Portland
W-L: (15-19) PR = 95.5546Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 1103 A WILLA **-83 1106 A AK-Pine Bl SWAC U (12-20, 94.2) 83-74 1109 A UC Davis BW (19-13, 95.9) 67-63 1115 H Wyoming MW (18-15, 96.3) 56-93 1121 A CS Fullerton BW (16-17, 95.6) **-85 1122 H No Colorado BS (20-12, 95.6) 80-86 1123 H St Thomas MN SM (24-10, 95.8) 66-76 1126 A LB St BW (11-22, 94.7) 93-73 1201 H Stanford ACC (20-13, 97.2) 72-94 1205 A LEW&C **-87 1214 A Kent State MA (24-10, 96.2) 88-78 1217 H Oregon B10 (12-20, 96.6) 69-94 1222 H Santa Barbara BW (18-14, 95.7) 61-79 1228 H Wash St WC (12-20, 95.6) 62-67 1230 H Santa Clara WC (26- 9, 97.5) 85-92 102 H Saint Marys WC (27- 6, 97.8) 57-78 104 H San Fran WC (17-16, 96.2) 68-73 108 A Pacific WC (18-15, 96.1) 90-89 110 A Oregon State WC (17-16, 96.1) 82-76 114 H Pepperdine WC ( 9-24, 94.6) 63-67 117 A Loyola Marym WC (14-18, 95.6) 71-58 124 H Saint Marys WC (27- 6, 97.8) 69-75 128 H Pacific WC (18-15, 96.1) 51-74 131 H Wash St WC (12-20, 95.6) 74-** 204 A Gonzaga WC (31- 4, 98.5) 87-80 207 A Seattle WC (21-14, 96.2) 54-53 211 H San Diego WC (11-21, 95.1) 58-71 218 H Pepperdine WC ( 9-24, 94.6) 87-95 221 H Seattle WC (21-14, 96.2) 59-71 225 H Gonzaga WC (31- 4, 98.5) 48-89 228 A San Diego WC (11-21, 95.1) 87-74 305 A Pepperdine WC ( 9-24, 94.6) 77-68 306 A Wash St WC (12-20, 95.6) 74-68 307 H San Fran WC (17-16, 96.2) 65-82
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1106 A AK-Pine Bl 83-74 9 1 0.66
1109 A UC Davis 67-63 4 0 + 2.35
1115 H Wyoming 56-93 -37 -1 -1.29
1121 A CS Fullerton **-85 18 0 + 2.06
1122 H No Colorado 80-86 -6 0 -1.99
1123 H St Thomas MN 66-76 -10 0 -1.78
1126 A LB St 93-73 20 1 1.18
1201 H Stanford 72-94 -22 -2 -0.38
1214 A Kent State 88-78 10 -1 + 2.69
1217 H Oregon 69-94 -25 -1 -0.99
1222 H Santa Barbara 61-79 -18 0 -1.87
1228 H Wash St 62-67 -5 0 -1.94
1230 H Santa Clara 85-92 -7 -2 -0.07
102 H Saint Marys 57-78 -21 -2 0.00
104 H San Fran 68-73 -5 -1 -1.40
108 A Pacific 90-89 1 -1 1.51
110 A Oregon State 82-76 6 -1 + 2.51
114 H Pepperdine 63-67 -4 1 - -2.98
117 A Loyola Marym 71-58 13 0 + 2.03
124 H Saint Marys 69-75 -6 -2 0.00
128 H Pacific 51-74 -23 0 -1.51
131 H Wash St 74-** -30 0 -1.94
204 A Gonzaga 87-80 7 -3 ++ 4.00
207 A Seattle 54-53 1 -1 1.70
211 H San Diego 58-71 -13 0 - -2.47
218 H Pepperdine 87-95 -8 1 - -2.98
221 H Seattle 59-71 -12 -1 -1.32
225 H Gonzaga 48-89 -41 -3 0.00
228 A San Diego 87-74 13 0 1.55
305 A Pepperdine 77-68 9 1 1.04
306 A Wash St 74-68 6 0 + 2.08
307 H San Fran 65-82 -17 -1 -1.40
