No Iowa
W-L: (23-13) PR = 96.2409Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 1106 A Northridge BW (20-14, 95.8) 86-57 1109 A So Dakota St SM (13-18, 94.7) 65-58 1114 A Furman SO F (23-13, 95.4) 70-54 1118 A No Illinois MA ( 9-21, 94.2) 70-57 1122 A UC Irvine BW (22-13, 96.1) 70-69 1125 A Loyola Chic A10 ( 9-23, 94.9) 72-51 1126 H Tulsa AME (30- 8, 97.1) 60-63 1201 A COE 99-34 1206 H Wichita St AME (24-12, 96.6) 69-74 1213 A Oakland HL (16-16, 95.4) 75-63 1217 A Ill-Chicago MV (17-17, 95.6) 60-54 1222 H Saint Marys WC (27- 6, 97.8) 58-63 1229 A Valparaiso MV (18-15, 95.6) 58-48 101 A Indiana St MV (11-22, 94.7) 75-66 104 A Evansville MV ( 7-25, 94.5) 62-48 107 H Belmont MV (26- 6, 96.7) 65-78 110 H Bradley MV (23-12, 96.1) 69-75 113 H Ill-Chicago MV (17-17, 95.6) 61-69 117 H Valparaiso MV (18-15, 95.6) 44-54 121 H Illinois St MV (24-13, 96.3) 54-59 124 A Murray St MV (21-13, 96.0) 81-76 128 H So Illinois MV (16-16, 95.5) 50-65 131 A Evansville MV ( 7-25, 94.5) 71-55 206 A Bradley MV (23-12, 96.1) 61-49 209 A Murray St MV (21-13, 96.0) 89-60 212 H Belmont MV (26- 6, 96.7) 86-91 215 A Drake MV (14-20, 95.1) 86-62 218 A Indiana St MV (11-22, 94.7) 81-60 221 H So Illinois MV (16-16, 95.5) 57-59 225 H Illinois St MV (24-13, 96.3) 69-71 301 A Drake MV (14-20, 95.1) 75-53 305 A Evansville MV ( 7-25, 94.5) 68-59 306 A Illinois St MV (24-13, 96.3) 74-52 307 A Bradley MV (23-12, 96.1) 73-69 308 A Ill-Chicago MV (17-17, 95.6) 84-69 320 H St. John's BE (30- 7, 98.7) 53-79
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1106 A Northridge 86-57 29 0 1.55
1109 A So Dakota St 65-58 7 1 0.50
1114 A Furman 70-54 16 1 1.14
1118 A No Illinois 70-57 13 2 0.00
1122 A UC Irvine 70-69 1 0 0.89
1125 A Loyola Chic 72-51 21 1 0.70
1126 H Tulsa 60-63 -3 -1 -1.19
1206 H Wichita St 69-74 -5 0 -1.60
1213 A Oakland 75-63 12 1 1.13
1217 A Ill-Chicago 60-54 6 1 1.34
1222 H Saint Marys 58-63 -5 -2 -0.48
1229 A Valparaiso 58-48 10 1 1.41
101 A Indiana St 75-66 9 2 0.49
104 A Evansville 62-48 14 2 0.28
107 H Belmont 65-78 -13 0 -1.50
110 H Bradley 69-75 -6 0 - -2.14
113 H Ill-Chicago 61-69 -8 1 - -2.68
117 H Valparaiso 44-54 -10 1 - -2.61
121 H Illinois St 54-59 -5 0 -1.93
124 A Murray St 81-76 5 0 1.80
128 H So Illinois 50-65 -15 1 - -2.77
131 A Evansville 71-55 16 2 0.28
206 A Bradley 61-49 12 0 1.88
209 A Murray St 89-60 29 0 1.80
212 H Belmont 86-91 -5 0 -1.50
215 A Drake 86-62 24 1 0.91
218 A Indiana St 81-60 21 2 0.49
221 H So Illinois 57-59 -2 1 - -2.77
225 H Illinois St 69-71 -2 0 -1.93
301 A Drake 75-53 22 1 0.91
305 A Evansville 68-59 9 2 0.28
306 A Illinois St 74-52 22 0 + 2.09
307 A Bradley 73-69 4 0 1.88
308 A Ill-Chicago 84-69 15 1 1.34
320 H St. John's 53-79 -26 -2 0.00
