Oregon State
W-L: (17-16) PR = 96.0548Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 1103 A No Dakota St SM (26- 8, 96.1) 67-65 1107 A Ill-Chicago MV (17-17, 95.6) 76-73 1112 A No Texas AME (18-14, 96.0) 66-64 1117 H Oregon B10 (12-20, 96.6) 75-87 1121 H Evansville MV ( 7-25, 94.5) 69-73 1122 H Iona MAAC (19-13, 95.1) 74-91 1124 H Mass MA (17-16, 95.5) 65-73 1129 H Cal Baptist WAC C (23- 9, 96.4) 69-75 1203 A Vermont AE (22-12, 94.8) 80-58 1206 A So Utah WAC S (10-23, 94.6) 81-70 1213 A Montana St BS (18-14, 95.5) 67-57 1217 H Sam Houston CUSA (22-12, 96.1) 75-85 1221 A Arizona St B12 (17-16, 97.4) 78-75 1228 H Santa Clara WC (26- 9, 97.5) 64-** 1230 A San Fran WC (17-16, 96.2) 70-62 102 H Pacific WC (18-15, 96.1) 53-84 104 H Wash St WC (12-20, 95.6) 67-81 108 A Seattle WC (21-14, 96.2) 68-55 110 H Portland WC (15-19, 95.6) 76-82 114 A Loyola Marym WC (14-18, 95.6) 76-70 117 H Pacific WC (18-15, 96.1) 64-81 121 H Saint Marys WC (27- 6, 97.8) 51-81 128 A Loyola Marym WC (14-18, 95.6) 72-69 131 A San Diego WC (11-21, 95.1) 78-76 204 A Wash St WC (12-20, 95.6) 74-64 207 H Gonzaga WC (31- 4, 98.5) 61-81 212 A San Fran WC (17-16, 96.2) 90-63 215 H Seattle WC (21-14, 96.2) 50-60 221 A Pepperdine WC ( 9-24, 94.6) 83-73 225 A San Diego WC (11-21, 95.1) 92-82 228 H Santa Clara WC (26- 9, 97.5) 72-93 308 A San Fran WC (17-16, 96.2) 78-77 309 H Gonzaga WC (31- 4, 98.5) 56-65
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1103 A No Dakota St 67-65 2 0 + 2.03
1107 A Ill-Chicago 76-73 3 0 1.53
1112 A No Texas 66-64 2 0 1.95
1117 H Oregon 75-87 -12 -1 -1.49
1121 H Evansville 69-73 -4 2 - -3.56
1122 H Iona 74-91 -17 1 - -2.93
1124 H Mass 65-73 -8 1 - -2.58
1129 H Cal Baptist 69-75 -6 0 -1.64
1203 A Vermont 80-58 22 1 0.73
1206 A So Utah 81-70 11 1 0.51
1213 A Montana St 67-57 10 1 1.46
1217 H Sam Houston 75-85 -10 0 -1.94
1221 A Arizona St 78-75 3 -1 + 3.32
1228 H Santa Clara 64-** -38 -1 -0.57
1230 A San Fran 70-62 8 0 + 2.12
102 H Pacific 53-84 -31 0 - -2.01
104 H Wash St 67-81 -14 0 - -2.45
108 A Seattle 68-55 13 0 + 2.20
110 H Portland 76-82 -6 1 - -2.51
114 A Loyola Marym 76-70 6 0 1.53
117 H Pacific 64-81 -17 0 - -2.01
121 H Saint Marys 51-81 -30 -2 -0.29
128 A Loyola Marym 72-69 3 0 1.53
131 A San Diego 78-76 2 1 1.05
204 A Wash St 74-64 10 0 1.57
207 H Gonzaga 61-81 -20 -2 0.00
212 A San Fran 90-63 27 0 + 2.12
215 H Seattle 50-60 -10 0 -1.82
221 A Pepperdine 83-73 10 1 0.54
225 A San Diego 92-82 10 1 1.05
228 H Santa Clara 72-93 -21 -1 -0.57
308 A San Fran 78-77 1 0 1.12
309 H Gonzaga 56-65 -9 -2 0.00
