Nevada
W-L: (24-13) PR = 96.9362Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 1104 A La Tech CUSA (20-13, 95.5) 77-50 1108 A Pacific WC (18-15, 96.1) 78-77 1112 A So Illinois MV (16-16, 95.5) 86-81 1115 H Santa Clara WC (26- 9, 97.5) 83-98 1118 H UC Davis BW (19-13, 95.9) 71-75 1122 A Santa Barbara BW (18-14, 95.7) 77-64 1127 H Washington B10 (16-17, 96.9) 66-83 1128 A San Fran WC (17-16, 96.2) 81-65 1202 A UC San Diego BW (23-11, 96.1) 76-70 1207 A Wash St WC (12-20, 95.6) 78-64 1213 A Duquesne A10 (18-15, 95.9) 78-75 1220 A Boise St MW (20-12, 97.0) 81-66 1230 A Colorado St MW (21-13, 96.7) 75-62 103 A Fresno St MW (13-19, 95.7) 66-65 106 H San Diego St MW (22-11, 97.4) 68-73 110 A Wyoming MW (18-15, 96.3) 92-83 114 H Utah State MW (29- 7, 97.9) 62-71 117 A Air Force MW ( 3-29, 94.0) 81-66 120 A San Jose St MW ( 9-24, 95.3) 87-54 124 H New Mexico MW (26-11, 97.2) 73-80 127 A Grand Canyon MW (20-12, 96.7) 66-60 130 A UNLV MW (18-17, 96.4) 89-76 203 H Boise St MW (20-12, 97.0) 87-91 207 A Fresno St MW (13-19, 95.7) 69-59 214 H San Diego St MW (22-11, 97.4) 57-71 217 H San Jose St MW ( 9-24, 95.3) 71-87 221 A Utah State MW (29- 7, 97.9) 80-77 224 A New Mexico MW (26-11, 97.2) 67-60 228 H UNLV MW (18-17, 96.4) 83-85 303 H Wyoming MW (18-15, 96.3) 73-83 307 A Air Force MW ( 3-29, 94.0) 74-59 311 A Air Force MW ( 3-29, 94.0) 80-45 312 A Grand Canyon MW (20-12, 96.7) 84-80 313 H Utah State MW (29- 7, 97.9) 66-79 318 A Murray St MV (21-13, 96.0) 89-75 321 A Liberty CUSA (26- 8, 96.5) 73-63 325 H Auburn SEC A (22-16, 97.7) 69-75
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1104 A La Tech 77-50 27 1 0.60
1108 A Pacific 78-77 1 1 0.13
1112 A So Illinois 86-81 5 1 0.56
1115 H Santa Clara 83-98 -15 -1 -1.45
1118 H UC Davis 71-75 -4 1 - -3.05
1122 A Santa Barbara 77-64 13 1 0.77
1127 H Washington 66-83 -17 0 - -2.00
1128 A San Fran 81-65 16 1 1.24
1202 A UC San Diego 76-70 6 1 1.17
1207 A Wash St 78-64 14 1 0.69
1213 A Duquesne 78-75 3 1 1.02
1220 A Boise St 81-66 15 0 + 2.12
1230 A Colorado St 75-62 13 0 1.76
103 A Fresno St 66-65 1 1 -0.19
106 H San Diego St 68-73 -5 0 -1.56
110 A Wyoming 92-83 9 1 1.35
114 H Utah State 62-71 -9 -1 -1.05
117 A Air Force 81-66 15 3 0.00
120 A San Jose St 87-54 33 2 0.38
124 H New Mexico 73-80 -7 0 -1.71
127 A Grand Canyon 66-60 6 0 1.78
130 A UNLV 89-76 13 1 1.47
203 H Boise St 87-91 -4 0 -1.90
207 A Fresno St 69-59 10 1 0.81
214 H San Diego St 57-71 -14 0 -1.56
217 H San Jose St 71-87 -16 2 - -3.64
221 A Utah State 80-77 3 -1 + 2.97
224 A New Mexico 67-60 7 0 + 2.31
228 H UNLV 83-85 -2 1 - -2.55
303 H Wyoming 73-83 -10 1 - -2.67
307 A Air Force 74-59 15 3 0.00
311 A Air Force 80-45 35 3 0.00
312 A Grand Canyon 84-80 4 0 1.78
313 H Utah State 66-79 -13 -1 -1.05
318 A Murray St 89-75 14 1 1.11
321 A Liberty 73-63 10 0 1.59
325 H Auburn 69-75 -6 -1 -1.23