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 114 H Pepperdine 63-67 -4 1 - -2.98 211 H San Diego 58-71 -13 0 - -2.47 218 H Pepperdine 87-95 -8 1 - -2.98 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 204 A Gonzaga 87-80 7 -3 ++ 4.00 1109 A UC Davis 67-63 4 0 + 2.35 1121 A CS Fullerton **-85 18 0 + 2.06 1214 A Kent State 88-78 10 -1 + 2.69 110 A Oregon State 82-76 6 -1 + 2.51 117 A Loyola Marym 71-58 13 0 + 2.03 306 A Wash St 74-68 6 0 + 2.08 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 33.01
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A AK-Pine Bl (12-20, 94.2) 83-74 -5.70 1.78 0.01 1.03 3.69
3 A UC Davis (19-13, 95.9) 67-63 -4.00 3.47 0.01 1.03 7.18
3 H Wyoming (18-15, 96.3) 56-93 -3.63 3.85 -0.01 1.03 -1.88
3 A CS Fullerton (16-17, 95.6) **-85 -4.30 3.18 0.01 1.03 6.57
3 H No Colorado (20-12, 95.6) 80-86 -4.33 3.15 -0.01 1.03 -2.24
3 H St Thomas MN (24-10, 95.8) 66-76 -4.11 3.37 -0.01 1.03 -2.13
3 A LB St (11-22, 94.7) 93-73 -5.18 2.30 0.01 1.03 4.77
3 H Stanford (20-13, 97.2) 72-94 -2.71 4.76 -0.01 1.03 -1.41
3 A Kent State (24-10, 96.2) 88-78 -3.66 3.81 0.01 1.03 7.89
3 H Oregon (12-20, 96.6) 69-94 -3.33 4.15 -0.01 1.03 -1.72
3 H Santa Barbara (18-14, 95.7) 61-79 -4.21 3.27 -0.01 1.03 -2.18
3 H Wash St (12-20, 95.6) 62-67 -4.28 3.20 -0.01 1.03 -2.21
3 H Santa Clara (26- 9, 97.5) 85-92 -2.40 5.07 -0.01 1.03 -1.24
3 H Saint Marys (27- 6, 97.8) 57-78 -2.13 5.35 -0.01 1.03 -1.10
3 H San Fran (17-16, 96.2) 68-73 -3.74 3.74 -0.01 1.03 -1.93
3 A Pacific (18-15, 96.1) 90-89 -3.85 3.63 0.01 1.03 7.51
3 A Oregon State (17-16, 96.1) 82-76 -3.85 3.63 0.01 1.03 7.51
3 H Pepperdine ( 9-24, 94.6) 63-67 -5.32 2.16 -0.01 1.03 -2.75
3 A Loyola Marym (14-18, 95.6) 71-58 -4.32 3.15 0.01 1.03 6.53
3 H Saint Marys (27- 6, 97.8) 69-75 -2.13 5.35 -0.01 1.03 -1.10
3 H Pacific (18-15, 96.1) 51-74 -3.85 3.63 -0.01 1.03 -1.99
3 H Wash St (12-20, 95.6) 74-** -4.28 3.20 -0.01 1.03 -2.21
3 A Gonzaga (31- 4, 98.5) 87-80 -1.37 6.10 0.01 1.03 12.61
3 A Seattle (21-14, 96.2) 54-53 -3.65 3.82 0.01 1.03 7.91
3 H San Diego (11-21, 95.1) 58-71 -4.81 2.67 -0.01 1.03 -2.48
3 H Pepperdine ( 9-24, 94.6) 87-95 -5.32 2.16 -0.01 1.03 -2.75
3 H Seattle (21-14, 96.2) 59-71 -3.65 3.82 -0.01 1.03 -1.89
3 H Gonzaga (31- 4, 98.5) 48-89 -1.37 6.10 -0.01 1.03 -0.71
3 A San Diego (11-21, 95.1) 87-74 -4.81 2.67 0.01 1.03 5.53
3 A Pepperdine ( 9-24, 94.6) 77-68 -5.32 2.16 0.01 1.03 4.47
3 A Wash St (12-20, 95.6) 74-68 -4.28 3.20 0.01 1.03 6.61
3 H San Fran (17-16, 96.2) 65-82 -3.74 3.74 -0.01 1.03 -1.93
------
52.93
|
winning pts = 88.7810 losing points = -35.8560
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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