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UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1121 H Evansville 69-73 -4 2 - -3.56 1122 H Iona 74-91 -17 1 - -2.93 1124 H Mass 65-73 -8 1 - -2.58 102 H Pacific 53-84 -31 0 - -2.01 104 H Wash St 67-81 -14 0 - -2.45 110 H Portland 76-82 -6 1 - -2.51 117 H Pacific 64-81 -17 0 - -2.01 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1103 A No Dakota St 67-65 2 0 + 2.03 1221 A Arizona St 78-75 3 -1 + 3.32 1230 A San Fran 70-62 8 0 + 2.12 108 A Seattle 68-55 13 0 + 2.20 212 A San Fran 90-63 27 0 + 2.12 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 33.01
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A No Dakota St (26- 8, 96.1) 67-65 -3.82 3.65 0.01 1.00 7.33
3 A Ill-Chicago (17-17, 95.6) 76-73 -4.33 3.15 0.01 1.00 6.32
3 A No Texas (18-14, 96.0) 66-64 -3.90 3.57 0.01 1.00 7.17
3 H Oregon (12-20, 96.6) 75-87 -3.33 4.15 -0.01 1.00 -1.67
3 H Evansville ( 7-25, 94.5) 69-73 -5.39 2.09 -0.01 1.00 -2.70
3 H Iona (19-13, 95.1) 74-91 -4.77 2.71 -0.01 1.00 -2.39
3 H Mass (17-16, 95.5) 65-73 -4.42 3.06 -0.01 1.00 -2.21
3 H Cal Baptist (23- 9, 96.4) 69-75 -3.48 4.00 -0.01 1.00 -1.74
3 A Vermont (22-12, 94.8) 80-58 -5.12 2.36 0.01 1.00 4.73
3 A So Utah (10-23, 94.6) 81-70 -5.34 2.14 0.01 1.00 4.29
3 A Montana St (18-14, 95.5) 67-57 -4.39 3.08 0.01 1.00 6.19
3 H Sam Houston (22-12, 96.1) 75-85 -3.78 3.70 -0.01 1.00 -1.90
3 A Arizona St (17-16, 97.4) 78-75 -2.53 4.94 0.01 1.00 9.91
3 H Santa Clara (26- 9, 97.5) 64-** -2.40 5.07 -0.01 1.00 -1.21
3 A San Fran (17-16, 96.2) 70-62 -3.74 3.74 0.01 1.00 7.51
3 H Pacific (18-15, 96.1) 53-84 -3.85 3.63 -0.01 1.00 -1.93
3 H Wash St (12-20, 95.6) 67-81 -4.28 3.20 -0.01 1.00 -2.15
3 A Seattle (21-14, 96.2) 68-55 -3.65 3.82 0.01 1.00 7.67
3 H Portland (15-19, 95.6) 76-82 -4.35 3.13 -0.01 1.00 -2.18
3 A Loyola Marym (14-18, 95.6) 76-70 -4.32 3.15 0.01 1.00 6.33
3 H Pacific (18-15, 96.1) 64-81 -3.85 3.63 -0.01 1.00 -1.93
3 H Saint Marys (27- 6, 97.8) 51-81 -2.13 5.35 -0.01 1.00 -1.07
3 A Loyola Marym (14-18, 95.6) 72-69 -4.32 3.15 0.01 1.00 6.33
3 A San Diego (11-21, 95.1) 78-76 -4.81 2.67 0.01 1.00 5.36
3 A Wash St (12-20, 95.6) 74-64 -4.28 3.20 0.01 1.00 6.41
3 H Gonzaga (31- 4, 98.5) 61-81 -1.37 6.10 -0.01 1.00 -0.69
3 A San Fran (17-16, 96.2) 90-63 -3.74 3.74 0.01 1.00 7.51
3 H Seattle (21-14, 96.2) 50-60 -3.65 3.82 -0.01 1.00 -1.83
3 A Pepperdine ( 9-24, 94.6) 83-73 -5.32 2.16 0.01 1.00 4.33
3 A San Diego (11-21, 95.1) 92-82 -4.81 2.67 0.01 1.00 5.36
3 H Santa Clara (26- 9, 97.5) 72-93 -2.40 5.07 -0.01 1.00 -1.21
3 A San Fran (17-16, 96.2) 78-77 -3.74 3.74 0.01 1.00 7.51
3 H Gonzaga (31- 4, 98.5) 56-65 -1.37 6.10 -0.01 1.00 -0.69
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82.76
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winning pts = 110.2545 losing points = -27.4975
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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