Nicholls
W-L: (14-19) PR = 94.7832Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 1104 H Kentucky SEC (22-14, 98.0) 51-77 1107 H Ea Illinois OV (14-20, 94.1) 57-65 1112 H Valparaiso MV (18-15, 95.6) 63-68 1115 H Murray St MV (21-13, 96.0) 79-99 1122 H Oklahoma St B12 (21-15, 97.4) 81-95 1128 H Tulane AME (18-15, 96.0) 72-82 1202 H Creighton BE (16-18, 97.0) 76-96 1206 A Incarn Word SL (12-19, 94.4) 74-67 1210 A CBIB **-49 1217 A Houston Chr SL H (12-20, 94.2) 79-64 1221 H Pacific WC (18-15, 96.1) 82-95 1229 A TX A&M-CC SL A (18-15, 95.2) 76-71 1231 A UTRGV SL (18-14, 95.3) 71-69 103 A Ea Texas A&M SL E (11-20, 94.2) 80-58 105 A Nowestern St SL (10-22, 94.1) 74-72 110 A New Orleans SL U (15-18, 95.1) 90-77 112 H McNeese SL M (26- 7, 96.8) 68-94 117 H Lamar SL L (12-19, 94.4) 80-90 119 H SF Austin SL (28- 6, 96.3) 62-79 124 H Soea LA SL S ( 9-22, 94.1) 61-67 127 H New Orleans SL U (15-18, 95.1) 62-80 131 A Ea Texas A&M SL E (11-20, 94.2) 72-68 202 A Nowestern St SL (10-22, 94.1) 61-58 207 H TX A&M-CC SL A (18-15, 95.2) 76-83 209 H UTRGV SL (18-14, 95.3) 72-92 214 A Incarn Word SL (12-19, 94.4) 91-83 216 H Houston Chr SL H (12-20, 94.2) 68-72 221 H SF Austin SL (28- 6, 96.3) 78-81 223 A Lamar SL L (12-19, 94.4) 53-52 228 A Soea LA SL S ( 9-22, 94.1) 68-60 302 H McNeese SL M (26- 7, 96.8) 65-75 308 A Nowestern St SL (10-22, 94.1) 61-47 309 H UTRGV SL (18-14, 95.3) 68-86
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1104 H Kentucky 51-77 -26 -3 0.00
1107 H Ea Illinois 57-65 -8 1 - -2.72
1112 H Valparaiso 63-68 -5 -1 -1.15
1115 H Murray St 79-99 -20 -1 -0.76
1122 H Oklahoma St 81-95 -14 -3 0.00
1128 H Tulane 72-82 -10 -1 -0.84
1202 H Creighton 76-96 -20 -2 0.00
1206 A Incarn Word 74-67 7 0 1.62
1217 A Houston Chr 79-64 15 1 1.44
1221 H Pacific 82-95 -13 -1 -0.74
1229 A TX A&M-CC 76-71 5 0 + 2.47
1231 A UTRGV 71-69 2 -1 + 2.56
103 A Ea Texas A&M 80-58 22 1 1.46
105 A Nowestern St 74-72 2 1 1.29
110 A New Orleans 90-77 13 0 + 2.36
112 H McNeese 68-94 -26 -2 -0.00
117 H Lamar 80-90 -10 0 - -2.35
119 H SF Austin 62-79 -17 -2 -0.48
124 H Soea LA 61-67 -6 1 - -2.65
127 H New Orleans 62-80 -18 0 -1.66
131 A Ea Texas A&M 72-68 4 1 1.46
202 A Nowestern St 61-58 3 1 1.29
207 H TX A&M-CC 76-83 -7 0 -1.55
209 H UTRGV 72-92 -20 -1 -1.46
214 A Incarn Word 91-83 8 0 1.62
216 H Houston Chr 68-72 -4 1 - -2.58
221 H SF Austin 78-81 -3 -2 -0.48
223 A Lamar 53-52 1 0 0.67
228 A Soea LA 68-60 8 1 1.37
302 H McNeese 65-75 -10 -2 -0.00
308 A Nowestern St 61-47 14 1 1.29
309 H UTRGV 68-86 -18 -1 -1.46
