Siena 
W-L: (23-12) PR = 95.3018
Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score
1103 A Bryant AE (10-25, 93.3) 82-66
1107 A Brown IVY ( 9-18, 94.0) 62-46
1112 H St. Bonnies A10 (17-17, 95.8) 66-75
1117 H Colgate PAT (18-15, 94.7) 69-72
1121 A UAlbany AE (11-21, 93.5) 73-63
1124 A Holy Cross PAT H (11-22, 93.6) 73-69
1128 A Longwood BSO (16-16, 94.3) 70-63
1129 A American PAT (16-17, 94.5) 59-55
1130 A Maine AE ( 8-24, 93.2) 64-60
1205 A Niagara MAAC ( 8-22, 93.7) 83-54
1207 A Canisius MAAC (10-21, 93.9) 74-52
1217 H Vermont AE (22-12, 94.8) 69-83
1222 H Indiana B10 (18-14, 97.3) 60-81
102 H Iona MAAC (19-13, 95.1) 72-75
104 A Rider MAAC ( 4-25, 93.2) 74-65
109 H Merrimack MAAC (22-12, 95.5) 59-63
111 A Mt St Marys MAAC (14-17, 94.5) 67-50
114 H Sacred Heart MAAC (14-19, 94.4) 80-86
117 A Manhattan MAAC (12-21, 94.1) 74-59
119 A Fairfield MAAC (22-13, 95.1) 85-77
122 A Marist MAAC (19-12, 95.2) 69-50
130 A Niagara MAAC ( 8-22, 93.7) 82-79
201 A Canisius MAAC (10-21, 93.9) 78-63
205 A Iona MAAC (19-13, 95.1) 79-72
207 H St Peters MAAC (17-12, 95.1) 65-70
213 H Quinnipiac MAAC (19-13, 95.2) 62-74
215 A Marist MAAC (19-12, 95.2) 67-63
220 H Merrimack MAAC (22-12, 95.5) 72-79
222 A St Peters MAAC (17-12, 95.1) 72-63
227 H Fairfield MAAC (22-13, 95.1) 58-72
301 A Rider MAAC ( 4-25, 93.2) 76-61
307 A Mt St Marys MAAC (14-17, 94.5) 63-58
308 A Fairfield MAAC (22-13, 95.1) 76-61
310 A Merrimack MAAC (22-12, 95.5) 64-54
319 H Duke ACC (35- 3, 99.7) 65-71
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1103 A Bryant 82-66 16 2 0.04
1107 A Brown 62-46 16 1 0.67
1112 H St. Bonnies 66-75 -9 0 -1.54
1117 H Colgate 69-72 -3 1 - -2.61
1121 A UAlbany 73-63 10 2 0.23
1124 A Holy Cross 73-69 4 2 0.33
1128 A Longwood 70-63 7 1 0.98
1129 A American 59-55 4 1 1.19
1130 A Maine 64-60 4 2 0.00
1205 A Niagara 83-54 29 2 0.41
1207 A Canisius 74-52 22 1 0.66
1217 H Vermont 69-83 -14 1 - -2.53
1222 H Indiana 60-81 -21 -2 0.00
102 H Iona 72-75 -3 0 - -2.18
104 A Rider 74-65 9 2 0.00
109 H Merrimack 59-63 -4 0 -1.81
111 A Mt St Marys 67-50 17 1 1.25
114 H Sacred Heart 80-86 -6 1 - -2.95
117 A Manhattan 74-59 15 1 0.80
119 A Fairfield 85-77 8 0 1.76
122 A Marist 69-50 19 0 1.88
130 A Niagara 82-79 3 2 0.41
201 A Canisius 78-63 15 1 0.66
205 A Iona 79-72 7 0 1.84
207 H St Peters 65-70 -5 0 - -2.18
213 H Quinnipiac 62-74 -12 0 - -2.15
215 A Marist 67-63 4 0 1.88
220 H Merrimack 72-79 -7 0 -1.81
222 A St Peters 72-63 9 0 1.84
227 H Fairfield 58-72 -14 0 - -2.26
301 A Rider 76-61 15 2 0.00
307 A Mt St Marys 63-58 5 1 1.25
308 A Fairfield 76-61 15 0 1.76
310 A Merrimack 64-54 10 0 + 2.21
319 H Duke 65-71 -6 -4 0.00
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1117 H Colgate 69-72 -3 1 - -2.61
