Niagara
W-L: ( 8-22) PR = 93.7005Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 1103 H Duquesne A10 (18-15, 95.9) 63-83 1108 A Binghamton AE ( 8-23, 92.7) 67-59 1110 A Delaware St MEAC D ( 8-24, 92.7) 68-57 1117 H Le Moyne NE L (15-17, 94.1) 68-74 1121 H Duke ACC (35- 3, 99.7) 42-** 1122 H Howard MEAC (24-11, 95.0) 70-80 1129 H Detroit HL (17-15, 95.2) 66-70 1205 H Siena MAAC (23-12, 95.3) 54-83 1207 H St Peters MAAC (17-12, 95.1) 43-71 1213 H Morgan State MEAC M (13-17, 93.6) 73-81 1215 H VCU A10 (29- 8, 97.6) 58-84 1220 A HOUGH 81-58 102 A Sacred Heart MAAC (14-19, 94.4) 64-61 104 H Fairfield MAAC (22-13, 95.1) 75-83 109 H Iona MAAC (19-13, 95.1) 53-71 111 H Manhattan MAAC (12-21, 94.1) 70-79 114 A Canisius MAAC (10-21, 93.9) 59-54 119 H Mt St Marys MAAC (14-17, 94.5) 58-68 122 H Fairfield MAAC (22-13, 95.1) 61-62 124 H Sacred Heart MAAC (14-19, 94.4) 70-71 130 H Siena MAAC (23-12, 95.3) 79-82 201 H Marist MAAC (19-12, 95.2) 46-58 203 A Canisius MAAC (10-21, 93.9) 65-56 207 H Quinnipiac MAAC (19-13, 95.2) 55-56 213 H Manhattan MAAC (12-21, 94.1) 69-76 215 A Iona MAAC (19-13, 95.1) 70-68 220 H Mt St Marys MAAC (14-17, 94.5) 63-76 222 H Rider MAAC ( 4-25, 93.2) 62-67 227 A Quinnipiac MAAC (19-13, 95.2) 78-76 301 H Merrimack MAAC (22-12, 95.5) 66-73
PREDICTION LIST
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|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1103 H Duquesne 63-83 -20 -2 0.00
1108 A Binghamton 67-59 8 1 1.02
1110 A Delaware St 68-57 11 1 0.96
1117 H Le Moyne 68-74 -6 0 -1.64
1121 H Duke 42-** -58 -6 0.00
1122 H Howard 70-80 -10 -1 -0.76
1129 H Detroit 66-70 -4 -1 -0.51
1205 H Siena 54-83 -29 -2 -0.41
1207 H St Peters 43-71 -28 -1 -0.58
1213 H Morgan State 73-81 -8 0 - -2.13
1215 H VCU 58-84 -26 -4 0.00
102 A Sacred Heart 64-61 3 -1 + 2.67
104 H Fairfield 75-83 -8 -1 -0.66
109 H Iona 53-71 -18 -1 -0.58
111 H Manhattan 70-79 -9 0 -1.62
114 A Canisius 59-54 5 0 + 2.26
119 H Mt St Marys 58-68 -10 -1 -1.16
122 H Fairfield 61-62 -1 -1 0.34
124 H Sacred Heart 70-71 -1 -1 -0.35
130 H Siena 79-82 -3 -2 -0.41
201 H Marist 46-58 -12 -1 -0.54
203 A Canisius 65-56 9 0 + 2.26
207 H Quinnipiac 55-56 -1 -1 0.45
213 H Manhattan 69-76 -7 0 -1.62
215 A Iona 70-68 2 -1 + 3.44
220 H Mt St Marys 63-76 -13 -1 -1.16
222 H Rider 62-67 -5 1 - -2.54
227 A Quinnipiac 78-76 2 -1 + 3.47
301 H Merrimack 66-73 -7 -2 -0.21
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1213 H Morgan State 73-81 -8 0 - -2.13 222 H Rider 62-67 -5 1 - -2.54 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 102 A Sacred Heart 64-61 3 -1 + 2.67 114 A Canisius 59-54 5 0 + 2.26 203 A Canisius 65-56 9 0 + 2.26 215 A Iona 70-68 2 -1 + 3.44 227 A Quinnipiac 78-76 2 -1 + 3.47 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 33.01
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H Duquesne (18-15, 95.9) 63-83 -3.95 3.52 -0.01 1.14 -2.26
3 A Binghamton ( 8-23, 92.7) 67-59 -7.19 1.00 0.01 1.14 2.30
3 A Delaware St ( 8-24, 92.7) 68-57 -7.25 1.00 0.01 1.14 2.30
3 H Le Moyne (15-17, 94.1) 68-74 -5.83 1.64 -0.01 1.14 -3.32
3 H Duke (35- 3, 99.7) 42-** -0.17 7.30 -0.01 1.14 -0.10
3 H Howard (24-11, 95.0) 70-80 -4.95 2.53 -0.01 1.14 -2.82
3 H Detroit (17-15, 95.2) 66-70 -4.70 2.78 -0.01 1.14 -2.68
3 H Siena (23-12, 95.3) 54-83 -4.60 2.88 -0.01 1.14 -2.62
3 H St Peters (17-12, 95.1) 43-71 -4.77 2.71 -0.01 1.14 -2.72
3 H Morgan State (13-17, 93.6) 73-81 -6.32 1.16 -0.01 1.14 -3.60
3 H VCU (29- 8, 97.6) 58-84 -2.32 5.16 -0.01 1.14 -1.33
3 A Sacred Heart (14-19, 94.4) 64-61 -5.54 1.94 0.01 1.14 4.44
3 H Fairfield (22-13, 95.1) 75-83 -4.85 2.63 -0.01 1.14 -2.76
3 H Iona (19-13, 95.1) 53-71 -4.77 2.71 -0.01 1.14 -2.72
3 H Manhattan (12-21, 94.1) 70-79 -5.81 1.67 -0.01 1.14 -3.31
3 A Canisius (10-21, 93.9) 59-54 -5.95 1.53 0.01 1.14 3.50
3 H Mt St Marys (14-17, 94.5) 58-68 -5.35 2.12 -0.01 1.14 -3.05
3 H Fairfield (22-13, 95.1) 61-62 -4.85 2.63 -0.01 1.14 -2.76
3 H Sacred Heart (14-19, 94.4) 70-71 -5.54 1.94 -0.01 1.14 -3.16
3 H Siena (23-12, 95.3) 79-82 -4.60 2.88 -0.01 1.14 -2.62
3 H Marist (19-12, 95.2) 46-58 -4.73 2.75 -0.01 1.14 -2.70
3 A Canisius (10-21, 93.9) 65-56 -5.95 1.53 0.01 1.14 3.50
3 H Quinnipiac (19-13, 95.2) 55-56 -4.74 2.74 -0.01 1.14 -2.70
3 H Manhattan (12-21, 94.1) 69-76 -5.81 1.67 -0.01 1.14 -3.31
3 A Iona (19-13, 95.1) 70-68 -4.77 2.71 0.01 1.14 6.19
3 H Mt St Marys (14-17, 94.5) 63-76 -5.35 2.12 -0.01 1.14 -3.05
3 H Rider ( 4-25, 93.2) 62-67 -6.73 1.00 -0.01 1.14 -3.83
3 A Quinnipiac (19-13, 95.2) 78-76 -4.74 2.74 0.01 1.14 6.26
3 H Merrimack (22-12, 95.5) 66-73 -4.40 3.07 -0.01 1.14 -2.51
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-31.49
|
winning pts = 28.4721 losing points = -59.9595
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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