No Texas
W-L: (18-14) PR = 95.9973Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 1103 A NMHI 88-54 1106 A Nowestern St SL (10-22, 94.1) 80-53 1109 A Loyola Chic A10 ( 9-23, 94.9) 64-62 1112 H Oregon State WC (17-16, 96.1) 64-66 1114 H Saint Marys WC (27- 6, 97.8) 49-80 1120 A Ce Arkansas AS (22-12, 95.5) 74-56 1125 A Ea Wash BS (14-18, 95.0) 79-71 1130 A Prairie View SWAC (19-17, 94.6) 72-69 1202 A Houston Chr SL H (12-20, 94.2) 77-75 1207 H TCU B12 (24-12, 98.0) 55-65 1214 A So Alabama SB U (21-12, 95.7) 58-57 1217 H Santa Clara WC (26- 9, 97.5) 60-63 1222 A SCIAR **-56 1231 H Memphis AME (13-19, 95.9) 48-57 104 A Tulsa AME (30- 8, 97.1) 72-67 107 H So Florida AME (24-10, 97.1) 70-74 111 H Wichita St AME (24-12, 96.6) 67-78 118 A Tulane AME (18-15, 96.0) 71-63 121 A Texas-SA AME ( 5-25, 94.2) 81-62 123 H Ea Carolina AME (12-19, 95.1) 59-63 128 H Tulsa AME (30- 8, 97.1) 66-82 131 H UAB AME (20-12, 96.2) 68-72 204 H Rice AME (13-18, 95.2) 83-86 207 A Texas-SA AME ( 5-25, 94.2) 81-58 212 A Memphis AME (13-19, 95.9) 76-69 215 A Temple AME (17-16, 95.7) 65-62 219 H Tulane AME (18-15, 96.0) 71-77 225 H Charlotte AME (39-26, 95.9) 79-80 301 A UAB AME (20-12, 96.2) 62-58 304 A Rice AME (13-18, 95.2) 62-58 312 A Florida Atl AME (18-14, 96.1) 74-70 313 H Tulsa AME (30- 8, 97.1) 75-90
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1106 A Nowestern St 80-53 27 2 0.07
1109 A Loyola Chic 64-62 2 1 0.94
1112 H Oregon State 64-66 -2 0 -1.95
1114 H Saint Marys 49-80 -31 -2 -0.24
1120 A Ce Arkansas 74-56 18 1 1.49
1125 A Ea Wash 79-71 8 1 1.01
1130 A Prairie View 72-69 3 1 0.60
1202 A Houston Chr 77-75 2 2 0.23
1207 H TCU 55-65 -10 -2 -0.00
1214 A So Alabama 58-57 1 0 0.67
1217 H Santa Clara 60-63 -3 -1 -0.51
1231 H Memphis 48-57 -9 0 - -2.08
104 A Tulsa 72-67 5 -1 + 3.07
107 H So Florida 70-74 -4 -1 -0.91
111 H Wichita St 67-78 -11 -1 -1.36
118 A Tulane 71-63 8 0 1.97
121 A Texas-SA 81-62 19 2 0.18
123 H Ea Carolina 59-63 -4 1 - -2.95
128 H Tulsa 66-82 -16 -1 -0.95
131 H UAB 68-72 -4 0 -1.77
204 H Rice 83-86 -3 1 - -2.79
207 A Texas-SA 81-58 23 2 0.18
212 A Memphis 76-69 7 0 1.94
215 A Temple 65-62 3 0 1.67
219 H Tulane 71-77 -6 0 - -2.05
225 H Charlotte 79-80 -1 0 -1.10
301 A UAB 62-58 4 0 + 2.25
304 A Rice 62-58 4 1 1.23
312 A Florida Atl 74-70 4 0 + 2.10
313 H Tulsa 75-90 -15 -1 -0.95
