NM St
W-L: (16-16) PR = 95.3319Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 1104 A ADAMS 83-72 1111 A NMHI 74-58 1115 A New Mexico MW (26-11, 97.2) 76-68 1121 A Samford SO S (18-14, 95.1) 81-72 1125 A UC Irvine BW (22-13, 96.1) 57-45 1126 A Georgia St SB (10-23, 94.2) 77-58 1202 H So Alabama SB U (21-12, 95.7) 75-77 1206 H Abilene Chr WAC A (14-18, 95.1) 69-77 1213 H Tulsa AME (30- 8, 97.1) 70-83 1221 A Sam Houston CUSA (22-12, 96.1) 87-78 1228 A USW **-33 102 H Florida Int CUSA (15-17, 95.2) 74-89 104 H Missouri St CUSA (17-17, 95.3) 82-89 108 A We Kentucky CUSA (18-14, 95.7) 80-64 110 H Middle Tenn CUSA (16-16, 95.4) 55-59 115 H Liberty CUSA (26- 8, 96.5) 71-73 117 A Delaware CUSA (10-21, 94.6) 97-68 122 H Missouri St CUSA (17-17, 95.3) 75-84 124 H Florida Int CUSA (15-17, 95.2) 78-81 128 H Delaware CUSA (10-21, 94.6) 64-73 131 H Kennesaw St CUSA (20-14, 95.7) 53-76 204 A La Tech CUSA (20-13, 95.5) 72-63 207 H TX-El Paso CUSA (11-20, 94.7) 88-91 211 H Liberty CUSA (26- 8, 96.5) 75-77 214 A Jacksonv St CUSA (15-17, 95.0) 79-70 221 A TX-El Paso CUSA (11-20, 94.7) 67-63 226 H We Kentucky CUSA (18-14, 95.7) 70-93 228 H Middle Tenn CUSA (16-16, 95.4) 85-86 305 A Jacksonv St CUSA (15-17, 95.0) 77-75 307 A Kennesaw St CUSA (20-14, 95.7) 79-76 310 A Jacksonv St CUSA (15-17, 95.0) 68-63 311 H Sam Houston CUSA (22-12, 96.1) 61-69
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1115 A New Mexico 76-68 8 -2 + 3.91
1121 A Samford 81-72 9 0 1.77
1125 A UC Irvine 57-45 12 -1 + 2.79
1126 A Georgia St 77-58 19 1 0.86
1202 H So Alabama 75-77 -2 0 -1.68
1206 H Abilene Chr 69-77 -8 0 - -2.24
1213 H Tulsa 70-83 -13 -2 -0.29
1221 A Sam Houston 87-78 9 -1 + 2.80
102 H Florida Int 74-89 -15 0 - -2.12
104 H Missouri St 82-89 -7 0 - -2.05
108 A We Kentucky 80-64 16 0 + 2.34
110 H Middle Tenn 55-59 -4 0 -1.90
115 H Liberty 71-73 -2 -1 -0.83
117 A Delaware 97-68 29 1 1.33
122 H Missouri St 75-84 -9 0 - -2.05
124 H Florida Int 78-81 -3 0 - -2.12
128 H Delaware 64-73 -9 1 - -2.69
131 H Kennesaw St 53-76 -23 0 -1.63
204 A La Tech 72-63 9 0 + 2.21
207 H TX-El Paso 88-91 -3 1 - -2.64
211 H Liberty 75-77 -2 -1 -0.83
214 A Jacksonv St 79-70 9 0 1.69
221 A TX-El Paso 67-63 4 1 1.38
226 H We Kentucky 70-93 -23 0 -1.68
228 H Middle Tenn 85-86 -1 0 -0.90
305 A Jacksonv St 77-75 2 0 1.69
307 A Kennesaw St 79-76 3 0 + 2.39
310 A Jacksonv St 68-63 5 0 1.69
311 H Sam Houston 61-69 -8 -1 -1.22
