Providence
W-L: (15-18) PR = 96.9320Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 1103 A Holy Cross PAT H (11-22, 93.6) 89-79 1108 H Va Tech ACC (19-13, 97.4) **-** 1111 A Pennsylvania IVY (18-12, 95.8) **-81 1114 H Colorado B12 (17-16, 97.1) 88-97 1118 A New Hamp. AE ( 9-21, 93.3) 98-66 1122 A Penn St B10 (12-20, 96.2) 77-65 1127 H Wisconsin B10 (23-11, 98.2) 83-** 1128 H Florida SEC (27- 8, 98.8) 78-90 1202 A FDU NE (11-21, 93.3) 94-64 1206 A Rhode Island A10 (16-16, 95.6) 90-71 1209 A Brown IVY ( 9-18, 94.0) 86-79 1213 H Butler BE (16-16, 96.9) 58-** 1219 H Seton Hall BE (21-12, 97.6) 67-72 103 A St. John's BE (30- 7, 98.7) 77-71 107 H Connecticut BE (33- 6, 99.1) 98-** 110 H Xavier BE (15-18, 97.0) 84-97 113 H Villanova BE (24- 9, 98.1) 82-88 116 A Creighton BE (16-18, 97.0) 93-88 119 H Marquette BE (12-20, 96.5) **-** 124 H Georgetown BE (16-17, 96.9) 78-81 127 H Connecticut BE (33- 6, 99.1) 81-87 130 H Villanova BE (24- 9, 98.1) 73-87 204 A Butler BE (16-16, 96.9) 97-87 207 A DePaul BE (16-16, 96.7) 90-72 211 H Seton Hall BE (21-12, 97.6) 80-87 214 H St. John's BE (30- 7, 98.7) 69-79 221 A DePaul BE (16-16, 96.7) 71-68 225 A Xavier BE (15-18, 97.0) 94-84 228 A Creighton BE (16-18, 97.0) 79-76 304 H Marquette BE (12-20, 96.5) 56-78 307 H Georgetown BE (16-17, 96.9) 79-80 311 A Butler BE (16-16, 96.9) 91-81 312 H St. John's BE (30- 7, 98.7) 72-85
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1103 A Holy Cross 89-79 10 3 0.00
1108 H Va Tech **-** -6 0 -1.57
1111 A Pennsylvania **-81 25 1 0.87
1114 H Colorado 88-97 -9 0 -1.85
1118 A New Hamp. 98-66 32 4 0.00
1122 A Penn St 77-65 12 1 1.30
1127 H Wisconsin 83-** -21 -1 -0.75
1128 H Florida 78-90 -12 -2 -0.12
1202 A FDU 94-64 30 4 0.00
1206 A Rhode Island 90-71 19 1 0.70
1209 A Brown 86-79 7 3 0.00
1213 H Butler 58-** -55 0 - -2.00
1219 H Seton Hall 67-72 -5 -1 -1.39
103 A St. John's 77-71 6 -2 + 3.77
107 H Connecticut 98-** -5 -2 0.00
110 H Xavier 84-97 -13 0 -1.99
113 H Villanova 82-88 -6 -1 -0.87
116 A Creighton 93-88 5 0 + 2.08
119 H Marquette **-** -1 0 -1.47
124 H Georgetown 78-81 -3 0 - -2.06
127 H Connecticut 81-87 -6 -2 0.00
130 H Villanova 73-87 -14 -1 -0.87
204 A Butler 97-87 10 0 + 2.02
207 A DePaul 90-72 18 0 1.74
211 H Seton Hall 80-87 -7 -1 -1.39
214 H St. John's 69-79 -10 -2 -0.25
221 A DePaul 71-68 3 0 1.74
225 A Xavier 94-84 10 0 + 2.03
228 A Creighton 79-76 3 0 + 2.08
304 H Marquette 56-78 -22 0 - -2.47
307 H Georgetown 79-80 -1 0 -1.06
311 A Butler 91-81 10 0 + 2.02
312 H St. John's 72-85 -13 -2 -0.25
