Sacred Heart 
W-L: (14-19) PR = 94.3634
Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score
1104 A USMMA **-46
1107 H Duquesne A10 (18-15, 95.9) 80-92
1111 H Villanova BE (24- 9, 98.1) 60-94
1115 H Queens Univ AS (21-14, 95.4) 64-81
1121 A Holy Cross PAT H (11-22, 93.6) 79-66
1124 H Ce Connecticut NE C (18-13, 94.3) **-**
1129 H Penn St B10 (12-20, 96.2) 59-90
1203 A Mt St Marys MAAC (14-17, 94.5) 87-80
1207 H Iona MAAC (19-13, 95.1) 69-81
1213 A NJ Tech AE (16-17, 94.2) 65-49
1216 H UMass Lowell AE (15-18, 93.9) 82-87
1219 A Dartmouth IVY (11-16, 94.4) 85-63
1222 H Towson CA (19-15, 95.5) 47-72
1229 H Merrimack MAAC (22-12, 95.5) 72-80
102 H Niagara MAAC ( 8-22, 93.7) 61-64
104 H Canisius MAAC (10-21, 93.9) 78-82
109 H Marist MAAC (19-12, 95.2) 72-76
111 H Quinnipiac MAAC (19-13, 95.2) 60-70
114 A Siena MAAC (23-12, 95.3) 86-80
119 A Rider MAAC ( 4-25, 93.2) **-85
122 A Canisius MAAC (10-21, 93.9) 69-66
124 A Niagara MAAC ( 8-22, 93.7) 71-70
130 A Quinnipiac MAAC (19-13, 95.2) 98-91
201 H Merrimack MAAC (22-12, 95.5) 58-75
205 H Fairfield MAAC (22-13, 95.1) 87-92
207 H Manhattan MAAC (12-21, 94.1) 68-80
213 A St Peters MAAC (17-12, 95.1) 78-71
215 A Rider MAAC ( 4-25, 93.2) 86-75
220 H Fairfield MAAC (22-13, 95.1) 68-78
222 H Marist MAAC (19-12, 95.2) 63-65
227 A Mt St Marys MAAC (14-17, 94.5) 77-69
305 A Iona MAAC (19-13, 95.1) 91-80
306 H Merrimack MAAC (22-12, 95.5) 48-70
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1107 H Duquesne 80-92 -12 -2 -0.43
1111 H Villanova 60-94 -34 -4 0.00
1115 H Queens Univ 64-81 -17 -1 -0.95
1121 A Holy Cross 79-66 13 1 1.27
1124 H Ce Connecticut **-** -2 0 - -2.03
1129 H Penn St 59-90 -31 -2 -0.15
1203 A Mt St Marys 87-80 7 0 + 2.19
1207 H Iona 69-81 -12 -1 -1.24
1213 A NJ Tech 65-49 16 0 1.85
1216 H UMass Lowell 82-87 -5 0 - -2.49
1219 A Dartmouth 85-63 22 0 + 2.04
1222 H Towson 47-72 -25 -1 -0.89
1229 H Merrimack 72-80 -8 -1 -0.88
102 H Niagara 61-64 -3 1 - -2.67
104 H Canisius 78-82 -4 0 - -2.42
109 H Marist 72-76 -4 -1 -1.20
111 H Quinnipiac 60-70 -10 -1 -1.21
114 A Siena 86-80 6 -1 + 2.95
119 A Rider **-85 20 1 0.82
122 A Canisius 69-66 3 0 1.60
124 A Niagara 71-70 1 1 0.35
130 A Quinnipiac 98-91 7 -1 + 2.81
201 H Merrimack 58-75 -17 -1 -0.88
205 H Fairfield 87-92 -5 -1 -1.32
207 H Manhattan 68-80 -12 0 - -2.28
213 A St Peters 78-71 7 -1 + 2.78
215 A Rider 86-75 11 1 0.82
220 H Fairfield 68-78 -10 -1 -1.32
222 H Marist 63-65 -2 -1 -1.20
227 A Mt St Marys 77-69 8 0 + 2.19
305 A Iona 91-80 11 -1 + 2.78
306 H Merrimack 48-70 -22 -1 -0.88
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1124 H Ce Connecticut **-** -2 0 - -2.03
1216 H UMass Lowell 82-87 -5 0 - -2.49
