Norfolk St
W-L: (14-19) PR = 93.7296Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 1103 A COLUN 98-76 1105 A REGEN **-55 1108 H Will&Mary CA (21-12, 95.7) 78-81 1111 H Old Dominion SB (12-21, 94.7) 57-60 1114 H Towson CA (19-15, 95.5) 41-51 1121 A Hampton CA (14-19, 94.5) 62-60 1123 H Wyoming MW (18-15, 96.3) 67-75 1125 A VALYN 1129 H Arizona B12 (36- 3, 99.9) 61-98 1206 H Jam Madison SB J (18-15, 95.3) 67-68 1210 H Baylor B12 (17-17, 97.2) 67-97 1218 H Grambling St SWAC (15-19, 94.1) 68-80 1218 H Grambling St SWAC (15-19, 94.1) 68-80 1219 A Jackson St SWAC J (11-22, 94.0) 82-72 1221 A TX-El Paso CUSA (11-20, 94.7) 72-71 1222 H UC Irvine BW (22-13, 96.1) 70-89 1228 H Louisiana SB (11-23, 94.5) 54-63 103 H NC Center MEAC (14-18, 93.6) 67-69 110 A Delaware St MEAC D ( 8-24, 92.7) 66-64 112 H MD-Ea Shore MEAC ( 9-23, 93.0) 70-74 117 A SC St MEAC (10-22, 93.3) 89-82 119 A ECSU 86-61 124 A Coppin St MEAC C ( 7-24, 93.0) **-76 126 H Morgan State MEAC M (13-17, 93.6) 78-79 131 H Howard MEAC (24-11, 95.0) 60-88 207 A NC Center MEAC (14-18, 93.6) 75-68 214 A Delaware St MEAC D ( 8-24, 92.7) 75-58 216 A MD-Ea Shore MEAC ( 9-23, 93.0) 70-66 221 A SC St MEAC (10-22, 93.3) 90-71 228 A Coppin St MEAC C ( 7-24, 93.0) 75-69 302 H Morgan State MEAC M (13-17, 93.6) 84-90 305 H Howard MEAC (24-11, 95.0) 76-84 312 H SC St MEAC (10-22, 93.3) 82-88
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1108 H Will&Mary 78-81 -3 -2 -0.07
1111 H Old Dominion 57-60 -3 -1 -1.06
1114 H Towson 41-51 -10 -2 -0.26
1121 A Hampton 62-60 2 -1 + 2.78
1123 H Wyoming 67-75 -8 -3 0.00
1129 H Arizona 61-98 -37 -6 0.00
1206 H Jam Madison 67-68 -1 -2 0.52
1210 H Baylor 67-97 -30 -3 0.00
1218 H Grambling St 68-80 -12 0 -1.59
1218 H Grambling St 68-80 -12 0 -1.59
1219 A Jackson St 82-72 10 0 + 2.25
1221 A TX-El Paso 72-71 1 -1 1.98
1222 H UC Irvine 70-89 -19 -2 0.00
1228 H Louisiana 54-63 -9 -1 -1.28
103 H NC Center 67-69 -2 0 - -2.18
110 A Delaware St 66-64 2 1 0.93
112 H MD-Ea Shore 70-74 -4 1 - -2.74
117 A SC St 89-82 7 0 1.56
124 A Coppin St **-76 27 1 1.24
126 H Morgan State 78-79 -1 0 -1.16
131 H Howard 60-88 -28 -1 -0.79
207 A NC Center 75-68 7 0 1.84
214 A Delaware St 75-58 17 1 0.93
216 A MD-Ea Shore 70-66 4 1 1.28
221 A SC St 90-71 19 0 1.56
228 A Coppin St 75-69 6 1 1.24
302 H Morgan State 84-90 -6 0 - -2.16
305 H Howard 76-84 -8 -1 -0.79
312 H SC St 82-88 -6 0 - -2.46
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 103 H NC Center 67-69 -2 0 - -2.18 112 H MD-Ea Shore 70-74 -4 1 - -2.74 302 H Morgan State 84-90 -6 0 - -2.16 312 H SC St 82-88 -6 0 - -2.46 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1121 A Hampton 62-60 2 -1 + 2.78 1219 A Jackson St 82-72 10 0 + 2.25 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 33.01
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H Will&Mary (21-12, 95.7) 78-81 -4.23 3.25 -0.01 1.14 -2.41
3 H Old Dominion (12-21, 94.7) 57-60 -5.22 2.25 -0.01 1.14 -2.98
3 H Towson (19-15, 95.5) 41-51 -4.42 3.06 -0.01 1.14 -2.52
3 A Hampton (14-19, 94.5) 62-60 -5.40 2.08 0.01 1.14 4.75
3 H Wyoming (18-15, 96.3) 67-75 -3.63 3.85 -0.01 1.14 -2.07
3 H Arizona (36- 3, 99.9) 61-98 -0.00 7.48 -0.01 1.14 -0.01
3 H Jam Madison (18-15, 95.3) 67-68 -4.64 2.84 -0.01 1.14 -2.65
3 H Baylor (17-17, 97.2) 67-97 -2.74 4.74 -0.01 1.14 -1.56
3 H Grambling St (15-19, 94.1) 68-80 -5.75 1.72 -0.01 1.14 -3.28
3 H Grambling St (15-19, 94.1) 68-80 -5.75 1.72 -0.01 1.14 -3.28
3 A Jackson St (11-22, 94.0) 82-72 -5.93 1.55 0.01 1.14 3.54
3 A TX-El Paso (11-20, 94.7) 72-71 -5.20 2.28 0.01 1.14 5.21
3 H UC Irvine (22-13, 96.1) 70-89 -3.78 3.69 -0.01 1.14 -2.16
3 H Louisiana (11-23, 94.5) 54-63 -5.44 2.03 -0.01 1.14 -3.10
3 H NC Center (14-18, 93.6) 67-69 -6.34 1.14 -0.01 1.14 -3.61
3 A Delaware St ( 8-24, 92.7) 66-64 -7.25 1.00 0.01 1.14 2.30
3 H MD-Ea Shore ( 9-23, 93.0) 70-74 -6.90 1.00 -0.01 1.14 -3.93
3 A SC St (10-22, 93.3) 89-82 -6.62 1.00 0.01 1.14 2.30
3 A Coppin St ( 7-24, 93.0) **-76 -6.94 1.00 0.01 1.14 2.30
3 H Morgan State (13-17, 93.6) 78-79 -6.32 1.16 -0.01 1.14 -3.60
3 H Howard (24-11, 95.0) 60-88 -4.95 2.53 -0.01 1.14 -2.82
3 A NC Center (14-18, 93.6) 75-68 -6.34 1.14 0.01 1.14 2.61
3 A Delaware St ( 8-24, 92.7) 75-58 -7.25 1.00 0.01 1.14 2.30
3 A MD-Ea Shore ( 9-23, 93.0) 70-66 -6.90 1.00 0.01 1.14 2.30
3 A SC St (10-22, 93.3) 90-71 -6.62 1.00 0.01 1.14 2.30
3 A Coppin St ( 7-24, 93.0) 75-69 -6.94 1.00 0.01 1.14 2.30
3 H Morgan State (13-17, 93.6) 84-90 -6.32 1.16 -0.01 1.14 -3.60
3 H Howard (24-11, 95.0) 76-84 -4.95 2.53 -0.01 1.14 -2.82
3 H SC St (10-22, 93.3) 82-88 -6.62 1.00 -0.01 1.14 -3.77
------
-17.97
|
winning pts = 32.2080 losing points = -50.1817
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------