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UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1118 H UC Davis 71-75 -4 1 - -3.05 1127 H Washington 66-83 -17 0 - -2.00 217 H San Jose St 71-87 -16 2 - -3.64 228 H UNLV 83-85 -2 1 - -2.55 303 H Wyoming 73-83 -10 1 - -2.67 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1220 A Boise St 81-66 15 0 + 2.12 221 A Utah State 80-77 3 -1 + 2.97 224 A New Mexico 67-60 7 0 + 2.31 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 33.01
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A La Tech (20-13, 95.5) 77-50 -4.37 3.11 0.01 0.89 5.56
3 A Pacific (18-15, 96.1) 78-77 -3.85 3.63 0.01 0.89 6.49
3 A So Illinois (16-16, 95.5) 86-81 -4.42 3.06 0.01 0.89 5.48
3 H Santa Clara (26- 9, 97.5) 83-98 -2.40 5.07 -0.01 0.89 -1.08
3 H UC Davis (19-13, 95.9) 71-75 -4.00 3.47 -0.01 0.89 -1.79
3 A Santa Barbara (18-14, 95.7) 77-64 -4.21 3.27 0.01 0.89 5.85
3 H Washington (16-17, 96.9) 66-83 -2.96 4.52 -0.01 0.89 -1.32
3 A San Fran (17-16, 96.2) 81-65 -3.74 3.74 0.01 0.89 6.69
3 A UC San Diego (23-11, 96.1) 76-70 -3.81 3.67 0.01 0.89 6.57
3 A Wash St (12-20, 95.6) 78-64 -4.28 3.20 0.01 0.89 5.72
3 A Duquesne (18-15, 95.9) 78-75 -3.95 3.52 0.01 0.89 6.30
3 A Boise St (20-12, 97.0) 81-66 -2.85 4.62 0.01 0.89 8.27
3 A Colorado St (21-13, 96.7) 75-62 -3.21 4.26 0.01 0.89 7.63
3 A Fresno St (13-19, 95.7) 66-65 -4.16 3.32 0.01 0.89 5.94
3 H San Diego St (22-11, 97.4) 68-73 -2.51 4.96 -0.01 0.89 -1.13
3 A Wyoming (18-15, 96.3) 92-83 -3.63 3.85 0.01 0.89 6.89
3 H Utah State (29- 7, 97.9) 62-71 -2.00 5.47 -0.01 0.89 -0.90
3 A Air Force ( 3-29, 94.0) 81-66 -5.87 1.61 0.01 0.89 2.89
3 A San Jose St ( 9-24, 95.3) 87-54 -4.59 2.88 0.01 0.89 5.16
3 H New Mexico (26-11, 97.2) 73-80 -2.67 4.81 -0.01 0.89 -1.19
3 A Grand Canyon (20-12, 96.7) 66-60 -3.19 4.29 0.01 0.89 7.67
3 A UNLV (18-17, 96.4) 89-76 -3.50 3.97 0.01 0.89 7.11
3 H Boise St (20-12, 97.0) 87-91 -2.85 4.62 -0.01 0.89 -1.28
3 A Fresno St (13-19, 95.7) 69-59 -4.16 3.32 0.01 0.89 5.94
3 H San Diego St (22-11, 97.4) 57-71 -2.51 4.96 -0.01 0.89 -1.13
3 H San Jose St ( 9-24, 95.3) 71-87 -4.59 2.88 -0.01 0.89 -2.05
3 A Utah State (29- 7, 97.9) 80-77 -2.00 5.47 0.01 0.89 9.78
3 A New Mexico (26-11, 97.2) 67-60 -2.67 4.81 0.01 0.89 8.60
3 H UNLV (18-17, 96.4) 83-85 -3.50 3.97 -0.01 0.89 -1.57
3 H Wyoming (18-15, 96.3) 73-83 -3.63 3.85 -0.01 0.89 -1.62
3 A Air Force ( 3-29, 94.0) 74-59 -5.87 1.61 0.01 0.89 2.89
3 A Air Force ( 3-29, 94.0) 80-45 -5.87 1.61 0.01 0.89 2.89
3 A Grand Canyon (20-12, 96.7) 84-80 -3.19 4.29 0.01 0.89 7.67
3 H Utah State (29- 7, 97.9) 66-79 -2.00 5.47 -0.01 0.89 -0.90
3 A Murray St (21-13, 96.0) 89-75 -3.87 3.61 0.01 0.89 6.46
3 A Liberty (26- 8, 96.5) 73-63 -3.38 4.09 0.01 0.89 7.32
3 H Auburn (22-16, 97.7) 69-75 -2.19 5.29 -0.01 0.89 -0.98
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134.83
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winning pts = 151.7593 losing points = -16.9317
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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