So Illinois
W-L: (16-16) PR = 95.4848Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 1103 A MCKEN 83-42 1107 A Kansas City SM ( 4-27, 92.9) **-78 1112 H Nevada MW (24-13, 96.9) 81-86 1117 H No Dakota St SM (26- 8, 96.1) 85-92 1123 A Delaware CUSA (10-21, 94.6) 79-59 1124 H UAB AME (20-12, 96.2) 73-81 1126 H Memphis AME (13-19, 95.9) 58-74 1129 A Little Rock OV (13-20, 94.0) 74-65 1203 A High Point BSO (30- 6, 96.3) 86-84 1210 A UT Martin OV (22-12, 95.1) 83-54 1213 H Richmond A10 (15-17, 95.5) 84-93 1218 H Illinois St MV (24-13, 96.3) 68-75 1218 H Illinois St MV (24-13, 96.3) 68-75 1221 H Bradley MV (23-12, 96.1) 69-73 1229 H Murray St MV (21-13, 96.0) 81-84 101 A Valparaiso MV (18-15, 95.6) 75-70 104 A Belmont MV (26- 6, 96.7) 68-67 107 H Ill-Chicago MV (17-17, 95.6) 57-70 114 H Drake MV (14-20, 95.1) 73-76 121 H Valparaiso MV (18-15, 95.6) 63-69 128 A No Iowa MV (23-13, 96.2) 65-50 131 H Ill-Chicago MV (17-17, 95.6) 66-68 203 A Illinois St MV (24-13, 96.3) 54-50 206 H Murray St MV (21-13, 96.0) 81-91 209 A Indiana St MV (11-22, 94.7) 80-65 212 A Evansville MV ( 7-25, 94.5) 86-60 215 H Bradley MV (23-12, 96.1) 60-70 218 A Drake MV (14-20, 95.1) 66-61 221 A No Iowa MV (23-13, 96.2) 59-57 225 A Indiana St MV (11-22, 94.7) 66-55 301 A Evansville MV ( 7-25, 94.5) 81-67 305 H Drake MV (14-20, 95.1) 63-67
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1107 A Kansas City **-78 23 3 0.00
1112 H Nevada 81-86 -5 -1 -0.56
1117 H No Dakota St 85-92 -7 -1 -1.42
1123 A Delaware 79-59 20 1 1.17
1124 H UAB 73-81 -8 -1 -1.26
1126 H Memphis 58-74 -16 0 -1.57
1129 A Little Rock 74-65 9 1 0.55
1203 A High Point 86-84 2 -1 + 2.87
1210 A UT Martin 83-54 29 0 1.59
1213 H Richmond 84-93 -9 0 -1.98
1218 H Illinois St 68-75 -7 -1 -1.17
1218 H Illinois St 68-75 -7 -1 -1.17
1221 H Bradley 69-73 -4 -1 -1.38
1229 H Murray St 81-84 -3 -1 -1.46
101 A Valparaiso 75-70 5 0 + 2.17
104 A Belmont 68-67 1 -1 + 2.27
107 H Ill-Chicago 57-70 -13 0 -1.92
114 H Drake 73-76 -3 0 - -2.35
121 H Valparaiso 63-69 -6 0 -1.85
128 A No Iowa 65-50 15 -1 + 2.77
131 H Ill-Chicago 66-68 -2 0 -1.92
203 A Illinois St 54-50 4 -1 + 2.85
206 H Murray St 81-91 -10 -1 -1.46
209 A Indiana St 80-65 15 1 1.24
212 A Evansville 86-60 26 1 1.03
215 H Bradley 60-70 -10 -1 -1.38
218 A Drake 66-61 5 0 1.67
221 A No Iowa 59-57 2 -1 + 2.77
225 A Indiana St 66-55 11 1 1.24
301 A Evansville 81-67 14 1 1.03
305 H Drake 63-67 -4 0 - -2.35
