No Dakota St
W-L: (26- 8) PR = 96.0757Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 1103 H Oregon State WC (17-16, 96.1) 65-67 1105 H UC Davis BW (19-13, 95.9) 68-80 1111 A Northridge BW (20-14, 95.8) 90-68 1112 A STSCH **-38 1117 A So Illinois MV (16-16, 95.5) 92-85 1126 A Jacksonv St CUSA (15-17, 95.0) 56-43 1128 H Arkansas St SB A (20-12, 95.7) 80-85 1203 A Montana BS (18-16, 95.5) 81-72 1206 A No Arizona BS (11-22, 94.3) 69-68 1211 A CS Baker BW ( 9-24, 94.2) 80-69 1213 A Drake MV (14-20, 95.1) 99-94 1215 A MNCRS **-67 1221 H UC Irvine BW (22-13, 96.1) 73-74 1222 H TX-El Paso CUSA (11-20, 94.7) 66-76 1231 A So Dakota SM (16-15, 94.8) 84-61 103 A Oral Roberts SM (10-24, 94.2) 79- 4 108 A Kansas City SM ( 4-27, 92.9) 97-73 110 A Omaha SM (16-17, 94.8) 78-76 114 A So Dakota St SM (13-18, 94.7) 76-65 117 A St Thomas MN SM (24-10, 95.8) 68-65 122 A Denver SM (14-18, 94.9) 82-77 124 A Oral Roberts SM (10-24, 94.2) 86-58 131 A So Dakota SM (16-15, 94.8) 89-84 205 H Denver SM (14-18, 94.9) 71-78 207 A Omaha SM (16-17, 94.8) 92-84 214 A No Dakota SM (17-18, 94.9) 83-66 218 A So Dakota St SM (13-18, 94.7) 74-66 221 A Kansas City SM ( 4-27, 92.9) 95-59 226 H St Thomas MN SM (24-10, 95.8) 62-84 228 A No Dakota SM (17-18, 94.9) 96-63 305 A Oral Roberts SM (10-24, 94.2) 76-65 307 A Omaha SM (16-17, 94.8) 74-50 308 A No Dakota SM (17-18, 94.9) 70-62 319 H Michigan St B10 (27- 8, 98.7) 67-92
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1103 H Oregon State 65-67 -2 0 - -2.03
1105 H UC Davis 68-80 -12 0 - -2.19
1111 A Northridge 90-68 22 0 1.71
1117 A So Illinois 92-85 7 1 1.42
1126 A Jacksonv St 56-43 13 1 0.95
1128 H Arkansas St 80-85 -5 0 - -2.35
1203 A Montana 81-72 9 1 1.40
1206 A No Arizona 69-68 1 2 -0.74
1211 A CS Baker 80-69 11 2 0.14
1213 A Drake 99-94 5 1 1.08
1221 H UC Irvine 73-74 -1 0 -0.97
1222 H TX-El Paso 66-76 -10 1 - -3.38
1231 A So Dakota 84-61 23 1 0.75
103 A Oral Roberts 79- 4 75 2 0.13
108 A Kansas City 97-73 24 3 0.00
110 A Omaha 78-76 2 1 0.74
114 A So Dakota St 76-65 11 1 0.67
117 A St Thomas MN 68-65 3 0 1.72
122 A Denver 82-77 5 1 0.82
124 A Oral Roberts 86-58 28 2 0.13
131 A So Dakota 89-84 5 1 0.75
205 H Denver 71-78 -7 1 - -3.20
207 A Omaha 92-84 8 1 0.74
214 A No Dakota 83-66 17 1 0.83
218 A So Dakota St 74-66 8 1 0.67
221 A Kansas City 95-59 36 3 0.00
226 H St Thomas MN 62-84 -22 0 - -2.30
228 A No Dakota 96-63 33 1 0.83
305 A Oral Roberts 76-65 11 2 0.13
307 A Omaha 74-50 24 1 0.74
308 A No Dakota 70-62 8 1 0.83
