SMU
W-L: (20-14) PR = 97.3707Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 1103 A Tarleton St WAC T (13-18, 95.2) 96-76 1106 A TX A&M-CC SL A (18-15, 95.2) 69-58 1111 A Murray St MV (21-13, 96.0) **-91 1115 A Butler BE (16-16, 96.9) 87-85 1118 A AK-Pine Bl SWAC U (12-20, 94.2) **-60 1121 A Arkansas St SB A (20-12, 95.7) **-69 1124 A Radford BSO (16-17, 94.5) 89-72 1128 A Miss St SEC M (13-19, 96.7) 87-81 1203 H Vanderbilt SEC V (27- 9, 98.5) 69-88 1207 A Texas A&M SEC T (22-12, 97.8) 93-80 1213 H LSU SEC (15-17, 96.8) 77-89 1221 A Ce Arkansas AS (22-12, 95.5) 99-82 1228 A CS Fullerton BW (16-17, 95.6) **-63 103 A No Carolina ACC (24- 9, 98.2) 97-83 107 H Clemson ACC (24-11, 97.8) 70-74 110 H Duke ACC (35- 3, 99.7) 75-82 114 A Va Tech ACC (19-13, 97.4) 77-76 117 H Virginia ACC (30- 6, 98.6) 68-72 120 A Wake Forest ACC (18-17, 97.0) 91-79 124 A Florida St ACC (18-15, 97.2) 83-80 131 H Louisville ACC (24-11, 98.0) 74-88 203 H NC State ACC (20-14, 97.6) 83-84 207 A Pittsburgh ACC (13-20, 96.4) 86-67 210 A Notre D (13-18, 96.6) 89-81 214 H Syracuse ACC (15-17, 96.8) 78-79 217 A Louisville ACC (24-11, 98.0) 95-85 221 A Boston Col ACC (11-20, 95.7) 94-70 225 H California ACC (22-12, 97.1) 69-73 228 H Stanford ACC (20-13, 97.2) 75-95 304 H Miami (Fl) ACC (26- 9, 98.0) 69-77 307 H Florida St ACC (18-15, 97.2) 78-91 310 A Syracuse ACC (15-17, 96.8) 86-69 311 H Louisville ACC (24-11, 98.0) 58-62 318 H Miami (OH) MA (30- 4, 97.4) 79-89
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1103 A Tarleton St 96-76 20 2 0.00
1106 A TX A&M-CC 69-58 11 2 0.00
1111 A Murray St **-91 11 1 0.67
1115 A Butler 87-85 2 0 1.58
1118 A AK-Pine Bl **-60 46 3 0.00
1121 A Arkansas St **-69 31 2 0.38
1124 A Radford 89-72 17 3 0.00
1128 A Miss St 87-81 6 1 1.34
1203 H Vanderbilt 69-88 -19 -1 -0.85
1207 A Texas A&M 93-80 13 0 + 2.40
1213 H LSU 77-89 -12 1 - -2.55
1221 A Ce Arkansas 99-82 17 2 0.12
1228 A CS Fullerton **-63 47 2 0.24
103 A No Carolina 97-83 14 -1 + 2.83
107 H Clemson 70-74 -4 0 -1.55
110 H Duke 75-82 -7 -2 0.00
114 A Va Tech 77-76 1 0 1.01
117 H Virginia 68-72 -4 -1 -0.74
120 A Wake Forest 91-79 12 0 1.69
124 A Florida St 83-80 3 0 1.86
131 H Louisville 74-88 -14 -1 -1.35
203 H NC State 83-84 -1 0 -0.78
207 A Pittsburgh 86-67 19 1 1.02
210 A Notre D 89-81 8 1 1.22
214 H Syracuse 78-79 -1 1 -1.61
217 A Louisville 95-85 10 -1 + 2.67
221 A Boston Col 94-70 24 2 0.35
225 H California 69-73 -4 0 - -2.24
228 H Stanford 75-95 -20 0 - -2.19
304 H Miami (Fl) 69-77 -8 -1 -1.41
307 H Florida St 78-91 -13 0 - -2.16
310 A Syracuse 86-69 17 1 1.41
311 H Louisville 58-62 -4 -1 -1.35
318 H Miami (OH) 79-89 -10 0 -1.98
