Samford
W-L: (18-14) PR = 95.0886Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 1103 H Tulane AME (18-15, 96.0) 72-85 1107 A SC St MEAC (10-22, 93.3) 82-72 1112 A TX Southern SWAC T (12-18, 94.0) 93-90 1114 H Arkansas SEC (28- 9, 98.5) 75-79 1116 A Ce Arkansas AS (22-12, 95.5) 84-77 1119 H Fl Gulf Co AS (16-18, 94.7) 62-77 1121 H NM St CUSA (16-16, 95.3) 72-81 1125 A Georgia St SB (10-23, 94.2) 78-63 1126 H Utah Valley WAC U (25- 8, 96.6) 45-89 1205 H VCU A10 (29- 8, 97.6) 57-83 1207 A Cornell IVY (14-14, 95.1) 93-90 1215 A Bryant AE (10-25, 93.3) **-51 1219 A REINH 85-49 101 A VMI SO ( 6-26, 93.1) 78-58 103 H UNCG SO U (14-20, 94.5) 82-89 107 A We Carolina SO W (15-17, 94.8) 82-77 110 H Chattanooga SO U (13-19, 94.2) 79-88 114 H Furman SO F (23-13, 95.4) 73-77 117 H Ea Tenn St SO E (23-11, 95.4) 75-76 121 H Wofford SO W (19-13, 95.0) 78-88 124 A Chattanooga SO U (13-19, 94.2) 75-64 129 H Furman SO F (23-13, 95.4) 73-78 201 A We Carolina SO W (15-17, 94.8) 88-74 205 A The Citadel SO (11-22, 93.9) 78-64 207 A Mercer SO M (19-13, 95.2) 69-49 211 A Wofford SO W (19-13, 95.0) 97-80 214 A Ea Tenn St SO E (23-11, 95.4) 82-72 219 A The Citadel SO (11-22, 93.9) 78-75 221 H Mercer SO M (19-13, 95.2) 86-89 226 A VMI SO ( 6-26, 93.1) 80-61 228 A UNCG SO U (14-20, 94.5) 87-78 307 H Furman SO F (23-13, 95.4) 81-86
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1103 H Tulane 72-85 -13 -1 -1.14
1107 A SC St 82-72 10 2 0.20
1112 A TX Southern 93-90 3 1 0.95
1114 H Arkansas 75-79 -4 -3 0.00
1116 A Ce Arkansas 84-77 7 0 + 2.40
1119 H Fl Gulf Co 62-77 -15 0 - -2.37
1121 H NM St 72-81 -9 0 -1.77
1125 A Georgia St 78-63 15 1 1.11
1126 H Utah Valley 45-89 -44 -1 -0.53
1205 H VCU 57-83 -26 -2 0.00
1207 A Cornell 93-90 3 0 + 2.04
1215 A Bryant **-51 55 2 0.25
101 A VMI 78-58 20 2 0.00
103 H UNCG 82-89 -7 1 - -2.58
107 A We Carolina 82-77 5 0 1.76
110 H Chattanooga 79-88 -9 1 - -2.91
114 H Furman 73-77 -4 0 -1.73
117 H Ea Tenn St 75-76 -1 0 -0.66
121 H Wofford 78-88 -10 0 - -2.08
124 A Chattanooga 75-64 11 1 1.11
129 H Furman 73-78 -5 0 -1.73
201 A We Carolina 88-74 14 0 1.76
205 A The Citadel 78-64 14 1 0.85
207 A Mercer 69-49 20 0 + 2.12
211 A Wofford 97-80 17 0 1.94
214 A Ea Tenn St 82-72 10 0 + 2.36
219 A The Citadel 78-75 3 1 0.85
221 H Mercer 86-89 -3 0 -1.90
226 A VMI 80-61 19 2 0.00
228 A UNCG 87-78 9 1 1.44
307 H Furman 81-86 -5 0 -1.73