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1231 H Memphis 48-57 -9 0 - -2.08 123 H Ea Carolina 59-63 -4 1 - -2.95 204 H Rice 83-86 -3 1 - -2.79 219 H Tulane 71-77 -6 0 - -2.05 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 104 A Tulsa 72-67 5 -1 + 3.07 301 A UAB 62-58 4 0 + 2.25 312 A Florida Atl 74-70 4 0 + 2.10 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 33.01
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A Nowestern St (10-22, 94.1) 80-53 -5.84 1.64 0.01 1.10 3.62
3 A Loyola Chic ( 9-23, 94.9) 64-62 -4.97 2.50 0.01 1.10 5.53
3 H Oregon State (17-16, 96.1) 64-66 -3.85 3.63 -0.01 1.10 -2.12
3 H Saint Marys (27- 6, 97.8) 49-80 -2.13 5.35 -0.01 1.10 -1.18
3 A Ce Arkansas (22-12, 95.5) 74-56 -4.42 3.06 0.01 1.10 6.75
3 A Ea Wash (14-18, 95.0) 79-71 -4.90 2.58 0.01 1.10 5.70
3 A Prairie View (19-17, 94.6) 72-69 -5.31 2.17 0.01 1.10 4.79
3 A Houston Chr (12-20, 94.2) 77-75 -5.68 1.79 0.01 1.10 3.97
3 H TCU (24-12, 98.0) 55-65 -1.89 5.58 -0.01 1.10 -1.05
3 A So Alabama (21-12, 95.7) 58-57 -4.24 3.23 0.01 1.10 7.14
3 H Santa Clara (26- 9, 97.5) 60-63 -2.40 5.07 -0.01 1.10 -1.33
3 H Memphis (13-19, 95.9) 48-57 -3.98 3.50 -0.01 1.10 -2.19
3 A Tulsa (30- 8, 97.1) 72-67 -2.84 4.63 0.01 1.10 10.22
3 H So Florida (24-10, 97.1) 70-74 -2.80 4.67 -0.01 1.10 -1.55
3 H Wichita St (24-12, 96.6) 67-78 -3.25 4.22 -0.01 1.10 -1.80
3 A Tulane (18-15, 96.0) 71-63 -3.94 3.53 0.01 1.10 7.80
3 A Texas-SA ( 5-25, 94.2) 81-62 -5.73 1.74 0.01 1.10 3.86
3 H Ea Carolina (12-19, 95.1) 59-63 -4.84 2.63 -0.01 1.10 -2.67
3 H Tulsa (30- 8, 97.1) 66-82 -2.84 4.63 -0.01 1.10 -1.57
3 H UAB (20-12, 96.2) 68-72 -3.66 3.81 -0.01 1.10 -2.02
3 H Rice (13-18, 95.2) 83-86 -4.68 2.80 -0.01 1.10 -2.58
3 A Texas-SA ( 5-25, 94.2) 81-58 -5.73 1.74 0.01 1.10 3.86
3 A Memphis (13-19, 95.9) 76-69 -3.98 3.50 0.01 1.10 7.73
3 A Temple (17-16, 95.7) 65-62 -4.24 3.24 0.01 1.10 7.14
3 H Tulane (18-15, 96.0) 71-77 -3.94 3.53 -0.01 1.10 -2.17
3 H Charlotte (39-26, 95.9) 79-80 -4.00 3.48 -0.01 1.10 -2.20
3 A UAB (20-12, 96.2) 62-58 -3.66 3.81 0.01 1.10 8.41
3 A Rice (13-18, 95.2) 62-58 -4.68 2.80 0.01 1.10 6.18
3 A Florida Atl (18-14, 96.1) 74-70 -3.82 3.66 0.01 1.10 8.08
3 H Tulsa (30- 8, 97.1) 75-90 -2.84 4.63 -0.01 1.10 -1.57
------
74.78
|
winning pts = 100.7774 losing points = -25.9983
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------