San Diego St
W-L: (22-11) PR = 97.3872Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 1104 A LB St BW (11-22, 94.7) 77-45 1109 A Idaho St BS (14-20, 94.7) 73-57 1118 H Troy SB (23-11, 96.0) 71-** 1124 H Michigan B10 (37- 3, 99.8) 54-94 1125 A Oregon B10 (12-20, 96.6) 97-80 1126 H Baylor B12 (17-17, 97.2) 81-91 1203 A Utah Valley WAC U (25- 8, 96.6) 77-66 1210 A Lamar SL L (12-19, 94.4) 89-71 1217 A Air Force MW ( 3-29, 94.0) 81-58 1220 H Arizona B12 (36- 3, 99.9) 45-68 1222 A WHITT **-59 1230 A San Jose St MW ( 9-24, 95.3) 81-68 103 A Boise St MW (20-12, 97.0) **-66 106 A Nevada MW (24-13, 96.9) 73-68 110 A Fresno St MW (13-19, 95.7) 71-52 114 A Wyoming MW (18-15, 96.3) 74-57 117 A New Mexico MW (26-11, 97.2) 83-79 121 H Grand Canyon MW (20-12, 96.7) 69-70 124 A UNLV MW (18-17, 96.4) 82-71 128 A Colorado St MW (21-13, 96.7) 73-50 131 H Utah State MW (29- 7, 97.9) 66-71 203 A Wyoming MW (18-15, 96.3) 72-63 207 A Air Force MW ( 3-29, 94.0) 88-54 214 A Nevada MW (24-13, 96.9) 71-57 217 H Grand Canyon MW (20-12, 96.7) 63-73 221 H Colorado St MW (21-13, 96.7) 74-83 225 A Utah State MW (29- 7, 97.9) 89-72 228 H New Mexico MW (26-11, 97.2) 76-81 303 H Boise St MW (20-12, 97.0) 77-86 306 A UNLV MW (18-17, 96.4) 89-86 312 A Colorado St MW (21-13, 96.7) 71-62 314 A New Mexico MW (26-11, 97.2) 64-62 314 H Utah State MW (29- 7, 97.9) 62-73
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1104 A LB St 77-45 32 3 0.00
1109 A Idaho St 73-57 16 3 0.00
1118 H Troy 71-** -37 1 - -3.39
1124 H Michigan 54-94 -40 -2 0.00
1125 A Oregon 97-80 17 1 1.19
1126 H Baylor 81-91 -10 0 - -2.23
1203 A Utah Valley 77-66 11 1 1.19
1210 A Lamar 89-71 18 3 0.00
1217 A Air Force 81-58 23 3 0.00
1220 H Arizona 45-68 -23 -3 0.00
1230 A San Jose St 81-68 13 2 0.00
103 A Boise St **-66 44 0 1.67
106 A Nevada 73-68 5 0 1.56
110 A Fresno St 71-52 19 2 0.36
114 A Wyoming 74-57 17 1 0.90
117 A New Mexico 83-79 4 0 1.85
121 H Grand Canyon 69-70 -1 1 -1.69
124 A UNLV 82-71 11 1 1.02
128 A Colorado St 73-50 23 1 1.31
131 H Utah State 66-71 -5 0 -1.50
203 A Wyoming 72-63 9 1 0.90
207 A Air Force 88-54 34 3 0.00
214 A Nevada 71-57 14 0 1.56
217 H Grand Canyon 63-73 -10 1 - -2.69
221 H Colorado St 74-83 -9 1 - -2.71
225 A Utah State 89-72 17 -1 + 2.52
228 H New Mexico 76-81 -5 0 - -2.17
303 H Boise St 77-86 -9 0 - -2.35
306 A UNLV 89-86 3 1 1.02
312 A Colorado St 71-62 9 1 1.31
314 A New Mexico 64-62 2 0 1.85
314 H Utah State 62-73 -11 0 -1.50
