UPDATED: 08-24-26 12:33 PDT

stick Notre D
  
Notre D               
W-L: (13-18) PR = 96.5825

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 1103 A LIU NE (24-11, 95.2) 89-67 1107 A Detroit HL (17-15, 95.2) **-70 1111 A Ea Illinois OV (14-20, 94.1) 78-58 1116 H Ohio St B10 (20-14, 97.8) 63-64 1119 A Bellarmine AS (13-19, 94.4) 86-79 1124 H Kansas B12 (24-11, 98.4) 61-71 1125 A Rutgers B10 (14-19, 96.5) 68-63 1126 H Houston B12 (30- 7, 98.9) 56-66 1202 A Missouri SEC M (20-13, 97.4) 76-71 1205 A TCU B12 (24-12, 98.0) 87-85 1210 A Idaho BS (21-15, 95.5) 80-65 1213 A Evansville MV ( 7-25, 94.5) 82-58 1221 H PFW HL (16-16, 95.2) 69-72 1230 A Stanford ACC (20-13, 97.2) 47-40 102 H California ACC (22-12, 97.1) 71-72 110 H Clemson ACC (24-11, 97.8) 61-76 113 H Miami (Fl) ACC (26- 9, 98.0) 69-81 117 H Va Tech ACC (19-13, 97.4) 76-89 121 H No Carolina ACC (24- 9, 98.2) 69-91 124 A Boston Col ACC (11-20, 95.7) 68-64 127 H Virginia ACC (30- 6, 98.6) **-** 131 H Syracuse ACC (15-17, 96.8) 72-86 204 H Louisville ACC (24-11, 98.0) 65-76 207 H Florida St ACC (18-15, 97.2) 79-82 210 H SMU ACC (20-14, 97.4) 81-89 214 A Georgia Tech ACC (11-20, 95.8) 89-74 221 H Pittsburgh ACC (13-20, 96.4) 68-73 224 H Duke ACC (35- 3, 99.7) 56-** 228 A NC State ACC (20-14, 97.6) 96-90 304 H Stanford ACC (20-13, 97.2) 78-86 307 H Boston Col ACC (11-20, 95.7) 69-77

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
  1103 A LIU                    89-67      22     1           0.63
  1107 A Detroit                **-70      32     1           0.63
  1111 A Ea Illinois            78-58      20     2           0.00
  1116 H Ohio St                63-64      -1    -1           0.19
  1119 A Bellarmine             86-79       7     2           0.00
  1124 H Kansas                 61-71     -10    -2          -0.16
  1125 A Rutgers                68-63       5     0           1.92
  1126 H Houston                56-66     -10    -2           0.00
  1202 A Missouri               76-71       5    -1    +      2.84
  1205 A TCU                    87-85       2    -1    +      3.43
  1210 A Idaho                  80-65      15     1           0.91
  1213 A Evansville             82-58      24     2           0.00
  1221 H PFW                    69-72      -3     1    -     -3.43
  1230 A Stanford               47-40       7    -1    +      2.61
   102 H California             71-72      -1    -1          -0.45
   110 H Clemson                61-76     -15    -1          -0.76
   113 H Miami (Fl)             69-81     -12    -1          -0.63
   117 H Va Tech                76-89     -13    -1          -1.22
   121 H No Carolina            69-91     -22    -2          -0.40
   124 A Boston Col             68-64       4     1           1.14
   127 H Virginia               **-**    -152    -2           0.00
   131 H Syracuse               72-86     -14     0          -1.82
   204 H Louisville             65-76     -11    -1          -0.56
   207 H Florida St             79-82      -3    -1          -1.37
   210 H SMU                    81-89      -8    -1          -1.22
   214 A Georgia Tech           89-74      15     1           1.20
   221 H Pittsburgh             68-73      -5     0    -     -2.21
   224 H Duke                   56-**     -44    -3           0.00
   228 A NC State               96-90       6    -1    +      3.02
   304 H Stanford               78-86      -8    -1          -1.41
   307 H Boston Col             69-77      -8     1    -     -2.88

