St Francis
W-L: ( 7-24) PR = 92.9350Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 1103 H Oklahoma SEC O (21-16, 97.5) 66-** 1106 H TCU B12 (24-12, 98.0) 63-** 1111 H Mt St Marys MAAC (14-17, 94.5) 66-74 1118 H Lehigh PAT L (19-17, 94.4) 62-79 1124 H Belmont MV (26- 6, 96.7) 57-94 1126 H Troy SB (23-11, 96.0) 64-74 1129 A FRNU- 85-60 1201 H Xavier BE (15-18, 97.0) 74-96 1203 A PSUSH **-41 1207 H Radford BSO (16-17, 94.5) 56-89 1214 H Temple AME (17-16, 95.7) 67-95 1217 H Florida SEC (27- 8, 98.8) 61-** 1220 H Robert Morris HL (22-11, 95.8) 70-79 102 H Le Moyne NE L (15-17, 94.1) 58-84 104 A FDU NE (11-21, 93.3) 85-82 108 A Wagner NE W (14-17, 93.9) 71-69 110 H LIU NE (24-11, 95.2) 63-67 117 H Ce Connecticut NE C (18-13, 94.3) 90-98 119 A Stonehill NE S (12-21, 93.4) 63-61 123 A Chicago St NE C ( 7-25, 93.2) 81-60 131 H New Haven NE N (14-17, 93.8) 69-81 205 H Mercyhurst NE M (17-18, 94.0) 89-98 207 H Le Moyne NE L (15-17, 94.1) 84-86 209 H Chicago St NE C ( 7-25, 93.2) 75-80 212 H FDU NE (11-21, 93.3) 59-66 214 H Mercyhurst NE M (17-18, 94.0) 79-94 219 H LIU NE (24-11, 95.2) 89-91 221 H Wagner NE W (14-17, 93.9) 56-65 224 A New Haven NE N (14-17, 93.8) 73-67 226 H Stonehill NE S (12-21, 93.4) 77-** 228 H Ce Connecticut NE C (18-13, 94.3) 64-69
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1103 H Oklahoma 66-** -36 -5 0.00
1106 H TCU 63-** -41 -5 0.00
1111 H Mt St Marys 66-74 -8 -2 -0.40
1118 H Lehigh 62-79 -17 -1 -0.56
1124 H Belmont 57-94 -37 -4 0.00
1126 H Troy 64-74 -10 -3 0.00
1201 H Xavier 74-96 -22 -4 0.00
1207 H Radford 56-89 -33 -2 -0.42
1214 H Temple 67-95 -28 -3 0.00
1217 H Florida 61-** -41 -6 0.00
1220 H Robert Morris 70-79 -9 -3 0.00
102 H Le Moyne 58-84 -26 -1 -0.88
104 A FDU 85-82 3 0 + 2.41
108 A Wagner 71-69 2 -1 + 2.93
110 H LIU 63-67 -4 -2 0.00
117 H Ce Connecticut 90-98 -8 -1 -0.60
119 A Stonehill 63-61 2 0 + 2.47
123 A Chicago St 81-60 21 0 + 2.30
131 H New Haven 69-81 -12 -1 -1.12
205 H Mercyhurst 89-98 -9 -1 -0.93
207 H Le Moyne 84-86 -2 -1 -0.88
209 H Chicago St 75-80 -5 0 -1.72
212 H FDU 59-66 -7 0 -1.61
214 H Mercyhurst 79-94 -15 -1 -0.93
219 H LIU 89-91 -2 -2 0.00
221 H Wagner 56-65 -9 -1 -1.09
224 A New Haven 73-67 6 -1 + 2.90
226 H Stonehill 77-** -26 0 -1.55
228 H Ce Connecticut 64-69 -5 -1 -0.60
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 104 A FDU 85-82 3 0 + 2.41 108 A Wagner 71-69 2 -1 + 2.93 119 A Stonehill 63-61 2 0 + 2.47 123 A Chicago St 81-60 21 0 + 2.30 224 A New Haven 73-67 6 -1 + 2.90 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 33.01
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H Oklahoma (21-16, 97.5) 66-** -2.44 5.04 -0.01 1.14 -1.39
3 H TCU (24-12, 98.0) 63-** -1.89 5.58 -0.01 1.14 -1.08
3 H Mt St Marys (14-17, 94.5) 66-74 -5.35 2.12 -0.01 1.14 -3.05
3 H Lehigh (19-17, 94.4) 62-79 -5.52 1.96 -0.01 1.14 -3.15
3 H Belmont (26- 6, 96.7) 57-94 -3.15 4.32 -0.01 1.14 -1.80
3 H Troy (23-11, 96.0) 64-74 -3.89 3.59 -0.01 1.14 -2.22
3 H Xavier (15-18, 97.0) 74-96 -2.95 4.53 -0.01 1.14 -1.68
3 H Radford (16-17, 94.5) 56-89 -5.37 2.10 -0.01 1.14 -3.06
3 H Temple (17-16, 95.7) 67-95 -4.24 3.24 -0.01 1.14 -2.42
3 H Florida (27- 8, 98.8) 61-** -1.07 6.40 -0.01 1.14 -0.62
3 H Robert Morris (22-11, 95.8) 70-79 -4.08 3.39 -0.01 1.14 -2.33
3 H Le Moyne (15-17, 94.1) 58-84 -5.83 1.64 -0.01 1.14 -3.32
3 A FDU (11-21, 93.3) 85-82 -6.56 1.00 0.01 1.14 2.30
3 A Wagner (14-17, 93.9) 71-69 -6.04 1.44 0.01 1.14 3.29
3 H LIU (24-11, 95.2) 63-67 -4.70 2.78 -0.01 1.14 -2.68
3 H Ce Connecticut (18-13, 94.3) 90-98 -5.55 1.92 -0.01 1.14 -3.17
3 A Stonehill (12-21, 93.4) 63-61 -6.50 1.00 0.01 1.14 2.30
3 A Chicago St ( 7-25, 93.2) 81-60 -6.68 1.00 0.01 1.14 2.30
3 H New Haven (14-17, 93.8) 69-81 -6.08 1.40 -0.01 1.14 -3.46
3 H Mercyhurst (17-18, 94.0) 89-98 -5.89 1.59 -0.01 1.14 -3.36
3 H Le Moyne (15-17, 94.1) 84-86 -5.83 1.64 -0.01 1.14 -3.32
3 H Chicago St ( 7-25, 93.2) 75-80 -6.68 1.00 -0.01 1.14 -3.81
3 H FDU (11-21, 93.3) 59-66 -6.56 1.00 -0.01 1.14 -3.74
3 H Mercyhurst (17-18, 94.0) 79-94 -5.89 1.59 -0.01 1.14 -3.36
3 H LIU (24-11, 95.2) 89-91 -4.70 2.78 -0.01 1.14 -2.68
3 H Wagner (14-17, 93.9) 56-65 -6.04 1.44 -0.01 1.14 -3.44
3 A New Haven (14-17, 93.8) 73-67 -6.08 1.40 0.01 1.14 3.21
3 H Stonehill (12-21, 93.4) 77-** -6.50 1.00 -0.01 1.14 -3.71
3 H Ce Connecticut (18-13, 94.3) 64-69 -5.55 1.92 -0.01 1.14 -3.17
------
-52.63
|
winning pts = 13.3959 losing points = -66.0268
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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