Penn St
W-L: (12-20) PR = 96.2248Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 1103 A Fairfield MAAC (22-13, 95.1) 76-68 1108 A New Haven NE N (14-17, 93.8) 87-43 1111 A Navy PAT (26- 8, 95.4) 80-71 1115 A La Salle A10 ( 9-23, 95.0) 83-69 1119 A Harvard IVY (17-12, 95.2) 84-80 1122 H Providence BE (15-18, 96.9) 65-77 1125 A Boston Univ PAT (17-17, 94.3) 96-87 1129 A Sacred Heart MAAC (14-19, 94.4) 90-59 1202 A Campbell CA (15-19, 95.3) 87-76 1209 H Indiana B10 (18-14, 97.3) 72-** 1213 H Michigan St B10 (27- 8, 98.7) 72-76 1221 H Pittsburgh ACC (13-20, 96.4) 46-80 1229 A NC Center MEAC (14-18, 93.6) 90-67 103 H Illinois B10 (28- 9, 98.7) 65-73 106 H Michigan B10 (37- 3, 99.8) 72-74 110 H Purdue B10 (30- 9, 98.8) 85-93 114 H UCLA B10 (24-12, 98.0) 60-71 118 H Maryland B10 (12-21, 96.6) 73-96 122 H Wisconsin B10 (23-11, 98.2) 71-98 126 H Ohio St B10 (20-14, 97.8) 78-84 129 H Northwestern B10 (15-19, 96.9) 73-94 201 A Minnesota B10 (15-18, 96.7) 77-75 205 H Michigan B10 (37- 3, 99.8) 69-** 208 H USC B10 (18-14, 97.3) 75-77 211 A Washington B10 (16-17, 96.9) 63-60 214 H Oregon B10 (12-20, 96.6) 72-83 218 H Rutgers B10 (14-19, 96.5) 72-85 221 H Nebraska B10 (28- 7, 98.6) 64-87 228 A Iowa B10 (24-13, 97.9) 71-69 304 H Ohio St B10 (20-14, 97.8) 62-94 308 H Rutgers B10 (14-19, 96.5) 62-74 310 H Northwestern B10 (15-19, 96.9) 66-76
PREDICTION LIST
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|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1103 A Fairfield 76-68 8 1 0.84
1108 A New Haven 87-43 44 2 0.00
1111 A Navy 80-71 9 1 1.23
1115 A La Salle 83-69 14 1 0.78
1119 A Harvard 84-80 4 1 1.00
1122 H Providence 65-77 -12 -1 -1.30
1125 A Boston Univ 96-87 9 2 0.08
1129 A Sacred Heart 90-59 31 2 0.15
1202 A Campbell 87-76 11 1 1.13
1209 H Indiana 72-** -41 -1 -0.92
1213 H Michigan St 72-76 -4 -2 0.00
1221 H Pittsburgh 46-80 -34 0 -1.85
1229 A NC Center 90-67 23 3 0.00
103 H Illinois 65-73 -8 -2 0.00
106 H Michigan 72-74 -2 -4 0.00
110 H Purdue 85-93 -8 -3 0.00
114 H UCLA 60-71 -11 -2 -0.20
118 H Maryland 73-96 -23 0 -1.66
122 H Wisconsin 71-98 -27 -2 -0.04
126 H Ohio St 78-84 -6 -2 -0.45
129 H Northwestern 73-94 -21 -1 -1.35
201 A Minnesota 77-75 2 -1 + 2.52
205 H Michigan 69-** -41 -4 0.00
208 H USC 75-77 -2 -1 -0.94
211 A Washington 63-60 3 -1 + 2.73
214 H Oregon 72-83 -11 0 -1.66
218 H Rutgers 72-85 -13 0 -1.74
221 H Nebraska 64-87 -23 -2 0.00
228 A Iowa 71-69 2 -2 + 3.68
304 H Ohio St 62-94 -32 -2 -0.45