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 114 H Drake 73-76 -3 0 - -2.35 305 H Drake 63-67 -4 0 - -2.35 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1203 A High Point 86-84 2 -1 + 2.87 101 A Valparaiso 75-70 5 0 + 2.17 104 A Belmont 68-67 1 -1 + 2.27 128 A No Iowa 65-50 15 -1 + 2.77 203 A Illinois St 54-50 4 -1 + 2.85 221 A No Iowa 59-57 2 -1 + 2.77 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 33.01
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A Kansas City ( 4-27, 92.9) **-78 -6.96 1.00 0.01 1.06 2.15
3 H Nevada (24-13, 96.9) 81-86 -2.96 4.51 -0.01 1.06 -1.58
3 H No Dakota St (26- 8, 96.1) 85-92 -3.82 3.65 -0.01 1.06 -2.04
3 A Delaware (10-21, 94.6) 79-59 -5.25 2.22 0.01 1.06 4.76
3 H UAB (20-12, 96.2) 73-81 -3.66 3.81 -0.01 1.06 -1.96
3 H Memphis (13-19, 95.9) 58-74 -3.98 3.50 -0.01 1.06 -2.12
3 A Little Rock (13-20, 94.0) 74-65 -5.88 1.60 0.01 1.06 3.42
3 A High Point (30- 6, 96.3) 86-84 -3.56 3.92 0.01 1.06 8.37
3 A UT Martin (22-12, 95.1) 83-54 -4.84 2.64 0.01 1.06 5.65
3 H Richmond (15-17, 95.5) 84-93 -4.38 3.09 -0.01 1.06 -2.34
3 H Illinois St (24-13, 96.3) 68-75 -3.58 3.90 -0.01 1.06 -1.91
3 H Illinois St (24-13, 96.3) 68-75 -3.58 3.90 -0.01 1.06 -1.91
3 H Bradley (23-12, 96.1) 69-73 -3.79 3.69 -0.01 1.06 -2.02
3 H Murray St (21-13, 96.0) 81-84 -3.87 3.61 -0.01 1.06 -2.07
3 A Valparaiso (18-15, 95.6) 75-70 -4.26 3.22 0.01 1.06 6.87
3 A Belmont (26- 6, 96.7) 68-67 -3.15 4.32 0.01 1.06 9.23
3 H Ill-Chicago (17-17, 95.6) 57-70 -4.33 3.15 -0.01 1.06 -2.31
3 H Drake (14-20, 95.1) 73-76 -4.76 2.72 -0.01 1.06 -2.54
3 H Valparaiso (18-15, 95.6) 63-69 -4.26 3.22 -0.01 1.06 -2.27
3 A No Iowa (23-13, 96.2) 65-50 -3.66 3.82 0.01 1.06 8.15
3 H Ill-Chicago (17-17, 95.6) 66-68 -4.33 3.15 -0.01 1.06 -2.31
3 A Illinois St (24-13, 96.3) 54-50 -3.58 3.90 0.01 1.06 8.33
3 H Murray St (21-13, 96.0) 81-91 -3.87 3.61 -0.01 1.06 -2.07
3 A Indiana St (11-22, 94.7) 80-65 -5.18 2.30 0.01 1.06 4.91
3 A Evansville ( 7-25, 94.5) 86-60 -5.39 2.09 0.01 1.06 4.46
3 H Bradley (23-12, 96.1) 60-70 -3.79 3.69 -0.01 1.06 -2.02
3 A Drake (14-20, 95.1) 66-61 -4.76 2.72 0.01 1.06 5.81
3 A No Iowa (23-13, 96.2) 59-57 -3.66 3.82 0.01 1.06 8.15
3 A Indiana St (11-22, 94.7) 66-55 -5.18 2.30 0.01 1.06 4.91
3 A Evansville ( 7-25, 94.5) 81-67 -5.39 2.09 0.01 1.06 4.46
3 H Drake (14-20, 95.1) 63-67 -4.76 2.72 -0.01 1.06 -2.54
------
55.63
|
winning pts = 89.6349 losing points = -34.0024
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------