102 H Niagara 61-64 -3 1 - -2.67
104 H Canisius 78-82 -4 0 - -2.42
207 H Manhattan 68-80 -12 0 - -2.28
|
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1203 A Mt St Marys 87-80 7 0 + 2.19
1219 A Dartmouth 85-63 22 0 + 2.04
114 A Siena 86-80 6 -1 + 2.95
130 A Quinnipiac 98-91 7 -1 + 2.81
213 A St Peters 78-71 7 -1 + 2.78
227 A Mt St Marys 77-69 8 0 + 2.19
305 A Iona 91-80 11 -1 + 2.78
|

division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 33.01
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H Duquesne (18-15, 95.9) 80-92 -3.95 3.52 -0.01 1.03 -2.04
3 H Villanova (24- 9, 98.1) 60-94 -1.83 5.65 -0.01 1.03 -0.95
3 H Queens Univ (21-14, 95.4) 64-81 -4.48 3.00 -0.01 1.03 -2.32
3 A Holy Cross (11-22, 93.6) 79-66 -6.28 1.20 0.01 1.03 2.50
3 H Ce Connecticut (18-13, 94.3) **-** -5.55 1.92 -0.01 1.03 -2.87
3 H Penn St (12-20, 96.2) 59-90 -3.68 3.80 -0.01 1.03 -1.90
3 A Mt St Marys (14-17, 94.5) 87-80 -5.35 2.12 0.01 1.03 4.40
3 H Iona (19-13, 95.1) 69-81 -4.77 2.71 -0.01 1.03 -2.47
3 A NJ Tech (16-17, 94.2) 65-49 -5.69 1.78 0.01 1.03 3.70
3 H UMass Lowell (15-18, 93.9) 82-87 -6.02 1.46 -0.01 1.03 -3.11
3 A Dartmouth (11-16, 94.4) 85-63 -5.51 1.97 0.01 1.03 4.08
3 H Towson (19-15, 95.5) 47-72 -4.42 3.06 -0.01 1.03 -2.28
3 H Merrimack (22-12, 95.5) 72-80 -4.40 3.07 -0.01 1.03 -2.28
3 H Niagara ( 8-22, 93.7) 61-64 -6.20 1.28 -0.01 1.03 -3.20
3 H Canisius (10-21, 93.9) 78-82 -5.95 1.53 -0.01 1.03 -3.07
3 H Marist (19-12, 95.2) 72-76 -4.73 2.75 -0.01 1.03 -2.44
3 H Quinnipiac (19-13, 95.2) 60-70 -4.74 2.74 -0.01 1.03 -2.45
3 A Siena (23-12, 95.3) 86-80 -4.60 2.88 0.01 1.03 5.96
3 A Rider ( 4-25, 93.2) **-85 -6.73 1.00 0.01 1.03 2.08
3 A Canisius (10-21, 93.9) 69-66 -5.95 1.53 0.01 1.03 3.17
3 A Niagara ( 8-22, 93.7) 71-70 -6.20 1.28 0.01 1.03 2.66
3 A Quinnipiac (19-13, 95.2) 98-91 -4.74 2.74 0.01 1.03 5.67
3 H Merrimack (22-12, 95.5) 58-75 -4.40 3.07 -0.01 1.03 -2.28
3 H Fairfield (22-13, 95.1) 87-92 -4.85 2.63 -0.01 1.03 -2.51
3 H Manhattan (12-21, 94.1) 68-80 -5.81 1.67 -0.01 1.03 -3.00
3 A St Peters (17-12, 95.1) 78-71 -4.77 2.71 0.01 1.03 5.60
3 A Rider ( 4-25, 93.2) 86-75 -6.73 1.00 0.01 1.03 2.08
3 H Fairfield (22-13, 95.1) 68-78 -4.85 2.63 -0.01 1.03 -2.51
3 H Marist (19-12, 95.2) 63-65 -4.73 2.75 -0.01 1.03 -2.44
3 A Mt St Marys (14-17, 94.5) 77-69 -5.35 2.12 0.01 1.03 4.40
3 A Iona (19-13, 95.1) 91-80 -4.77 2.71 0.01 1.03 5.61
3 H Merrimack (22-12, 95.5) 48-70 -4.40 3.07 -0.01 1.03 -2.28
------
5.51
|
winning pts = 51.9041 losing points = -46.3914
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction. ------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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