Oregon
W-L: (12-20) PR = 96.5719Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 1104 A Hawaii BW (24- 9, 96.4) 60-59 1107 A Rice AME (13-18, 95.2) 67-63 1112 A So Dakota St SM (13-18, 94.7) 83-69 1117 A Oregon State WC (17-16, 96.1) 87-75 1124 H Auburn SEC A (22-16, 97.7) 73-84 1125 H San Diego St MW (22-11, 97.4) 80-97 1127 H Creighton BE (16-18, 97.0) 66-76 1202 H USC B10 (18-14, 97.3) 77-82 1206 H UCLA B10 (24-12, 98.0) 63-74 1213 A UC Davis BW (19-13, 95.9) **-62 1217 A Portland WC (15-19, 95.6) 94-69 1221 H Gonzaga WC (31- 4, 98.5) 82-91 1228 A Omaha SM (16-17, 94.8) 80-57 102 A Maryland B10 (12-21, 96.6) 64-54 105 H Rutgers B10 (14-19, 96.5) 85-88 108 H Ohio St B10 (20-14, 97.8) 62-72 113 H Nebraska B10 (28- 7, 98.6) 55-90 117 H Michigan B10 (37- 3, 99.8) 71-81 120 H Michigan St B10 (27- 8, 98.7) 52-68 125 H Washington B10 (16-17, 96.9) 57-72 128 H UCLA B10 (24-12, 98.0) 57-73 201 H Iowa B10 (24-13, 97.9) 66-84 207 H Purdue B10 (30- 9, 98.8) 64-68 209 H Indiana B10 (18-14, 97.3) 74-92 214 A Penn St B10 (12-20, 96.2) 83-72 217 H Minnesota B10 (15-18, 96.7) 44-61 221 A USC B10 (18-14, 97.3) 71-70 225 A Wisconsin B10 (23-11, 98.2) 85-71 228 H Northwestern B10 (15-19, 96.9) 62-63 303 H Illinois B10 (28- 9, 98.7) 54-80 307 A Washington B10 (16-17, 96.9) 85-79 310 H Maryland B10 (12-21, 96.6) 60-70
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1104 A Hawaii 60-59 1 0 0.79
1107 A Rice 67-63 4 1 0.66
1112 A So Dakota St 83-69 14 2 0.17
1117 A Oregon State 87-75 12 1 1.49
1124 H Auburn 73-84 -11 -1 -0.87
1125 H San Diego St 80-97 -17 -1 -1.19
1127 H Creighton 66-76 -10 0 -1.58
1202 H USC 77-82 -5 -1 -1.28
1206 H UCLA 63-74 -11 -1 -0.54
1213 A UC Davis **-62 42 1 1.33
1217 A Portland 94-69 25 1 0.99
1221 H Gonzaga 82-91 -9 -2 -0.06
1228 A Omaha 80-57 23 2 0.25
102 A Maryland 64-54 10 0 + 2.01
105 H Rutgers 85-88 -3 0 - -2.09
108 H Ohio St 62-72 -10 -1 -0.80
113 H Nebraska 55-90 -35 -2 -0.01
117 H Michigan 71-81 -10 -3 0.00
120 H Michigan St 52-68 -16 -2 0.00
125 H Washington 57-72 -15 0 -1.64
128 H UCLA 57-73 -16 -1 -0.54
201 H Iowa 66-84 -18 -1 -0.68
207 H Purdue 64-68 -4 -2 0.00
209 H Indiana 74-92 -18 -1 -1.26
214 A Penn St 83-72 11 0 1.66
217 H Minnesota 44-61 -17 0 -1.85
221 A USC 71-70 1 -1 1.74
225 A Wisconsin 85-71 14 -2 + 3.63
228 H Northwestern 62-63 -1 0 -0.70
303 H Illinois 54-80 -26 -2 0.00
307 A Washington 85-79 6 0 + 2.38
310 H Maryland 60-70 -10 0 - -2.01