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
  1221 H PFW                    69-72      -3     1    -     -3.43
   221 H Pittsburgh             68-73      -5     0    -     -2.21
   307 H Boston Col             69-77      -8     1    -     -2.88

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
  1202 A Missouri               76-71       5    -1    +      2.84
  1205 A TCU                    87-85       2    -1    +      3.43
  1230 A Stanford               47-40       7    -1    +      2.61
   228 A NC State               96-90       6    -1    +      3.02

division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 33.01

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   3 A LIU             (24-11, 95.2)    89-67       -4.70       2.78       0.01         1.06             5.94
   3 A Detroit         (17-15, 95.2)    **-70       -4.70       2.78       0.01         1.06             5.93
   3 A Ea Illinois     (14-20, 94.1)    78-58       -5.82       1.65       0.01         1.06             3.54
   3 H Ohio St         (20-14, 97.8)    63-64       -2.12       5.36      -0.01         1.06            -1.13
   3 A Bellarmine      (13-19, 94.4)    86-79       -5.47       2.01       0.01         1.06             4.30
   3 H Kansas          (24-11, 98.4)    61-71       -1.47       6.01      -0.01         1.06            -0.79
   3 A Rutgers         (14-19, 96.5)    68-63       -3.41       4.07       0.01         1.06             8.68
   3 H Houston         (30- 7, 98.9)    56-66       -1.03       6.45      -0.01         1.06            -0.55
   3 A Missouri        (20-13, 97.4)    76-71       -2.48       4.99       0.01         1.06            10.65
   3 A TCU             (24-12, 98.0)    87-85       -1.89       5.58       0.01         1.06            11.91
   3 A Idaho           (21-15, 95.5)    80-65       -4.42       3.06       0.01         1.06             6.53
   3 A Evansville      ( 7-25, 94.5)    82-58       -5.39       2.09       0.01         1.06             4.46
   3 H PFW             (16-16, 95.2)    69-72       -4.74       2.74      -0.01         1.06            -2.53
   3 A Stanford        (20-13, 97.2)    47-40       -2.71       4.76       0.01         1.06            10.16
   3 H California      (22-12, 97.1)    71-72       -2.76       4.72      -0.01         1.06            -1.47
   3 H Clemson         (24-11, 97.8)    61-76       -2.07       5.41      -0.01         1.06            -1.11
   3 H Miami (Fl)      (26- 9, 98.0)    69-81       -1.93       5.54      -0.01         1.06            -1.04
   3 H Va Tech         (19-13, 97.4)    76-89       -2.53       4.95      -0.01         1.06            -1.35
   3 H No Carolina     (24- 9, 98.2)    69-91       -1.71       5.77      -0.01         1.06            -0.91
   3 A Boston Col      (11-20, 95.7)    68-64       -4.19       3.29       0.01         1.06             7.02
   3 H Virginia        (30- 6, 98.6)    **-**       -1.26       6.21      -0.01         1.06            -0.68
   3 H Syracuse        (15-17, 96.8)    72-86       -3.13       4.34      -0.01         1.06            -1.67
   3 H Louisville      (24-11, 98.0)    65-76       -1.87       5.61      -0.01         1.06            -1.00
   3 H Florida St      (18-15, 97.2)    79-82       -2.68       4.79      -0.01         1.06            -1.43
   3 H SMU             (20-14, 97.4)    81-89       -2.53       4.95      -0.01         1.06            -1.35
   3 A Georgia Tech    (11-20, 95.8)    89-74       -4.13       3.35       0.01         1.06             7.15
   3 H Pittsburgh      (13-20, 96.4)    68-73       -3.52       3.96      -0.01         1.06            -1.88
   3 H Duke            (35- 3, 99.7)    56-**       -0.17       7.30      -0.01         1.06            -0.10
   3 A NC State        (20-14, 97.6)    96-90       -2.30       5.17       0.01         1.06            11.04
   3 H Stanford        (20-13, 97.2)    78-86       -2.71       4.76      -0.01         1.06            -1.45
   3 H Boston Col      (11-20, 95.7)    69-77       -4.19       3.29      -0.01         1.06            -2.24
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                        74.65

winning pts = 97.3266 losing points = -22.6767

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------