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1213 H LSU 77-89 -12 1 - -2.55 225 H California 69-73 -4 0 - -2.24 228 H Stanford 75-95 -20 0 - -2.19 307 H Florida St 78-91 -13 0 - -2.16 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1207 A Texas A&M 93-80 13 0 + 2.40 103 A No Carolina 97-83 14 -1 + 2.83 217 A Louisville 95-85 10 -1 + 2.67 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 33.01
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A Tarleton St (13-18, 95.2) 96-76 -4.72 2.76 0.01 0.97 5.38
3 A TX A&M-CC (18-15, 95.2) 69-58 -4.66 2.82 0.01 0.97 5.49
3 A Murray St (21-13, 96.0) **-91 -3.87 3.61 0.01 0.97 7.03
3 A Butler (16-16, 96.9) 87-85 -2.96 4.52 0.01 0.97 8.79
3 A AK-Pine Bl (12-20, 94.2) **-60 -5.70 1.78 0.01 0.97 3.47
3 A Arkansas St (20-12, 95.7) **-69 -4.16 3.32 0.01 0.97 6.46
3 A Radford (16-17, 94.5) 89-72 -5.37 2.10 0.01 0.97 4.10
3 A Miss St (13-19, 96.7) 87-81 -3.20 4.28 0.01 0.97 8.33
3 H Vanderbilt (27- 9, 98.5) 69-88 -1.37 6.11 -0.01 0.97 -0.67
3 A Texas A&M (22-12, 97.8) 93-80 -2.13 5.34 0.01 0.97 10.39
3 H LSU (15-17, 96.8) 77-89 -3.07 4.41 -0.01 0.97 -1.50
3 A Ce Arkansas (22-12, 95.5) 99-82 -4.42 3.06 0.01 0.97 5.96
3 A CS Fullerton (16-17, 95.6) **-63 -4.30 3.18 0.01 0.97 6.19
3 A No Carolina (24- 9, 98.2) 97-83 -1.71 5.77 0.01 0.97 11.22
3 H Clemson (24-11, 97.8) 70-74 -2.07 5.41 -0.01 0.97 -1.01
3 H Duke (35- 3, 99.7) 75-82 -0.17 7.30 -0.01 0.97 -0.09
3 A Va Tech (19-13, 97.4) 77-76 -2.53 4.95 0.01 0.97 9.63
3 H Virginia (30- 6, 98.6) 68-72 -1.26 6.21 -0.01 0.97 -0.62
3 A Wake Forest (18-17, 97.0) 91-79 -2.85 4.63 0.01 0.97 9.00
3 A Florida St (18-15, 97.2) 83-80 -2.68 4.79 0.01 0.97 9.33
3 H Louisville (24-11, 98.0) 74-88 -1.87 5.61 -0.01 0.97 -0.91
3 H NC State (20-14, 97.6) 83-84 -2.30 5.17 -0.01 0.97 -1.12
3 A Pittsburgh (13-20, 96.4) 86-67 -3.52 3.96 0.01 0.97 7.71
3 A Notre D (13-18, 96.6) 89-81 -3.32 4.16 0.01 0.97 8.10
3 H Syracuse (15-17, 96.8) 78-79 -3.13 4.34 -0.01 0.97 -1.53
3 A Louisville (24-11, 98.0) 95-85 -1.87 5.61 0.01 0.97 10.90
3 A Boston Col (11-20, 95.7) 94-70 -4.19 3.29 0.01 0.97 6.40
3 H California (22-12, 97.1) 69-73 -2.76 4.72 -0.01 0.97 -1.34
3 H Stanford (20-13, 97.2) 75-95 -2.71 4.76 -0.01 0.97 -1.32
3 H Miami (Fl) (26- 9, 98.0) 69-77 -1.93 5.54 -0.01 0.97 -0.94
3 H Florida St (18-15, 97.2) 78-91 -2.68 4.79 -0.01 0.97 -1.31
3 A Syracuse (15-17, 96.8) 86-69 -3.13 4.34 0.01 0.97 8.46
3 H Louisville (24-11, 98.0) 58-62 -1.87 5.61 -0.01 0.97 -0.91
3 H Miami (OH) (30- 4, 97.4) 79-89 -2.50 4.97 -0.01 0.97 -1.22
------
137.83
|
winning pts = 152.3270 losing points = -14.4924
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------