So Alabama
W-L: (21-12) PR = 95.6575Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 1103 A Toledo MA (19-15, 95.7) 76-74 1106 A Alcorn St SWAC AL (10-22, 93.8) 76-70 1108 A SPRIN 99-50 1113 A Ce Michigan MA (10-21, 94.5) 66-64 1115 A Coppin St MEAC C ( 7-24, 93.0) 72-62 1119 A Jacksonv St CUSA (15-17, 95.0) 71-65 1121 H UAB AME (20-12, 96.2) 72-80 1130 A Texas-SA AME ( 5-25, 94.2) 82-58 1202 A NM St CUSA (16-16, 95.3) 77-75 1205 H Ea Tenn St SO E (23-11, 95.4) 65-91 1214 H No Texas AME (18-14, 96.0) 57-58 1217 A LA-Monroe SB U ( 4-28, 93.1) 1220 H TX St-SM SB T (19-13, 95.4) 65-67 1229 A MOBIL 85-52 1231 A Louisiana SB (11-23, 94.5) 63-58 103 H Troy SB (23-11, 96.0) 49-59 110 A Georgia So SB G (22-16, 95.2) 87-71 116 A Arkansas St SB A (20-12, 95.7) 91-87 117 H Louisiana SB (11-23, 94.5) 56-59 122 A Jam Madison SB J (18-15, 95.3) 90-83 129 A Coastal Car SB C (19-14, 95.3) 53-48 131 A Georgia St SB (10-23, 94.2) 69-67 204 H App State SB A (19-14, 95.5) 57-65 207 A Buffalo MA (17-14, 95.4) 81-69 212 A So Miss SB (20-16, 95.3) 84-78 214 A Arkansas St SB A (20-12, 95.7) 92-88 216 H Marshall SB M (19-13, 95.6) 80-84 219 H TX St-SM SB T (19-13, 95.4) 82-90 221 A Troy SB (23-11, 96.0) 65-54 225 A LA-Monroe SB U ( 4-28, 93.1) 89-54 227 H So Miss SB (20-16, 95.3) 55-68 306 H Georgia So SB G (22-16, 95.2) 85-94 317 H Auburn SEC A (22-16, 97.7) 67-78
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1103 A Toledo 76-74 2 0 + 2.05
1106 A Alcorn St 76-70 6 2 0.17
1113 A Ce Michigan 66-64 2 1 0.83
1115 A Coppin St 72-62 10 3 0.00
1119 A Jacksonv St 71-65 6 1 1.37
1121 H UAB 72-80 -8 -1 -1.43
1130 A Texas-SA 82-58 24 1 0.52
1202 A NM St 77-75 2 0 1.68
1205 H Ea Tenn St 65-91 -26 0 - -2.23
1214 H No Texas 57-58 -1 0 -0.67
1220 H TX St-SM 65-67 -2 0 - -2.30
1231 A Louisiana 63-58 5 1 0.81
103 H Troy 49-59 -10 0 -1.66
110 A Georgia So 87-71 16 0 1.59
116 A Arkansas St 91-87 4 0 + 2.09
117 H Louisiana 56-59 -3 1 - -3.21
122 A Jam Madison 90-83 7 0 1.61
129 A Coastal Car 53-48 5 0 1.66
131 A Georgia St 69-67 2 1 0.54
204 H App State 57-65 -8 0 - -2.20
207 A Buffalo 81-69 12 0 1.70
212 A So Miss 84-78 6 0 1.70
214 A Arkansas St 92-88 4 0 + 2.09
216 H Marshall 80-84 -4 0 - -2.03
219 H TX St-SM 82-90 -8 0 - -2.30
221 A Troy 65-54 11 0 + 2.36
225 A LA-Monroe 89-54 35 3 0.00
227 H So Miss 55-68 -13 0 - -2.32
306 H Georgia So 85-94 -9 0 - -2.43
317 H Auburn 67-78 -11 -2 0.00
