Pennsylvania
W-L: (18-12) PR = 95.7969Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 1107 A ROWAN **-72 1109 H American PAT (16-17, 94.5) 78-84 1111 H Providence BE (15-18, 96.9) 81-** 1117 A St Joseph's A10 (25-12, 96.5) 83-74 1121 A Drexel CA (17-16, 95.1) 84-68 1128 A Merrimack MAAC (22-12, 95.5) 77-65 1129 A La Salle A10 ( 9-23, 95.0) 73-71 1130 H Hofstra CA (24-11, 96.1) 60-77 1206 H Villanova BE (24- 9, 98.1) 63-90 1208 A Lafayette PAT L (11-22, 93.8) 74-72 1220 H Rutgers B10 (14-19, 96.5) 69-70 1228 H George Mason A10 (23-10, 96.6) 79-83 1231 A NJ Tech AE (16-17, 94.2) 80-61 105 H Princeton IVY ( 9-19, 94.5) 76-78 110 A Brown IVY ( 9-18, 94.0) 81-73 117 A Dartmouth IVY (11-16, 94.4) 84-74 119 H Harvard IVY (17-12, 95.2) 63-64 124 H Yale IVY (24- 7, 96.3) 60-77 130 H Columbia IVY (16-12, 95.1) 67-72 131 A Cornell IVY (14-14, 95.1) 91-81 207 A Princeton IVY ( 9-19, 94.5) 61-60 213 A Columbia IVY (16-12, 95.1) 76-67 214 A Cornell IVY (14-14, 95.1) 82-76 221 H Yale IVY (24- 7, 96.3) 70-74 227 A Dartmouth IVY (11-16, 94.4) 80-71 228 A Harvard IVY (17-12, 95.2) 64-61 306 A Brown IVY ( 9-18, 94.0) 82-61 314 A Harvard IVY (17-12, 95.2) 62-60 315 H Yale IVY (24- 7, 96.3) 88-84 319 H Illinois B10 (28- 9, 98.7) 70-**
PREDICTION LIST
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|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1109 H American 78-84 -6 1 - -3.33
1111 H Providence 81-** -25 -1 -0.87
1117 A St Joseph's 83-74 9 -1 + 2.70
1121 A Drexel 84-68 16 1 1.28
1128 A Merrimack 77-65 12 0 1.71
1129 A La Salle 73-71 2 1 1.21
1130 H Hofstra 60-77 -17 0 -1.69
1206 H Villanova 63-90 -27 -2 0.00
1208 A Lafayette 74-72 2 2 0.00
1220 H Rutgers 69-70 -1 -1 -0.32
1228 H George Mason 79-83 -4 -1 -1.22
1231 A NJ Tech 80-61 19 2 0.42
105 H Princeton 76-78 -2 1 - -3.33
110 A Brown 81-73 8 2 0.17
117 A Dartmouth 84-74 10 1 0.60
119 H Harvard 63-64 -1 1 -1.59
124 H Yale 60-77 -17 -1 -1.48
130 H Columbia 67-72 -5 1 - -2.66
131 A Cornell 91-81 10 1 1.33
207 A Princeton 61-60 1 1 -0.31
213 A Columbia 76-67 9 1 1.36
214 A Cornell 82-76 6 1 1.33
221 H Yale 70-74 -4 -1 -1.48
227 A Dartmouth 80-71 9 1 0.60
228 A Harvard 64-61 3 1 1.43
306 A Brown 82-61 21 2 0.17
314 A Harvard 62-60 2 1 1.43
315 H Yale 88-84 4 -1 + 2.52
319 H Illinois 70-** -35 -3 0.00
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1109 H American 78-84 -6 1 - -3.33 105 H Princeton 76-78 -2 1 - -3.33 130 H Columbia 67-72 -5 1 - -2.66 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1117 A St Joseph's 83-74 9 -1 + 2.70 315 H Yale 88-84 4 -1 + 2.52 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 33.01
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H American (16-17, 94.5) 78-84 -5.42 2.06 -0.01 1.14 -3.09
3 H Providence (15-18, 96.9) 81-** -2.97 4.51 -0.01 1.14 -1.69
3 A St Joseph's (25-12, 96.5) 83-74 -3.41 4.07 0.01 1.14 9.28
3 A Drexel (17-16, 95.1) 84-68 -4.83 2.64 0.01 1.14 6.04
3 A Merrimack (22-12, 95.5) 77-65 -4.40 3.07 0.01 1.14 7.02
3 A La Salle ( 9-23, 95.0) 73-71 -4.91 2.57 0.01 1.14 5.87
3 H Hofstra (24-11, 96.1) 60-77 -3.78 3.70 -0.01 1.14 -2.16
3 H Villanova (24- 9, 98.1) 63-90 -1.83 5.65 -0.01 1.14 -1.05
3 A Lafayette (11-22, 93.8) 74-72 -6.11 1.36 0.01 1.14 3.13
3 H Rutgers (14-19, 96.5) 69-70 -3.41 4.07 -0.01 1.14 -1.95
3 H George Mason (23-10, 96.6) 79-83 -3.31 4.16 -0.01 1.14 -1.89
3 A NJ Tech (16-17, 94.2) 80-61 -5.69 1.78 0.01 1.14 4.08
3 H Princeton ( 9-19, 94.5) 76-78 -5.43 2.05 -0.01 1.14 -3.09
3 A Brown ( 9-18, 94.0) 81-73 -5.94 1.54 0.01 1.14 3.52
3 A Dartmouth (11-16, 94.4) 84-74 -5.51 1.97 0.01 1.14 4.50
3 H Harvard (17-12, 95.2) 63-64 -4.68 2.79 -0.01 1.14 -2.67
3 H Yale (24- 7, 96.3) 60-77 -3.57 3.91 -0.01 1.14 -2.04
3 H Columbia (16-12, 95.1) 67-72 -4.75 2.72 -0.01 1.14 -2.71
3 A Cornell (14-14, 95.1) 91-81 -4.78 2.70 0.01 1.14 6.16
3 A Princeton ( 9-19, 94.5) 61-60 -5.43 2.05 0.01 1.14 4.69
3 A Columbia (16-12, 95.1) 76-67 -4.75 2.72 0.01 1.14 6.22
3 A Cornell (14-14, 95.1) 82-76 -4.78 2.70 0.01 1.14 6.16
3 H Yale (24- 7, 96.3) 70-74 -3.57 3.91 -0.01 1.14 -2.04
3 A Dartmouth (11-16, 94.4) 80-71 -5.51 1.97 0.01 1.14 4.50
3 A Harvard (17-12, 95.2) 64-61 -4.68 2.79 0.01 1.14 6.38
3 A Brown ( 9-18, 94.0) 82-61 -5.94 1.54 0.01 1.14 3.52
3 A Harvard (17-12, 95.2) 62-60 -4.68 2.79 0.01 1.14 6.38
3 H Yale (24- 7, 96.3) 88-84 -3.57 3.91 -0.01 1.14 8.87
3 H Illinois (28- 9, 98.7) 70-** -1.23 6.25 -0.01 1.14 -0.71
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71.24
|
winning pts = 96.3284 losing points = -25.0851
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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