308 H Rutgers 62-74 -12 0 -1.74
310 H Northwestern 66-76 -10 -1 -1.35
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 201 A Minnesota 77-75 2 -1 + 2.52 211 A Washington 63-60 3 -1 + 2.73 228 A Iowa 71-69 2 -2 + 3.68 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 33.01
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A Fairfield (22-13, 95.1) 76-68 -4.85 2.63 0.01 1.03 5.44
3 A New Haven (14-17, 93.8) 87-43 -6.08 1.40 0.01 1.03 2.91
3 A Navy (26- 8, 95.4) 80-71 -4.46 3.02 0.01 1.03 6.25
3 A La Salle ( 9-23, 95.0) 83-69 -4.91 2.57 0.01 1.03 5.32
3 A Harvard (17-12, 95.2) 84-80 -4.68 2.79 0.01 1.03 5.78
3 H Providence (15-18, 96.9) 65-77 -2.97 4.51 -0.01 1.03 -1.54
3 A Boston Univ (17-17, 94.3) 96-87 -5.61 1.87 0.01 1.03 3.87
3 A Sacred Heart (14-19, 94.4) 90-59 -5.54 1.94 0.01 1.03 4.02
3 A Campbell (15-19, 95.3) 87-76 -4.56 2.92 0.01 1.03 6.05
3 H Indiana (18-14, 97.3) 72-** -2.58 4.89 -0.01 1.03 -1.34
3 H Michigan St (27- 8, 98.7) 72-76 -1.19 6.29 -0.01 1.03 -0.62
3 H Pittsburgh (13-20, 96.4) 46-80 -3.52 3.96 -0.01 1.03 -1.82
3 A NC Center (14-18, 93.6) 90-67 -6.34 1.14 0.01 1.03 2.37
3 H Illinois (28- 9, 98.7) 65-73 -1.23 6.25 -0.01 1.03 -0.64
3 H Michigan (37- 3, 99.8) 72-74 -0.14 7.34 -0.01 1.03 -0.08
3 H Purdue (30- 9, 98.8) 85-93 -1.14 6.34 -0.01 1.03 -0.59
3 H UCLA (24-12, 98.0) 60-71 -1.86 5.61 -0.01 1.03 -0.97
3 H Maryland (12-21, 96.6) 73-96 -3.32 4.15 -0.01 1.03 -1.72
3 H Wisconsin (23-11, 98.2) 71-98 -1.71 5.77 -0.01 1.03 -0.88
3 H Ohio St (20-14, 97.8) 78-84 -2.12 5.36 -0.01 1.03 -1.10
3 H Northwestern (15-19, 96.9) 73-94 -3.02 4.46 -0.01 1.03 -1.56
3 A Minnesota (15-18, 96.7) 77-75 -3.17 4.31 0.01 1.03 8.92
3 H Michigan (37- 3, 99.8) 69-** -0.14 7.34 -0.01 1.03 -0.08
3 H USC (18-14, 97.3) 75-77 -2.60 4.88 -0.01 1.03 -1.35
3 A Washington (16-17, 96.9) 63-60 -2.96 4.52 0.01 1.03 9.35
3 H Oregon (12-20, 96.6) 72-83 -3.33 4.15 -0.01 1.03 -1.72
3 H Rutgers (14-19, 96.5) 72-85 -3.41 4.07 -0.01 1.03 -1.76
3 H Nebraska (28- 7, 98.6) 64-87 -1.33 6.15 -0.01 1.03 -0.69
3 A Iowa (24-13, 97.9) 71-69 -2.00 5.48 0.01 1.03 11.32
3 H Ohio St (20-14, 97.8) 62-94 -2.12 5.36 -0.01 1.03 -1.10
3 H Rutgers (14-19, 96.5) 62-74 -3.41 4.07 -0.01 1.03 -1.76
3 H Northwestern (15-19, 96.9) 66-76 -3.02 4.46 -0.01 1.03 -1.56
------
48.72
|
winning pts = 71.5918 losing points = -22.8710
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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