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1213 H Butler 58-** -55 0 - -2.00 124 H Georgetown 78-81 -3 0 - -2.06 304 H Marquette 56-78 -22 0 - -2.47 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 103 A St. John's 77-71 6 -2 + 3.77 116 A Creighton 93-88 5 0 + 2.08 204 A Butler 97-87 10 0 + 2.02 225 A Xavier 94-84 10 0 + 2.03 228 A Creighton 79-76 3 0 + 2.08 311 A Butler 91-81 10 0 + 2.02 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 33.01
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A Holy Cross (11-22, 93.6) 89-79 -6.28 1.20 0.01 1.00 2.42
3 H Va Tech (19-13, 97.4) **-** -2.53 4.95 -0.01 1.00 -1.27
3 A Pennsylvania (18-12, 95.8) **-81 -4.10 3.37 0.01 1.00 6.77
3 H Colorado (17-16, 97.1) 88-97 -2.81 4.67 -0.01 1.00 -1.41
3 A New Hamp. ( 9-21, 93.3) 98-66 -6.63 1.00 0.01 1.00 2.02
3 A Penn St (12-20, 96.2) 77-65 -3.68 3.80 0.01 1.00 7.63
3 H Wisconsin (23-11, 98.2) 83-** -1.71 5.77 -0.01 1.00 -0.86
3 H Florida (27- 8, 98.8) 78-90 -1.07 6.40 -0.01 1.00 -0.54
3 A FDU (11-21, 93.3) 94-64 -6.56 1.00 0.01 1.00 2.02
3 A Rhode Island (16-16, 95.6) 90-71 -4.28 3.20 0.01 1.00 6.42
3 A Brown ( 9-18, 94.0) 86-79 -5.94 1.54 0.01 1.00 3.09
3 H Butler (16-16, 96.9) 58-** -2.96 4.52 -0.01 1.00 -1.49
3 H Seton Hall (21-12, 97.6) 67-72 -2.35 5.13 -0.01 1.00 -1.18
3 A St. John's (30- 7, 98.7) 77-71 -1.20 6.27 0.01 1.00 12.57
3 H Connecticut (33- 6, 99.1) 98-** -0.77 6.71 -0.01 1.00 -0.39
3 H Xavier (15-18, 97.0) 84-97 -2.95 4.53 -0.01 1.00 -1.48
3 H Villanova (24- 9, 98.1) 82-88 -1.83 5.65 -0.01 1.00 -0.92
3 A Creighton (16-18, 97.0) 93-88 -2.90 4.58 0.01 1.00 9.18
3 H Marquette (12-20, 96.5) **-** -3.43 4.05 -0.01 1.00 -1.72
3 H Georgetown (16-17, 96.9) 78-81 -3.02 4.46 -0.01 1.00 -1.51
3 H Connecticut (33- 6, 99.1) 81-87 -0.77 6.71 -0.01 1.00 -0.39
3 H Villanova (24- 9, 98.1) 73-87 -1.83 5.65 -0.01 1.00 -0.92
3 A Butler (16-16, 96.9) 97-87 -2.96 4.52 0.01 1.00 9.05
3 A DePaul (16-16, 96.7) 90-72 -3.24 4.24 0.01 1.00 8.49
3 H Seton Hall (21-12, 97.6) 80-87 -2.35 5.13 -0.01 1.00 -1.18
3 H St. John's (30- 7, 98.7) 69-79 -1.20 6.27 -0.01 1.00 -0.61
3 A DePaul (16-16, 96.7) 71-68 -3.24 4.24 0.01 1.00 8.49
3 A Xavier (15-18, 97.0) 94-84 -2.95 4.53 0.01 1.00 9.08
3 A Creighton (16-18, 97.0) 79-76 -2.90 4.58 0.01 1.00 9.18
3 H Marquette (12-20, 96.5) 56-78 -3.43 4.05 -0.01 1.00 -1.72
3 H Georgetown (16-17, 96.9) 79-80 -3.02 4.46 -0.01 1.00 -1.51
3 A Butler (16-16, 96.9) 91-81 -2.96 4.52 0.01 1.00 9.05
3 H St. John's (30- 7, 98.7) 72-85 -1.20 6.27 -0.01 1.00 -0.61
------
85.77
|
winning pts = 105.4774 losing points = -19.7062
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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