Northwestern
W-L: (15-19) PR = 96.8821Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 1103 A Mercyhurst NE M (17-18, 94.0) 70-47 1107 A Boston Univ PAT (17-17, 94.3) 76-52 1110 A Cleveland St HL (11-22, 94.3) **-63 1114 A DePaul BE (16-16, 96.7) 81-79 1121 H Virginia ACC (30- 6, 98.6) 78-83 1123 A So Carolina SEC (13-19, 96.4) 79-77 1127 H Oklahoma St B12 (21-15, 97.4) 81-86 1203 H Wisconsin B10 (23-11, 98.2) 73-85 1206 H Ohio St B10 (20-14, 97.8) 82-86 1213 A Jackson St SWAC J (11-22, 94.0) 93-53 1216 A Valparaiso MV (18-15, 95.6) 86-70 1220 H Butler BE (16-16, 96.9) 58-61 1230 A Howard MEAC (24-11, 95.0) 80-60 103 H Minnesota B10 (15-18, 96.7) 78-84 108 H Michigan St B10 (27- 8, 98.7) 66-76 111 H Rutgers B10 (14-19, 96.5) 75-77 114 H Illinois B10 (28- 9, 98.7) 68-79 117 H Nebraska B10 (28- 7, 98.6) 58-77 121 A USC B10 (18-14, 97.3) 74-68 124 H UCLA B10 (24-12, 98.0) 64-71 129 A Penn St B10 (12-20, 96.2) 94-73 131 H Washington B10 (16-17, 96.9) 62-76 204 H Illinois B10 (28- 9, 98.7) 44-84 208 H Iowa B10 (24-13, 97.9) 70-76 211 H Michigan B10 (37- 3, 99.8) 75-87 214 H Nebraska B10 (28- 7, 98.6) 49-68 218 A Maryland B10 (12-21, 96.6) 78-74 224 A Indiana B10 (18-14, 97.3) 72-68 228 A Oregon B10 (12-20, 96.6) 63-62 304 H Purdue B10 (30- 9, 98.8) 66-70 307 H Minnesota B10 (15-18, 96.7) 66-67 310 A Penn St B10 (12-20, 96.2) 76-66 311 A Indiana B10 (18-14, 97.3) 74-61 312 H Purdue B10 (30- 9, 98.8) 68-81
PREDICTION LIST
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|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1103 A Mercyhurst 70-47 23 3 0.00
1107 A Boston Univ 76-52 24 3 0.00
1110 A Cleveland St **-63 47 3 0.00
1114 A DePaul 81-79 2 0 1.79
1121 H Virginia 78-83 -5 -2 -0.26
1123 A So Carolina 79-77 2 0 1.50
1127 H Oklahoma St 81-86 -5 0 -1.51
1203 H Wisconsin 73-85 -12 -1 -0.70
1206 H Ohio St 82-86 -4 -1 -1.11
1213 A Jackson St 93-53 40 3 0.00
1216 A Valparaiso 86-70 16 1 0.77
1220 H Butler 58-61 -3 0 -1.95
1230 A Howard 80-60 20 2 0.08
103 H Minnesota 78-84 -6 0 - -2.16
108 H Michigan St 66-76 -10 -2 -0.18
111 H Rutgers 75-77 -2 0 - -2.40
114 H Illinois 68-79 -11 -2 -0.22
117 H Nebraska 58-77 -19 -2 -0.32
121 A USC 74-68 6 0 + 2.43
124 H UCLA 64-71 -7 -1 -0.85
129 A Penn St 94-73 21 1 1.35
131 H Washington 62-76 -14 0 -1.95
204 H Illinois 44-84 -40 -2 -0.22
208 H Iowa 70-76 -6 -1 -0.99
211 H Michigan 75-87 -12 -3 0.00
214 H Nebraska 49-68 -19 -2 -0.32
218 A Maryland 78-74 4 0 1.70
224 A Indiana 72-68 4 0 + 2.45
228 A Oregon 63-62 1 0 0.70
304 H Purdue 66-70 -4 -2 -0.13
307 H Minnesota 66-67 -1 0 -1.16
310 A Penn St 76-66 10 1 1.35
311 A Indiana 74-61 13 0 + 2.45