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1206 H Abilene Chr 69-77 -8 0 - -2.24 102 H Florida Int 74-89 -15 0 - -2.12 104 H Missouri St 82-89 -7 0 - -2.05 122 H Missouri St 75-84 -9 0 - -2.05 124 H Florida Int 78-81 -3 0 - -2.12 128 H Delaware 64-73 -9 1 - -2.69 207 H TX-El Paso 88-91 -3 1 - -2.64 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1115 A New Mexico 76-68 8 -2 + 3.91 1125 A UC Irvine 57-45 12 -1 + 2.79 1221 A Sam Houston 87-78 9 -1 + 2.80 108 A We Kentucky 80-64 16 0 + 2.34 204 A La Tech 72-63 9 0 + 2.21 307 A Kennesaw St 79-76 3 0 + 2.39 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 33.01
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A New Mexico (26-11, 97.2) 76-68 -2.67 4.81 0.01 1.14 10.97
3 A Samford (18-14, 95.1) 81-72 -4.81 2.67 0.01 1.14 6.09
3 A UC Irvine (22-13, 96.1) 57-45 -3.78 3.69 0.01 1.14 8.43
3 A Georgia St (10-23, 94.2) 77-58 -5.71 1.76 0.01 1.14 4.04
3 H So Alabama (21-12, 95.7) 75-77 -4.24 3.23 -0.01 1.14 -2.42
3 H Abilene Chr (14-18, 95.1) 69-77 -4.80 2.68 -0.01 1.14 -2.74
3 H Tulsa (30- 8, 97.1) 70-83 -2.84 4.63 -0.01 1.14 -1.62
3 A Sam Houston (22-12, 96.1) 87-78 -3.78 3.70 0.01 1.14 8.44
3 H Florida Int (15-17, 95.2) 74-89 -4.68 2.80 -0.01 1.14 -2.67
3 H Missouri St (17-17, 95.3) 82-89 -4.61 2.87 -0.01 1.14 -2.63
3 A We Kentucky (18-14, 95.7) 80-64 -4.23 3.24 0.01 1.14 7.40
3 H Middle Tenn (16-16, 95.4) 55-59 -4.46 3.02 -0.01 1.14 -2.54
3 H Liberty (26- 8, 96.5) 71-73 -3.38 4.09 -0.01 1.14 -1.93
3 A Delaware (10-21, 94.6) 97-68 -5.25 2.22 0.01 1.14 5.09
3 H Missouri St (17-17, 95.3) 75-84 -4.61 2.87 -0.01 1.14 -2.63
3 H Florida Int (15-17, 95.2) 78-81 -4.68 2.80 -0.01 1.14 -2.67
3 H Delaware (10-21, 94.6) 64-73 -5.25 2.22 -0.01 1.14 -2.99
3 H Kennesaw St (20-14, 95.7) 53-76 -4.18 3.29 -0.01 1.14 -2.39
3 A La Tech (20-13, 95.5) 72-63 -4.37 3.11 0.01 1.14 7.10
3 H TX-El Paso (11-20, 94.7) 88-91 -5.20 2.28 -0.01 1.14 -2.96
3 H Liberty (26- 8, 96.5) 75-77 -3.38 4.09 -0.01 1.14 -1.93
3 A Jacksonv St (15-17, 95.0) 79-70 -4.89 2.59 0.01 1.14 5.92
3 A TX-El Paso (11-20, 94.7) 67-63 -5.20 2.28 0.01 1.14 5.21
3 H We Kentucky (18-14, 95.7) 70-93 -4.23 3.24 -0.01 1.14 -2.42
3 H Middle Tenn (16-16, 95.4) 85-86 -4.46 3.02 -0.01 1.14 -2.54
3 A Jacksonv St (15-17, 95.0) 77-75 -4.89 2.59 0.01 1.14 5.92
3 A Kennesaw St (20-14, 95.7) 79-76 -4.18 3.29 0.01 1.14 7.52
3 A Jacksonv St (15-17, 95.0) 68-63 -4.89 2.59 0.01 1.14 5.92
3 H Sam Houston (22-12, 96.1) 61-69 -3.78 3.70 -0.01 1.14 -2.16
------
48.79
|
winning pts = 88.0325 losing points = -39.2429
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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