Purdue
W-L: (30- 9) PR = 98.7615Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 1104 A Evansville MV ( 7-25, 94.5) 82-51 1107 A Oakland HL (16-16, 95.4) 87-77 1113 A Alabama SEC A (25-10, 98.5) 87-80 1116 A Akron MA (29- 6, 96.9) 97-79 1120 A Memphis AME (13-19, 95.9) 80-71 1121 A Texas Tech B12 (23-11, 98.2) 86-56 1128 A Ea Illinois OV (14-20, 94.1) **-62 1202 A Rutgers B10 (14-19, 96.5) 81-65 1206 H Iowa St B12 (28- 9, 98.7) 58-81 1210 A Minnesota B10 (15-18, 96.7) 85-57 1213 A Marquette BE (12-20, 96.5) 79-59 1220 A Auburn SEC A (22-16, 97.7) 88-60 1229 A Kent State MA (24-10, 96.2) **-60 103 A Wisconsin B10 (23-11, 98.2) 89-73 107 A Washington B10 (16-17, 96.9) 81-73 110 A Penn St B10 (12-20, 96.2) 93-85 114 A Iowa B10 (24-13, 97.9) 79-72 117 A USC B10 (18-14, 97.3) 69-64 120 H UCLA B10 (24-12, 98.0) 67-69 124 H Illinois B10 (28- 9, 98.7) 82-88 127 H Indiana B10 (18-14, 97.3) 67-72 201 A Maryland B10 (12-21, 96.6) 93-63 207 A Oregon B10 (12-20, 96.6) 68-64 210 A Nebraska B10 (28- 7, 98.6) 80-77 214 A Iowa B10 (24-13, 97.9) 78-57 217 H Michigan B10 (37- 3, 99.8) 80-91 220 A Indiana B10 (18-14, 97.3) 93-64 226 H Michigan St B10 (27- 8, 98.7) 74-76 301 H Ohio St B10 (20-14, 97.8) 74-82 304 A Northwestern B10 (15-19, 96.9) 70-66 307 H Wisconsin B10 (23-11, 98.2) 93-97 312 A Northwestern B10 (15-19, 96.9) 81-68 313 A Nebraska B10 (28- 7, 98.6) 74-58 314 A UCLA B10 (24-12, 98.0) 73-66 315 A Michigan B10 (37- 3, 99.8) 80-72 320 A Queens Univ AS (21-14, 95.4) **-71 322 A Miami (Fl) ACC (26- 9, 98.0) 79-69 326 A Texas SEC T (21-15, 97.8) 79-77 328 H Arizona B12 (36- 3, 99.9) 64-79
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1104 A Evansville 82-51 31 4 0.00
1107 A Oakland 87-77 10 3 0.00
1113 A Alabama 87-80 7 0 1.79
1116 A Akron 97-79 18 2 0.12
1120 A Memphis 80-71 9 3 0.00
1121 A Texas Tech 86-56 30 1 1.50
1128 A Ea Illinois **-62 47 5 0.00
1202 A Rutgers 81-65 16 2 0.00
1206 H Iowa St 58-81 -23 0 - -2.06
1210 A Minnesota 85-57 28 2 0.00
1213 A Marquette 79-59 20 2 0.00
1220 A Auburn 88-60 28 1 0.96
1229 A Kent State **-60 41 3 0.00
103 A Wisconsin 89-73 16 1 1.44
107 A Washington 81-73 8 2 0.19
110 A Penn St 93-85 8 3 0.00
114 A Iowa 79-72 7 1 1.15
117 A USC 69-64 5 1 0.55
120 H UCLA 67-69 -2 1 - -2.73
124 H Illinois 82-88 -6 0 - -2.10
127 H Indiana 67-72 -5 1 - -3.45
201 A Maryland 93-63 30 2 0.00
207 A Oregon 68-64 4 2 0.00
210 A Nebraska 80-77 3 0 1.82
214 A Iowa 78-57 21 1 1.15
217 H Michigan 80-91 -11 -1 -1.01
220 A Indiana 93-64 29 1 0.57
226 H Michigan St 74-76 -2 0 - -2.06
301 H Ohio St 74-82 -8 1 - -2.99
304 A Northwestern 70-66 4 2 0.13
307 H Wisconsin 93-97 -4 1 - -2.58
312 A Northwestern 81-68 13 2 0.13
313 A Nebraska 74-58 16 0 1.82
314 A UCLA 73-66 7 1 1.29
315 A Michigan 80-72 8 -1 + 3.01
320 A Queens Univ **-71 33 3 0.00
322 A Miami (Fl) 79-69 10 1 1.21
326 A Texas 79-77 2 1 1.03
328 H Arizona 64-79 -15 -1 -0.87