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1119 H Fl Gulf Co 62-77 -15 0 - -2.37 103 H UNCG 82-89 -7 1 - -2.58 110 H Chattanooga 79-88 -9 1 - -2.91 121 H Wofford 78-88 -10 0 - -2.08 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1116 A Ce Arkansas 84-77 7 0 + 2.40 1207 A Cornell 93-90 3 0 + 2.04 207 A Mercer 69-49 20 0 + 2.12 214 A Ea Tenn St 82-72 10 0 + 2.36 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 33.01
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H Tulane (18-15, 96.0) 72-85 -3.94 3.53 -0.01 1.06 -2.10
3 A SC St (10-22, 93.3) 82-72 -6.62 1.00 0.01 1.06 2.15
3 A TX Southern (12-18, 94.0) 93-90 -5.88 1.60 0.01 1.06 3.43
3 H Arkansas (28- 9, 98.5) 75-79 -1.40 6.07 -0.01 1.06 -0.75
3 A Ce Arkansas (22-12, 95.5) 84-77 -4.42 3.06 0.01 1.06 6.53
3 H Fl Gulf Co (16-18, 94.7) 62-77 -5.17 2.30 -0.01 1.06 -2.76
3 H NM St (16-16, 95.3) 72-81 -4.57 2.91 -0.01 1.06 -2.44
3 A Georgia St (10-23, 94.2) 78-63 -5.71 1.76 0.01 1.06 3.78
3 H Utah Valley (25- 8, 96.6) 45-89 -3.34 4.14 -0.01 1.06 -1.78
3 H VCU (29- 8, 97.6) 57-83 -2.32 5.16 -0.01 1.06 -1.24
3 A Cornell (14-14, 95.1) 93-90 -4.78 2.70 0.01 1.06 5.77
3 A Bryant (10-25, 93.3) **-51 -6.57 1.00 0.01 1.06 2.15
3 A VMI ( 6-26, 93.1) 78-58 -6.82 1.00 0.01 1.06 2.15
3 H UNCG (14-20, 94.5) 82-89 -5.38 2.10 -0.01 1.06 -2.87
3 A We Carolina (15-17, 94.8) 82-77 -5.06 2.41 0.01 1.06 5.16
3 H Chattanooga (13-19, 94.2) 79-88 -5.71 1.77 -0.01 1.06 -3.05
3 H Furman (23-13, 95.4) 73-77 -4.53 2.95 -0.01 1.06 -2.42
3 H Ea Tenn St (23-11, 95.4) 75-76 -4.46 3.02 -0.01 1.06 -2.38
3 H Wofford (19-13, 95.0) 78-88 -4.89 2.59 -0.01 1.06 -2.61
3 A Chattanooga (13-19, 94.2) 75-64 -5.71 1.77 0.01 1.06 3.78
3 H Furman (23-13, 95.4) 73-78 -4.53 2.95 -0.01 1.06 -2.42
3 A We Carolina (15-17, 94.8) 88-74 -5.06 2.41 0.01 1.06 5.16
3 A The Citadel (11-22, 93.9) 78-64 -5.97 1.50 0.01 1.06 3.22
3 A Mercer (19-13, 95.2) 69-49 -4.70 2.77 0.01 1.06 5.93
3 A Wofford (19-13, 95.0) 97-80 -4.89 2.59 0.01 1.06 5.54
3 A Ea Tenn St (23-11, 95.4) 82-72 -4.46 3.02 0.01 1.06 6.45
3 A The Citadel (11-22, 93.9) 78-75 -5.97 1.50 0.01 1.06 3.22
3 H Mercer (19-13, 95.2) 86-89 -4.70 2.77 -0.01 1.06 -2.51
3 A VMI ( 6-26, 93.1) 80-61 -6.82 1.00 0.01 1.06 2.15
3 A UNCG (14-20, 94.5) 87-78 -5.38 2.10 0.01 1.06 4.49
3 H Furman (23-13, 95.4) 81-86 -4.53 2.95 -0.01 1.06 -2.42
------
39.33
|
winning pts = 71.0631 losing points = -31.7378
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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