Gardner-Webb BSO ( 5-29, 92.9) 88-62 1203 A Marshall SB M (19-13, 95.6) 70-69 1206 A Louisiana SB (11-23, 94.5) 70-63 1213 A Valparaiso MV (18-15, 95.6) 73-70 1220 H Howard MEAC (24-11, 95.0) 66-67 1227 A COLUM **-56 1229 A NC A&T CA (11-19, 94.3) 87-78 1231 A Drexel CA (17-16, 95.1) 65-53 103 A Hampton CA (14-19, 94.5) 49-45 108 A Northeastern CA ( 7-24, 94.1) 87-78 110 A Stony Brook CA (17-15, 95.0) 75-71 117 A Campbell CA (15-19, 95.3) 78-75 122 H Will&Mary CA (21-12, 95.7) 70-77 124 A Hampton CA (14-19, 94.5) 75-67 129 A Towson CA (19-15, 95.5) 82-73 205 H Will&Mary CA (21-12, 95.7) 78-85 209 A Charlotte AME (39-26, 95.9) 76-64 212 A Elon CA (14-18, 94.9) 65-54 214 A Hofstra CA (24-11, 96.1) 70-66 219 A Monmouth CA (19-15, 95.3) 79-69 221 A Campbell CA (15-19, 95.3) 73-68 226 A NC A&T CA (11-19, 94.3) 88-65 301 H Charlotte AME (39-26, 95.9) 76-79 303 A Elon CA (14-18, 94.9) 76-57 308 H Campbell CA (15-19, 95.3) 70-85 317 A Yale IVY (24- 7, 96.3) 68-67 321 H Dayton A10 (24-12, 96.9) 61-80
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1110 H Kent State 77-86 -9 0 - -2.06
1115 A SC Upstate 73-60 13 2 0.00
1118 A Ea Carolina 85-60 25 1 0.78
1121 A Radford 81-73 8 2 0.25
1126 A Soea LA 70-57 13 2 0.00
1128 A Navy 87-57 30 1 1.17
1129 A Gardner-Webb 88-62 26 3 0.00
1203 A Marshall 70-69 1 1 0.36
1206 A Louisiana 70-63 7 2 0.18
1213 A Valparaiso 73-70 3 1 1.36
1220 H Howard 66-67 -1 1 - -2.34
1229 A NC A&T 87-78 9 2 0.07
1231 A Drexel 65-53 12 1 0.79
103 A Hampton 49-45 4 2 0.22
108 A Northeastern 87-78 9 2 0.00
110 A Stony Brook 75-71 4 1 0.74
117 A Campbell 78-75 3 1 1.07
122 H Will&Mary 70-77 -7 1 - -2.62
124 A Hampton 75-67 8 2 0.22
129 A Towson 82-73 9 1 1.21
205 H Will&Mary 78-85 -7 1 - -2.62
209 A Charlotte 76-64 12 0 1.63
212 A Elon 65-54 11 1 0.61
214 A Hofstra 70-66 4 0 1.84
219 A Monmouth 79-69 10 1 1.04
221 A Campbell 73-68 5 1 1.07
226 A NC A&T 88-65 23 2 0.07
301 H Charlotte 76-79 -3 0 - -2.39
303 A Elon 76-57 19 1 0.61
308 H Campbell 70-85 -15 1 - -2.95
317 A Yale 68-67 1 0 1.06
321 H Dayton 61-80 -19 -1 -1.35
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1110 H Kent State 77-86 -9 0 - -2.06 1220 H Howard 66-67 -1 1 - -2.34 122 H Will&Mary 70-77 -7 1 - -2.62 205 H Will&Mary 78-85 -7 1 - -2.62 301 H Charlotte 76-79 -3 0 - -2.39 308 H Campbell 70-85 -15 1 - -2.95 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 33.01
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H Kent State (24-10, 96.2) 77-86 -3.66 3.81 -0.01 1.03 -1.89
3 A SC Upstate (13-19, 94.1) 73-60 -5.80 1.67 0.01 1.03 3.48
3 A Ea Carolina (12-19, 95.1) 85-60 -4.84 2.63 0.01 1.03 5.46
3 A Radford (16-17, 94.5) 81-73 -5.37 2.10 0.01 1.03 4.36
3 A Soea LA ( 9-22, 94.1) 70-57 -5.76 1.72 0.01 1.03 3.57
3 A Navy (26- 8, 95.4) 87-57 -4.46 3.02 0.01 1.03 6.25
3 A Gardner-Webb ( 5-29, 92.9) 88-62 -7.05 1.00 0.01 1.03 2.08
3 A Marshall (19-13, 95.6) 70-69 -4.26 3.22 0.01 1.03 6.66
3 A Louisiana (11-23, 94.5) 70-63 -5.44 2.03 0.01 1.03 4.21
3 A Valparaiso (18-15, 95.6) 73-70 -4.26 3.22 0.01 1.03 6.66
3 H Howard (24-11, 95.0) 66-67 -4.95 2.53 -0.01 1.03 -2.56
3 A NC A&T (11-19, 94.3) 87-78 -5.56 1.92 0.01 1.03 3.98
3 A Drexel (17-16, 95.1) 65-53 -4.83 2.64 0.01 1.03 5.47
3 A Hampton (14-19, 94.5) 49-45 -5.40 2.08 0.01 1.03 4.31
3 A Northeastern ( 7-24, 94.1) 87-78 -5.79 1.68 0.01 1.03 3.49
3 A Stony Brook (17-15, 95.0) 75-71 -4.89 2.59 0.01 1.03 5.37
3 A Campbell (15-19, 95.3) 78-75 -4.56 2.92 0.01 1.03 6.05
3 H Will&Mary (21-12, 95.7) 70-77 -4.23 3.25 -0.01 1.03 -2.19
3 A Hampton (14-19, 94.5) 75-67 -5.40 2.08 0.01 1.03 4.31
3 A Towson (19-15, 95.5) 82-73 -4.42 3.06 0.01 1.03 6.33
3 H Will&Mary (21-12, 95.7) 78-85 -4.23 3.25 -0.01 1.03 -2.19
3 A Charlotte (39-26, 95.9) 76-64 -4.00 3.48 0.01 1.03 7.20
3 A Elon (14-18, 94.9) 65-54 -5.01 2.46 0.01 1.03 5.10
3 A Hofstra (24-11, 96.1) 70-66 -3.78 3.70 0.01 1.03 7.65
3 A Monmouth (19-15, 95.3) 79-69 -4.59 2.89 0.01 1.03 5.98
3 A Campbell (15-19, 95.3) 73-68 -4.56 2.92 0.01 1.03 6.05
3 A NC A&T (11-19, 94.3) 88-65 -5.56 1.92 0.01 1.03 3.98
3 H Charlotte (39-26, 95.9) 76-79 -4.00 3.48 -0.01 1.03 -2.07
3 A Elon (14-18, 94.9) 76-57 -5.01 2.46 0.01 1.03 5.10
3 H Campbell (15-19, 95.3) 70-85 -4.56 2.92 -0.01 1.03 -2.36
3 A Yale (24- 7, 96.3) 68-67 -3.57 3.91 0.01 1.03 8.08
3 H Dayton (24-12, 96.9) 61-80 -2.95 4.52 -0.01 1.03 -1.53
------
116.40
|
winning pts = 131.1730 losing points = -14.7741
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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