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1205 H Ea Tenn St 65-91 -26 0 - -2.23 1220 H TX St-SM 65-67 -2 0 - -2.30 117 H Louisiana 56-59 -3 1 - -3.21 204 H App State 57-65 -8 0 - -2.20 216 H Marshall 80-84 -4 0 - -2.03 219 H TX St-SM 82-90 -8 0 - -2.30 227 H So Miss 55-68 -13 0 - -2.32 306 H Georgia So 85-94 -9 0 - -2.43 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1103 A Toledo 76-74 2 0 + 2.05 116 A Arkansas St 91-87 4 0 + 2.09 214 A Arkansas St 92-88 4 0 + 2.09 221 A Troy 65-54 11 0 + 2.36 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 33.01
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A Toledo (19-15, 95.7) 76-74 -4.20 3.27 0.01 1.10 7.22
3 A Alcorn St (10-22, 93.8) 76-70 -6.08 1.40 0.01 1.10 3.09
3 A Ce Michigan (10-21, 94.5) 66-64 -5.42 2.06 0.01 1.10 4.55
3 A Coppin St ( 7-24, 93.0) 72-62 -6.94 1.00 0.01 1.10 2.22
3 A Jacksonv St (15-17, 95.0) 71-65 -4.89 2.59 0.01 1.10 5.72
3 H UAB (20-12, 96.2) 72-80 -3.66 3.81 -0.01 1.10 -2.02
3 A Texas-SA ( 5-25, 94.2) 82-58 -5.73 1.74 0.01 1.10 3.86
3 A NM St (16-16, 95.3) 77-75 -4.57 2.91 0.01 1.10 6.42
3 H Ea Tenn St (23-11, 95.4) 65-91 -4.46 3.02 -0.01 1.10 -2.46
3 H No Texas (18-14, 96.0) 57-58 -3.90 3.57 -0.01 1.10 -2.15
3 H TX St-SM (19-13, 95.4) 65-67 -4.53 2.94 -0.01 1.10 -2.50
3 A Louisiana (11-23, 94.5) 63-58 -5.44 2.03 0.01 1.10 4.49
3 H Troy (23-11, 96.0) 49-59 -3.89 3.59 -0.01 1.10 -2.15
3 A Georgia So (22-16, 95.2) 87-71 -4.66 2.82 0.01 1.10 6.22
3 A Arkansas St (20-12, 95.7) 91-87 -4.16 3.32 0.01 1.10 7.32
3 H Louisiana (11-23, 94.5) 56-59 -5.44 2.03 -0.01 1.10 -3.00
3 A Jam Madison (18-15, 95.3) 90-83 -4.64 2.84 0.01 1.10 6.27
3 A Coastal Car (19-14, 95.3) 53-48 -4.59 2.89 0.01 1.10 6.37
3 A Georgia St (10-23, 94.2) 69-67 -5.71 1.76 0.01 1.10 3.90
3 H App State (19-14, 95.5) 57-65 -4.44 3.04 -0.01 1.10 -2.45
3 A Buffalo (17-14, 95.4) 81-69 -4.55 2.93 0.01 1.10 6.47
3 A So Miss (20-16, 95.3) 84-78 -4.56 2.92 0.01 1.10 6.45
3 A Arkansas St (20-12, 95.7) 92-88 -4.16 3.32 0.01 1.10 7.32
3 H Marshall (19-13, 95.6) 80-84 -4.26 3.22 -0.01 1.10 -2.35
3 H TX St-SM (19-13, 95.4) 82-90 -4.53 2.94 -0.01 1.10 -2.50
3 A Troy (23-11, 96.0) 65-54 -3.89 3.59 0.01 1.10 7.91
3 A LA-Monroe ( 4-28, 93.1) 89-54 -6.76 1.00 0.01 1.10 2.22
3 H So Miss (20-16, 95.3) 55-68 -4.56 2.92 -0.01 1.10 -2.51
3 H Georgia So (22-16, 95.2) 85-94 -4.66 2.82 -0.01 1.10 -2.57
3 H Auburn (22-16, 97.7) 67-78 -2.19 5.29 -0.01 1.10 -1.21
------
70.17
|
winning pts = 98.0394 losing points = -27.8659
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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