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1107 H Ea Illinois 57-65 -8 1 - -2.72 117 H Lamar 80-90 -10 0 - -2.35 124 H Soea LA 61-67 -6 1 - -2.65 216 H Houston Chr 68-72 -4 1 - -2.58 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1229 A TX A&M-CC 76-71 5 0 + 2.47 1231 A UTRGV 71-69 2 -1 + 2.56 110 A New Orleans 90-77 13 0 + 2.36 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 33.01
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H Kentucky (22-14, 98.0) 51-77 -1.91 5.57 -0.01 1.03 -0.99
3 H Ea Illinois (14-20, 94.1) 57-65 -5.82 1.65 -0.01 1.03 -3.01
3 H Valparaiso (18-15, 95.6) 63-68 -4.26 3.22 -0.01 1.03 -2.20
3 H Murray St (21-13, 96.0) 79-99 -3.87 3.61 -0.01 1.03 -2.00
3 H Oklahoma St (21-15, 97.4) 81-95 -2.51 4.96 -0.01 1.03 -1.30
3 H Tulane (18-15, 96.0) 72-82 -3.94 3.53 -0.01 1.03 -2.04
3 H Creighton (16-18, 97.0) 76-96 -2.90 4.58 -0.01 1.03 -1.50
3 A Incarn Word (12-19, 94.4) 74-67 -5.51 1.97 0.01 1.03 4.08
3 A Houston Chr (12-20, 94.2) 79-64 -5.68 1.79 0.01 1.03 3.72
3 H Pacific (18-15, 96.1) 82-95 -3.85 3.63 -0.01 1.03 -1.99
3 A TX A&M-CC (18-15, 95.2) 76-71 -4.66 2.82 0.01 1.03 5.84
3 A UTRGV (18-14, 95.3) 71-69 -4.57 2.91 0.01 1.03 6.02
3 A Ea Texas A&M (11-20, 94.2) 80-58 -5.67 1.81 0.01 1.03 3.75
3 A Nowestern St (10-22, 94.1) 74-72 -5.84 1.64 0.01 1.03 3.40
3 A New Orleans (15-18, 95.1) 90-77 -4.77 2.71 0.01 1.03 5.61
3 H McNeese (26- 7, 96.8) 68-94 -3.11 4.37 -0.01 1.03 -1.61
3 H Lamar (12-19, 94.4) 80-90 -5.45 2.02 -0.01 1.03 -2.82
3 H SF Austin (28- 6, 96.3) 62-79 -3.58 3.89 -0.01 1.03 -1.85
3 H Soea LA ( 9-22, 94.1) 61-67 -5.76 1.72 -0.01 1.03 -2.98
3 H New Orleans (15-18, 95.1) 62-80 -4.77 2.71 -0.01 1.03 -2.46
3 A Ea Texas A&M (11-20, 94.2) 72-68 -5.67 1.81 0.01 1.03 3.75
3 A Nowestern St (10-22, 94.1) 61-58 -5.84 1.64 0.01 1.03 3.40
3 H TX A&M-CC (18-15, 95.2) 76-83 -4.66 2.82 -0.01 1.03 -2.41
3 H UTRGV (18-14, 95.3) 72-92 -4.57 2.91 -0.01 1.03 -2.36
3 A Incarn Word (12-19, 94.4) 91-83 -5.51 1.97 0.01 1.03 4.08
3 H Houston Chr (12-20, 94.2) 68-72 -5.68 1.79 -0.01 1.03 -2.94
3 H SF Austin (28- 6, 96.3) 78-81 -3.58 3.89 -0.01 1.03 -1.85
3 A Lamar (12-19, 94.4) 53-52 -5.45 2.02 0.01 1.03 4.20
3 A Soea LA ( 9-22, 94.1) 68-60 -5.76 1.72 0.01 1.03 3.57
3 H McNeese (26- 7, 96.8) 65-75 -3.11 4.37 -0.01 1.03 -1.61
3 A Nowestern St (10-22, 94.1) 61-47 -5.84 1.64 0.01 1.03 3.40
3 H UTRGV (18-14, 95.3) 68-86 -4.57 2.91 -0.01 1.03 -2.36
------
14.51
|
winning pts = 54.7872 losing points = -40.2811
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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