1217 H Vermont 69-83 -14 1 - -2.53
102 H Iona 72-75 -3 0 - -2.18
114 H Sacred Heart 80-86 -6 1 - -2.95
207 H St Peters 65-70 -5 0 - -2.18
213 H Quinnipiac 62-74 -12 0 - -2.15
227 H Fairfield 58-72 -14 0 - -2.26
|
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
310 A Merrimack 64-54 10 0 + 2.21
|

division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 33.01
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A Bryant (10-25, 93.3) 82-66 -6.57 1.00 0.01 0.94 1.91
3 A Brown ( 9-18, 94.0) 62-46 -5.94 1.54 0.01 0.94 2.92
3 H St. Bonnies (17-17, 95.8) 66-75 -4.13 3.35 -0.01 0.94 -1.95
3 H Colgate (18-15, 94.7) 69-72 -5.20 2.28 -0.01 0.94 -2.46
3 A UAlbany (11-21, 93.5) 73-63 -6.38 1.10 0.01 0.94 2.09
3 A Holy Cross (11-22, 93.6) 73-69 -6.28 1.20 0.01 0.94 2.28
3 A Longwood (16-16, 94.3) 70-63 -5.63 1.85 0.01 0.94 3.50
3 A American (16-17, 94.5) 59-55 -5.42 2.06 0.01 0.94 3.90
3 A Maine ( 8-24, 93.2) 64-60 -6.72 1.00 0.01 0.94 1.91
3 A Niagara ( 8-22, 93.7) 83-54 -6.20 1.28 0.01 0.94 2.43
3 A Canisius (10-21, 93.9) 74-52 -5.95 1.53 0.01 0.94 2.90
3 H Vermont (22-12, 94.8) 69-83 -5.12 2.36 -0.01 0.94 -2.42
3 H Indiana (18-14, 97.3) 60-81 -2.58 4.89 -0.01 0.94 -1.22
3 H Iona (19-13, 95.1) 72-75 -4.77 2.71 -0.01 0.94 -2.25
3 A Rider ( 4-25, 93.2) 74-65 -6.73 1.00 0.01 0.94 1.91
3 H Merrimack (22-12, 95.5) 59-63 -4.40 3.07 -0.01 0.94 -2.08
3 A Mt St Marys (14-17, 94.5) 67-50 -5.35 2.12 0.01 0.94 4.02
3 H Sacred Heart (14-19, 94.4) 80-86 -5.54 1.94 -0.01 0.94 -2.62
3 A Manhattan (12-21, 94.1) 74-59 -5.81 1.67 0.01 0.94 3.17
3 A Fairfield (22-13, 95.1) 85-77 -4.85 2.63 0.01 0.94 4.98
3 A Marist (19-12, 95.2) 69-50 -4.73 2.75 0.01 0.94 5.21
3 A Niagara ( 8-22, 93.7) 82-79 -6.20 1.28 0.01 0.94 2.43
3 A Canisius (10-21, 93.9) 78-63 -5.95 1.53 0.01 0.94 2.90
3 A Iona (19-13, 95.1) 79-72 -4.77 2.71 0.01 0.94 5.13
3 H St Peters (17-12, 95.1) 65-70 -4.77 2.71 -0.01 0.94 -2.25
3 H Quinnipiac (19-13, 95.2) 62-74 -4.74 2.74 -0.01 0.94 -2.24
3 A Marist (19-12, 95.2) 67-63 -4.73 2.75 0.01 0.94 5.21
3 H Merrimack (22-12, 95.5) 72-79 -4.40 3.07 -0.01 0.94 -2.08
3 A St Peters (17-12, 95.1) 72-63 -4.77 2.71 0.01 0.94 5.12
3 H Fairfield (22-13, 95.1) 58-72 -4.85 2.63 -0.01 0.94 -2.29
3 A Rider ( 4-25, 93.2) 76-61 -6.73 1.00 0.01 0.94 1.91
3 A Mt St Marys (14-17, 94.5) 63-58 -5.35 2.12 0.01 0.94 4.02
3 A Fairfield (22-13, 95.1) 76-61 -4.85 2.63 0.01 0.94 4.98
3 A Merrimack (22-12, 95.5) 64-54 -4.40 3.07 0.01 0.94 5.82
3 H Duke (35- 3, 99.7) 65-71 -0.17 7.30 -0.01 0.94 -0.09
------
56.64
|
winning pts = 80.5962 losing points = -23.9513
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction. ------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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