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1118 H Troy 71-** -37 1 - -3.39 1126 H Baylor 81-91 -10 0 - -2.23 217 H Grand Canyon 63-73 -10 1 - -2.69 221 H Colorado St 74-83 -9 1 - -2.71 228 H New Mexico 76-81 -5 0 - -2.17 303 H Boise St 77-86 -9 0 - -2.35 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 225 A Utah State 89-72 17 -1 + 2.52 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 33.01
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A LB St (11-22, 94.7) 77-45 -5.18 2.30 0.01 1.03 4.77
3 A Idaho St (14-20, 94.7) 73-57 -5.24 2.24 0.01 1.03 4.64
3 H Troy (23-11, 96.0) 71-** -3.89 3.59 -0.01 1.03 -2.01
3 H Michigan (37- 3, 99.8) 54-94 -0.14 7.34 -0.01 1.03 -0.08
3 A Oregon (12-20, 96.6) 97-80 -3.33 4.15 0.01 1.03 8.58
3 H Baylor (17-17, 97.2) 81-91 -2.74 4.74 -0.01 1.03 -1.42
3 A Utah Valley (25- 8, 96.6) 77-66 -3.34 4.14 0.01 1.03 8.56
3 A Lamar (12-19, 94.4) 89-71 -5.45 2.02 0.01 1.03 4.20
3 A Air Force ( 3-29, 94.0) 81-58 -5.87 1.61 0.01 1.03 3.34
3 H Arizona (36- 3, 99.9) 45-68 -0.00 7.48 -0.01 1.03 -0.01
3 A San Jose St ( 9-24, 95.3) 81-68 -4.59 2.88 0.01 1.03 5.97
3 A Boise St (20-12, 97.0) **-66 -2.85 4.62 0.01 1.03 9.56
3 A Nevada (24-13, 96.9) 73-68 -2.96 4.51 0.01 1.03 9.33
3 A Fresno St (13-19, 95.7) 71-52 -4.16 3.32 0.01 1.03 6.86
3 A Wyoming (18-15, 96.3) 74-57 -3.63 3.85 0.01 1.03 7.97
3 A New Mexico (26-11, 97.2) 83-79 -2.67 4.81 0.01 1.03 9.94
3 H Grand Canyon (20-12, 96.7) 69-70 -3.19 4.29 -0.01 1.03 -1.65
3 A UNLV (18-17, 96.4) 82-71 -3.50 3.97 0.01 1.03 8.22
3 A Colorado St (21-13, 96.7) 73-50 -3.21 4.26 0.01 1.03 8.82
3 H Utah State (29- 7, 97.9) 66-71 -2.00 5.47 -0.01 1.03 -1.04
3 A Wyoming (18-15, 96.3) 72-63 -3.63 3.85 0.01 1.03 7.97
3 A Air Force ( 3-29, 94.0) 88-54 -5.87 1.61 0.01 1.03 3.34
3 A Nevada (24-13, 96.9) 71-57 -2.96 4.51 0.01 1.03 9.33
3 H Grand Canyon (20-12, 96.7) 63-73 -3.19 4.29 -0.01 1.03 -1.65
3 H Colorado St (21-13, 96.7) 74-83 -3.21 4.26 -0.01 1.03 -1.66
3 A Utah State (29- 7, 97.9) 89-72 -2.00 5.47 0.01 1.03 11.31
3 H New Mexico (26-11, 97.2) 76-81 -2.67 4.81 -0.01 1.03 -1.38
3 H Boise St (20-12, 97.0) 77-86 -2.85 4.62 -0.01 1.03 -1.48
3 A UNLV (18-17, 96.4) 89-86 -3.50 3.97 0.01 1.03 8.22
3 A Colorado St (21-13, 96.7) 71-62 -3.21 4.26 0.01 1.03 8.82
3 A New Mexico (26-11, 97.2) 64-62 -2.67 4.81 0.01 1.03 9.94
3 H Utah State (29- 7, 97.9) 62-73 -2.00 5.47 -0.01 1.03 -1.04
------
146.28
|
winning pts = 159.6868 losing points = -13.4083
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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