312 H Purdue 68-81 -13 -2 -0.13
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 103 H Minnesota 78-84 -6 0 - -2.16 111 H Rutgers 75-77 -2 0 - -2.40 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 121 A USC 74-68 6 0 + 2.43 224 A Indiana 72-68 4 0 + 2.45 311 A Indiana 74-61 13 0 + 2.45 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 33.01
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A Mercyhurst (17-18, 94.0) 70-47 -5.89 1.59 0.01 0.97 3.10
3 A Boston Univ (17-17, 94.3) 76-52 -5.61 1.87 0.01 0.97 3.65
3 A Cleveland St (11-22, 94.3) **-63 -5.59 1.89 0.01 0.97 3.69
3 A DePaul (16-16, 96.7) 81-79 -3.24 4.24 0.01 0.97 8.24
3 H Virginia (30- 6, 98.6) 78-83 -1.26 6.21 -0.01 0.97 -0.62
3 A So Carolina (13-19, 96.4) 79-77 -3.52 3.95 0.01 0.97 7.69
3 H Oklahoma St (21-15, 97.4) 81-86 -2.51 4.96 -0.01 0.97 -1.23
3 H Wisconsin (23-11, 98.2) 73-85 -1.71 5.77 -0.01 0.97 -0.83
3 H Ohio St (20-14, 97.8) 82-86 -2.12 5.36 -0.01 0.97 -1.03
3 A Jackson St (11-22, 94.0) 93-53 -5.93 1.55 0.01 0.97 3.02
3 A Valparaiso (18-15, 95.6) 86-70 -4.26 3.22 0.01 0.97 6.27
3 H Butler (16-16, 96.9) 58-61 -2.96 4.52 -0.01 0.97 -1.44
3 A Howard (24-11, 95.0) 80-60 -4.95 2.53 0.01 0.97 4.93
3 H Minnesota (15-18, 96.7) 78-84 -3.17 4.31 -0.01 0.97 -1.54
3 H Michigan St (27- 8, 98.7) 66-76 -1.19 6.29 -0.01 0.97 -0.58
3 H Rutgers (14-19, 96.5) 75-77 -3.41 4.07 -0.01 0.97 -1.66
3 H Illinois (28- 9, 98.7) 68-79 -1.23 6.25 -0.01 0.97 -0.60
3 H Nebraska (28- 7, 98.6) 58-77 -1.33 6.15 -0.01 0.97 -0.65
3 A USC (18-14, 97.3) 74-68 -2.60 4.88 0.01 0.97 9.49
3 H UCLA (24-12, 98.0) 64-71 -1.86 5.61 -0.01 0.97 -0.91
3 A Penn St (12-20, 96.2) 94-73 -3.68 3.80 0.01 0.97 7.40
3 H Washington (16-17, 96.9) 62-76 -2.96 4.52 -0.01 0.97 -1.44
3 H Illinois (28- 9, 98.7) 44-84 -1.23 6.25 -0.01 0.97 -0.60
3 H Iowa (24-13, 97.9) 70-76 -2.00 5.48 -0.01 0.97 -0.98
3 H Michigan (37- 3, 99.8) 75-87 -0.14 7.34 -0.01 0.97 -0.07
3 H Nebraska (28- 7, 98.6) 49-68 -1.33 6.15 -0.01 0.97 -0.65
3 A Maryland (12-21, 96.6) 78-74 -3.32 4.15 0.01 0.97 8.08
3 A Indiana (18-14, 97.3) 72-68 -2.58 4.89 0.01 0.97 9.52
3 A Oregon (12-20, 96.6) 63-62 -3.33 4.15 0.01 0.97 8.07
3 H Purdue (30- 9, 98.8) 66-70 -1.14 6.34 -0.01 0.97 -0.56
3 H Minnesota (15-18, 96.7) 66-67 -3.17 4.31 -0.01 0.97 -1.54
3 A Penn St (12-20, 96.2) 76-66 -3.68 3.80 0.01 0.97 7.40
3 A Indiana (18-14, 97.3) 74-61 -2.58 4.89 0.01 0.97 9.52
3 H Purdue (30- 9, 98.8) 68-81 -1.14 6.34 -0.01 0.97 -0.56
------
82.59
|
winning pts = 100.0815 losing points = -17.4931
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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