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 105 H Rutgers 85-88 -3 0 - -2.09 310 H Maryland 60-70 -10 0 - -2.01 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 102 A Maryland 64-54 10 0 + 2.01 225 A Wisconsin 85-71 14 -2 + 3.63 307 A Washington 85-79 6 0 + 2.38 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 33.01
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A Hawaii (24- 9, 96.4) 60-59 -3.55 3.93 0.01 1.03 8.12
3 A Rice (13-18, 95.2) 67-63 -4.68 2.80 0.01 1.03 5.79
3 A So Dakota St (13-18, 94.7) 83-69 -5.17 2.31 0.01 1.03 4.78
3 A Oregon State (17-16, 96.1) 87-75 -3.85 3.63 0.01 1.03 7.51
3 H Auburn (22-16, 97.7) 73-84 -2.19 5.29 -0.01 1.03 -1.13
3 H San Diego St (22-11, 97.4) 80-97 -2.51 4.96 -0.01 1.03 -1.30
3 H Creighton (16-18, 97.0) 66-76 -2.90 4.58 -0.01 1.03 -1.50
3 H USC (18-14, 97.3) 77-82 -2.60 4.88 -0.01 1.03 -1.35
3 H UCLA (24-12, 98.0) 63-74 -1.86 5.61 -0.01 1.03 -0.97
3 A UC Davis (19-13, 95.9) **-62 -4.00 3.47 0.01 1.03 7.18
3 A Portland (15-19, 95.6) 94-69 -4.35 3.13 0.01 1.03 6.48
3 H Gonzaga (31- 4, 98.5) 82-91 -1.37 6.10 -0.01 1.03 -0.71
3 A Omaha (16-17, 94.8) 80-57 -5.09 2.38 0.01 1.03 4.94
3 A Maryland (12-21, 96.6) 64-54 -3.32 4.15 0.01 1.03 8.59
3 H Rutgers (14-19, 96.5) 85-88 -3.41 4.07 -0.01 1.03 -1.76
3 H Ohio St (20-14, 97.8) 62-72 -2.12 5.36 -0.01 1.03 -1.10
3 H Nebraska (28- 7, 98.6) 55-90 -1.33 6.15 -0.01 1.03 -0.69
3 H Michigan (37- 3, 99.8) 71-81 -0.14 7.34 -0.01 1.03 -0.08
3 H Michigan St (27- 8, 98.7) 52-68 -1.19 6.29 -0.01 1.03 -0.62
3 H Washington (16-17, 96.9) 57-72 -2.96 4.52 -0.01 1.03 -1.53
3 H UCLA (24-12, 98.0) 57-73 -1.86 5.61 -0.01 1.03 -0.97
3 H Iowa (24-13, 97.9) 66-84 -2.00 5.48 -0.01 1.03 -1.04
3 H Purdue (30- 9, 98.8) 64-68 -1.14 6.34 -0.01 1.03 -0.59
3 H Indiana (18-14, 97.3) 74-92 -2.58 4.89 -0.01 1.03 -1.34
3 A Penn St (12-20, 96.2) 83-72 -3.68 3.80 0.01 1.03 7.86
3 H Minnesota (15-18, 96.7) 44-61 -3.17 4.31 -0.01 1.03 -1.64
3 A USC (18-14, 97.3) 71-70 -2.60 4.88 0.01 1.03 10.08
3 A Wisconsin (23-11, 98.2) 85-71 -1.71 5.77 0.01 1.03 11.93
3 H Northwestern (15-19, 96.9) 62-63 -3.02 4.46 -0.01 1.03 -1.56
3 H Illinois (28- 9, 98.7) 54-80 -1.23 6.25 -0.01 1.03 -0.64
3 A Washington (16-17, 96.9) 85-79 -2.96 4.52 0.01 1.03 9.35
3 H Maryland (12-21, 96.6) 60-70 -3.32 4.15 -0.01 1.03 -1.72
------
70.39
|
winning pts = 92.6162 losing points = -22.2304
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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