Austin Peay
W-L: (21-10) PR = 95.5179Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 1103 A Bryant AE (10-25, 93.3) 1108 A Air Force MW ( 3-29, 94.0) 74-54 1111 H Wyoming MW (18-15, 96.3) 65-79 1115 A UNCG SO U (14-20, 94.5) 69-63 1118 H Ole Miss SEC (15-20, 96.9) 65-72 1121 H Tulsa AME (30- 8, 97.1) 75-84 1125 A No Illinois MA ( 9-21, 94.2) 77-59 1203 H Kent State MA (24-10, 96.2) 84-96 1207 H UTRGV SL (18-14, 95.3) 50-63 1212 A Ea Tenn St SO E (23-11, 95.4) 76-75 1228 A FISK **-59 101 A No Florida AS ( 7-26, 93.5) **-83 103 A Jacksonville AS (11-21, 94.3) 71-68 108 A Fl Gulf Co AS (16-18, 94.7) 82-71 110 A Stetson AS (12-21, 94.2) 81-69 116 A Ea Kentucky AS (11-21, 94.2) 74-72 117 H Lipscomb AS (19-13, 95.2) 78-82 122 A Fl Gulf Co AS (16-18, 94.7) 83-62 123 A Stetson AS (12-21, 94.2) 73-65 128 A Ea Kentucky AS (11-21, 94.2) 90-82 131 A We Georgia AS (14-18, 94.4) 81-78 204 A Lipscomb AS (19-13, 95.2) 87-76 207 A No Alabama AS ( 9-21, 93.8) 91-62 211 A Queens Univ AS (21-14, 95.4) 95-87 214 A Bellarmine AS (13-19, 94.4) 90-70 219 A No Florida AS ( 7-26, 93.5) 77-76 221 A Jacksonville AS (11-21, 94.3) 65-61 225 H Ce Arkansas AS (22-12, 95.5) 88-93 228 H Bellarmine AS (13-19, 94.4) 97-** 306 A Stetson AS (12-21, 94.2) 69-60 307 H Queens Univ AS (21-14, 95.4) 83-90
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1108 A Air Force 74-54 20 1 0.52
1111 H Wyoming 65-79 -14 -1 -1.25
1115 A UNCG 69-63 6 1 1.01
1118 H Ole Miss 65-72 -7 -1 -0.66
1121 H Tulsa 75-84 -9 -2 -0.47
1125 A No Illinois 77-59 18 1 0.66
1203 H Kent State 84-96 -12 -1 -1.29
1207 H UTRGV 50-63 -13 0 - -2.20
1212 A Ea Tenn St 76-75 1 0 0.93
101 A No Florida **-83 19 2 0.03
103 A Jacksonville 71-68 3 1 0.76
108 A Fl Gulf Co 82-71 11 1 1.22
110 A Stetson 81-69 12 1 0.71
116 A Ea Kentucky 74-72 2 1 0.68
117 H Lipscomb 78-82 -4 0 - -2.32
122 A Fl Gulf Co 83-62 21 1 1.22
123 A Stetson 73-65 8 1 0.71
128 A Ea Kentucky 90-82 8 1 0.68
131 A We Georgia 81-78 3 1 0.91
204 A Lipscomb 87-76 11 0 1.70
207 A No Alabama 91-62 29 2 0.33
211 A Queens Univ 95-87 8 0 1.91
214 A Bellarmine 90-70 20 1 0.93
219 A No Florida 77-76 1 2 -0.97
221 A Jacksonville 65-61 4 1 0.76
225 H Ce Arkansas 88-93 -5 0 - -2.05
228 H Bellarmine 97-** -14 1 - -3.09
306 A Stetson 69-60 9 1 0.71
307 H Queens Univ 83-90 -7 0 - -2.11
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1207 H UTRGV 50-63 -13 0 - -2.20 117 H Lipscomb 78-82 -4 0 - -2.32 225 H Ce Arkansas 88-93 -5 0 - -2.05 228 H Bellarmine 97-** -14 1 - -3.09 307 H Queens Univ 83-90 -7 0 - -2.11 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 33.01
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A Air Force ( 3-29, 94.0) 74-54 -5.87 1.61 0.01 1.14 3.68
3 H Wyoming (18-15, 96.3) 65-79 -3.63 3.85 -0.01 1.14 -2.07
3 A UNCG (14-20, 94.5) 69-63 -5.38 2.10 0.01 1.14 4.80
3 H Ole Miss (15-20, 96.9) 65-72 -3.03 4.45 -0.01 1.14 -1.73
3 H Tulsa (30- 8, 97.1) 75-84 -2.84 4.63 -0.01 1.14 -1.62
3 A No Illinois ( 9-21, 94.2) 77-59 -5.73 1.75 0.01 1.14 4.00
3 H Kent State (24-10, 96.2) 84-96 -3.66 3.81 -0.01 1.14 -2.09
3 H UTRGV (18-14, 95.3) 50-63 -4.57 2.91 -0.01 1.14 -2.61
3 A Ea Tenn St (23-11, 95.4) 76-75 -4.46 3.02 0.01 1.14 6.89
3 A No Florida ( 7-26, 93.5) **-83 -6.36 1.12 0.01 1.14 2.57
3 A Jacksonville (11-21, 94.3) 71-68 -5.63 1.85 0.01 1.14 4.23
3 A Fl Gulf Co (16-18, 94.7) 82-71 -5.17 2.30 0.01 1.14 5.27
3 A Stetson (12-21, 94.2) 81-69 -5.68 1.80 0.01 1.14 4.11
3 A Ea Kentucky (11-21, 94.2) 74-72 -5.71 1.77 0.01 1.14 4.05
3 H Lipscomb (19-13, 95.2) 78-82 -4.70 2.78 -0.01 1.14 -2.68
3 A Fl Gulf Co (16-18, 94.7) 83-62 -5.17 2.30 0.01 1.14 5.27
3 A Stetson (12-21, 94.2) 73-65 -5.68 1.80 0.01 1.14 4.11
3 A Ea Kentucky (11-21, 94.2) 90-82 -5.71 1.77 0.01 1.14 4.05
3 A We Georgia (14-18, 94.4) 81-78 -5.49 1.99 0.01 1.14 4.56
3 A Lipscomb (19-13, 95.2) 87-76 -4.70 2.78 0.01 1.14 6.35
3 A No Alabama ( 9-21, 93.8) 91-62 -6.06 1.42 0.01 1.14 3.25
3 A Queens Univ (21-14, 95.4) 95-87 -4.48 3.00 0.01 1.14 6.84
3 A Bellarmine (13-19, 94.4) 90-70 -5.47 2.01 0.01 1.14 4.60
3 A No Florida ( 7-26, 93.5) 77-76 -6.36 1.12 0.01 1.14 2.57
3 A Jacksonville (11-21, 94.3) 65-61 -5.63 1.85 0.01 1.14 4.23
3 H Ce Arkansas (22-12, 95.5) 88-93 -4.42 3.06 -0.01 1.14 -2.52
3 H Bellarmine (13-19, 94.4) 97-** -5.47 2.01 -0.01 1.14 -3.12
3 A Stetson (12-21, 94.2) 69-60 -5.68 1.80 0.01 1.14 4.11
3 H Queens Univ (21-14, 95.4) 83-90 -4.48 3.00 -0.01 1.14 -2.56
------
68.55
|
winning pts = 89.5415 losing points = -20.9935
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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