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1206 H Iowa St 58-81 -23 0 - -2.06 120 H UCLA 67-69 -2 1 - -2.73 124 H Illinois 82-88 -6 0 - -2.10 127 H Indiana 67-72 -5 1 - -3.45 226 H Michigan St 74-76 -2 0 - -2.06 301 H Ohio St 74-82 -8 1 - -2.99 307 H Wisconsin 93-97 -4 1 - -2.58 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 315 A Michigan 80-72 8 -1 + 3.01 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 33.01
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A Evansville ( 7-25, 94.5) 82-51 -5.39 2.09 0.01 0.85 3.55
3 A Oakland (16-16, 95.4) 87-77 -4.53 2.94 0.01 0.85 5.00
3 A Alabama (25-10, 98.5) 87-80 -1.36 6.12 0.01 0.85 10.38
3 A Akron (29- 6, 96.9) 97-79 -3.03 4.45 0.01 0.85 7.54
3 A Memphis (13-19, 95.9) 80-71 -3.98 3.50 0.01 0.85 5.94
3 A Texas Tech (23-11, 98.2) 86-56 -1.65 5.83 0.01 0.85 9.88
3 A Ea Illinois (14-20, 94.1) **-62 -5.82 1.65 0.01 0.85 2.81
3 A Rutgers (14-19, 96.5) 81-65 -3.41 4.07 0.01 0.85 6.90
3 H Iowa St (28- 9, 98.7) 58-81 -1.19 6.29 -0.01 0.85 -0.51
3 A Minnesota (15-18, 96.7) 85-57 -3.17 4.31 0.01 0.85 7.32
3 A Marquette (12-20, 96.5) 79-59 -3.43 4.05 0.01 0.85 6.87
3 A Auburn (22-16, 97.7) 88-60 -2.19 5.29 0.01 0.85 8.97
3 A Kent State (24-10, 96.2) **-60 -3.66 3.81 0.01 0.85 6.47
3 A Wisconsin (23-11, 98.2) 89-73 -1.71 5.77 0.01 0.85 9.79
3 A Washington (16-17, 96.9) 81-73 -2.96 4.52 0.01 0.85 7.67
3 A Penn St (12-20, 96.2) 93-85 -3.68 3.80 0.01 0.85 6.45
3 A Iowa (24-13, 97.9) 79-72 -2.00 5.48 0.01 0.85 9.29
3 A USC (18-14, 97.3) 69-64 -2.60 4.88 0.01 0.85 8.27
3 H UCLA (24-12, 98.0) 67-69 -1.86 5.61 -0.01 0.85 -0.79
3 H Illinois (28- 9, 98.7) 82-88 -1.23 6.25 -0.01 0.85 -0.52
3 H Indiana (18-14, 97.3) 67-72 -2.58 4.89 -0.01 0.85 -1.10
3 A Maryland (12-21, 96.6) 93-63 -3.32 4.15 0.01 0.85 7.05
3 A Oregon (12-20, 96.6) 68-64 -3.33 4.15 0.01 0.85 7.04
3 A Nebraska (28- 7, 98.6) 80-77 -1.33 6.15 0.01 0.85 10.42
3 A Iowa (24-13, 97.9) 78-57 -2.00 5.48 0.01 0.85 9.29
3 H Michigan (37- 3, 99.8) 80-91 -0.14 7.34 -0.01 0.85 -0.06
3 A Indiana (18-14, 97.3) 93-64 -2.58 4.89 0.01 0.85 8.30
3 H Michigan St (27- 8, 98.7) 74-76 -1.19 6.29 -0.01 0.85 -0.51
3 H Ohio St (20-14, 97.8) 74-82 -2.12 5.36 -0.01 0.85 -0.90
3 A Northwestern (15-19, 96.9) 70-66 -3.02 4.46 0.01 0.85 7.56
3 H Wisconsin (23-11, 98.2) 93-97 -1.71 5.77 -0.01 0.85 -0.73
3 A Northwestern (15-19, 96.9) 81-68 -3.02 4.46 0.01 0.85 7.56
3 A Nebraska (28- 7, 98.6) 74-58 -1.33 6.15 0.01 0.85 10.42
3 A UCLA (24-12, 98.0) 73-66 -1.86 5.61 0.01 0.85 9.52
3 A Michigan (37- 3, 99.8) 80-72 -0.14 7.34 0.01 0.85 12.44
3 A Queens Univ (21-14, 95.4) **-71 -4.48 3.00 0.01 0.85 5.09
3 A Miami (Fl) (26- 9, 98.0) 79-69 -1.93 5.54 0.01 0.85 9.40
3 A Texas (21-15, 97.8) 79-77 -2.12 5.36 0.01 0.85 9.09
3 H Arizona (36- 3, 99.9) 64-79 -0.00 7.48 -0.01 0.85 -0.00
------
231.16
|
winning pts = 236.2825 losing points = -5.1231
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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