319 H Michigan St 67-92 -25 -3 0.00
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1103 H Oregon State 65-67 -2 0 - -2.03 1105 H UC Davis 68-80 -12 0 - -2.19 1128 H Arkansas St 80-85 -5 0 - -2.35 1222 H TX-El Paso 66-76 -10 1 - -3.38 205 H Denver 71-78 -7 1 - -3.20 226 H St Thomas MN 62-84 -22 0 - -2.30 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 33.01
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H Oregon State (17-16, 96.1) 65-67 -3.85 3.63 -0.01 1.03 -1.99
3 H UC Davis (19-13, 95.9) 68-80 -4.00 3.47 -0.01 1.03 -2.07
3 A Northridge (20-14, 95.8) 90-68 -4.12 3.36 0.01 1.03 6.95
3 A So Illinois (16-16, 95.5) 92-85 -4.42 3.06 0.01 1.03 6.34
3 A Jacksonv St (15-17, 95.0) 56-43 -4.89 2.59 0.01 1.03 5.36
3 H Arkansas St (20-12, 95.7) 80-85 -4.16 3.32 -0.01 1.03 -2.15
3 A Montana (18-16, 95.5) 81-72 -4.44 3.04 0.01 1.03 6.29
3 A No Arizona (11-22, 94.3) 69-68 -5.58 1.90 0.01 1.03 3.94
3 A CS Baker ( 9-24, 94.2) 80-69 -5.69 1.78 0.01 1.03 3.70
3 A Drake (14-20, 95.1) 99-94 -4.76 2.72 0.01 1.03 5.63
3 H UC Irvine (22-13, 96.1) 73-74 -3.78 3.69 -0.01 1.03 -1.96
3 H TX-El Paso (11-20, 94.7) 66-76 -5.20 2.28 -0.01 1.03 -2.69
3 A So Dakota (16-15, 94.8) 84-61 -5.09 2.39 0.01 1.03 4.95
3 A Oral Roberts (10-24, 94.2) 79- 4 -5.70 1.77 0.01 1.03 3.68
3 A Kansas City ( 4-27, 92.9) 97-73 -6.96 1.00 0.01 1.03 2.08
3 A Omaha (16-17, 94.8) 78-76 -5.09 2.38 0.01 1.03 4.94
3 A So Dakota St (13-18, 94.7) 76-65 -5.17 2.31 0.01 1.03 4.78
3 A St Thomas MN (24-10, 95.8) 68-65 -4.11 3.37 0.01 1.03 6.96
3 A Denver (14-18, 94.9) 82-77 -5.01 2.46 0.01 1.03 5.10
3 A Oral Roberts (10-24, 94.2) 86-58 -5.70 1.77 0.01 1.03 3.68
3 A So Dakota (16-15, 94.8) 89-84 -5.09 2.39 0.01 1.03 4.95
3 H Denver (14-18, 94.9) 71-78 -5.01 2.46 -0.01 1.03 -2.59
3 A Omaha (16-17, 94.8) 92-84 -5.09 2.38 0.01 1.03 4.94
3 A No Dakota (17-18, 94.9) 83-66 -5.01 2.47 0.01 1.03 5.11
3 A So Dakota St (13-18, 94.7) 74-66 -5.17 2.31 0.01 1.03 4.78
3 A Kansas City ( 4-27, 92.9) 95-59 -6.96 1.00 0.01 1.03 2.08
3 H St Thomas MN (24-10, 95.8) 62-84 -4.11 3.37 -0.01 1.03 -2.13
3 A No Dakota (17-18, 94.9) 96-63 -5.01 2.47 0.01 1.03 5.11
3 A Oral Roberts (10-24, 94.2) 76-65 -5.70 1.77 0.01 1.03 3.68
3 A Omaha (16-17, 94.8) 74-50 -5.09 2.38 0.01 1.03 4.94
3 A No Dakota (17-18, 94.9) 70-62 -5.01 2.47 0.01 1.03 5.11
3 H Michigan St (27- 8, 98.7) 67-92 -1.19 6.29 -0.01 1.03 -0.62
------
98.90
|
winning pts = 115.0908 losing points = -16.1886
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------