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 110 H Bradley 69-75 -6 0 - -2.14 113 H Ill-Chicago 61-69 -8 1 - -2.68 117 H Valparaiso 44-54 -10 1 - -2.61 128 H So Illinois 50-65 -15 1 - -2.77 221 H So Illinois 57-59 -2 1 - -2.77 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 306 A Illinois St 74-52 22 0 + 2.09 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 33.01
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A Northridge (20-14, 95.8) 86-57 -4.12 3.36 0.01 0.94 6.35
3 A So Dakota St (13-18, 94.7) 65-58 -5.17 2.31 0.01 0.94 4.37
3 A Furman (23-13, 95.4) 70-54 -4.53 2.95 0.01 0.94 5.58
3 A No Illinois ( 9-21, 94.2) 70-57 -5.73 1.75 0.01 0.94 3.31
3 A UC Irvine (22-13, 96.1) 70-69 -3.78 3.69 0.01 0.94 6.99
3 A Loyola Chic ( 9-23, 94.9) 72-51 -4.97 2.50 0.01 0.94 4.74
3 H Tulsa (30- 8, 97.1) 60-63 -2.84 4.63 -0.01 0.94 -1.35
3 H Wichita St (24-12, 96.6) 69-74 -3.25 4.22 -0.01 0.94 -1.54
3 A Oakland (16-16, 95.4) 75-63 -4.53 2.94 0.01 0.94 5.57
3 A Ill-Chicago (17-17, 95.6) 60-54 -4.33 3.15 0.01 0.94 5.96
3 H Saint Marys (27- 6, 97.8) 58-63 -2.13 5.35 -0.01 0.94 -1.01
3 A Valparaiso (18-15, 95.6) 58-48 -4.26 3.22 0.01 0.94 6.09
3 A Indiana St (11-22, 94.7) 75-66 -5.18 2.30 0.01 0.94 4.35
3 A Evansville ( 7-25, 94.5) 62-48 -5.39 2.09 0.01 0.94 3.95
3 H Belmont (26- 6, 96.7) 65-78 -3.15 4.32 -0.01 0.94 -1.49
3 H Bradley (23-12, 96.1) 69-75 -3.79 3.69 -0.01 0.94 -1.79
3 H Ill-Chicago (17-17, 95.6) 61-69 -4.33 3.15 -0.01 0.94 -2.05
3 H Valparaiso (18-15, 95.6) 44-54 -4.26 3.22 -0.01 0.94 -2.01
3 H Illinois St (24-13, 96.3) 54-59 -3.58 3.90 -0.01 0.94 -1.69
3 A Murray St (21-13, 96.0) 81-76 -3.87 3.61 0.01 0.94 6.82
3 H So Illinois (16-16, 95.5) 50-65 -4.42 3.06 -0.01 0.94 -2.09
3 A Evansville ( 7-25, 94.5) 71-55 -5.39 2.09 0.01 0.94 3.95
3 A Bradley (23-12, 96.1) 61-49 -3.79 3.69 0.01 0.94 6.98
3 A Murray St (21-13, 96.0) 89-60 -3.87 3.61 0.01 0.94 6.82
3 H Belmont (26- 6, 96.7) 86-91 -3.15 4.32 -0.01 0.94 -1.49
3 A Drake (14-20, 95.1) 86-62 -4.76 2.72 0.01 0.94 5.15
3 A Indiana St (11-22, 94.7) 81-60 -5.18 2.30 0.01 0.94 4.35
3 H So Illinois (16-16, 95.5) 57-59 -4.42 3.06 -0.01 0.94 -2.09
3 H Illinois St (24-13, 96.3) 69-71 -3.58 3.90 -0.01 0.94 -1.69
3 A Drake (14-20, 95.1) 75-53 -4.76 2.72 0.01 0.94 5.15
3 A Evansville ( 7-25, 94.5) 68-59 -5.39 2.09 0.01 0.94 3.95
3 A Illinois St (24-13, 96.3) 74-52 -3.58 3.90 0.01 0.94 7.38
3 A Bradley (23-12, 96.1) 73-69 -3.79 3.69 0.01 0.94 6.98
3 A Ill-Chicago (17-17, 95.6) 84-69 -4.33 3.15 0.01 0.94 5.96
3 H St. John's (30- 7, 98.7) 53-79 -1.20 6.27 -0.01 0.94 -0.57
------
99.90
|
winning pts = 120.7502 losing points = -20.8531
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------