St. Bonnies
W-L: (17-17) PR = 95.7731Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 1103 A Bradley MV (23-12, 96.1) 69-63 1108 A Canisius MAAC (10-21, 93.9) 89-70 1112 A Siena MAAC (23-12, 95.3) 75-66 1115 A Youngstown St HL (15-17, 94.8) 84-80 1120 A Robert Morris HL (22-11, 95.8) 75-61 1125 H No Carolina ACC (24- 9, 98.2) 70-85 1127 A Ea Carolina AME (12-19, 95.1) 67-58 1130 A Florida Atl AME (18-14, 96.1) 70-65 1203 A BLMBR 83-43 1206 A Buffalo MA (17-14, 95.4) 77-69 1210 A Colgate PAT (18-15, 94.7) 85-77 1213 H Ohio MA (15-17, 95.2) 83-88 1220 A Le Moyne NE L (15-17, 94.1) 92-81 1231 H VCU A10 (29- 8, 97.6) 82-89 107 H Richmond A10 (15-17, 95.5) 80-89 110 H Fordham A10 (17-15, 95.4) 77-81 114 H St Joseph's A10 (25-12, 96.5) 64-68 117 H La Salle A10 ( 9-23, 95.0) 74-78 120 A Loyola Chic A10 ( 9-23, 94.9) 84-70 123 H St Louis A10 (29- 6, 97.6) 62-97 128 A Duquesne A10 (18-15, 95.9) 87-79 131 H George Mason A10 (23-10, 96.6) 73-77 203 H Dayton A10 (24-12, 96.9) 70-72 207 A Fordham A10 (17-15, 95.4) 70-67 214 H Duquesne A10 (18-15, 95.9) 73-78 218 H St Joseph's A10 (25-12, 96.5) 65-71 221 H Richmond A10 (15-17, 95.5) 94-99 226 A Rhode Island A10 (16-16, 95.6) 94-76 228 H George Mason A10 (23-10, 96.6) 58-71 304 H George Wash A10 (19-16, 96.0) 82-91 307 H Davidson A10 (20-15, 96.2) 63-68 311 A La Salle A10 ( 9-23, 95.0) 99-80 312 A George Mason A10 (23-10, 96.6) 63-57 313 H Dayton A10 (24-12, 96.9) 63-68
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1103 A Bradley 69-63 6 0 + 2.35
1108 A Canisius 89-70 19 2 0.19
1112 A Siena 75-66 9 0 1.54
1115 A Youngstown St 84-80 4 1 1.00
1120 A Robert Morris 75-61 14 0 + 2.05
1125 H No Carolina 70-85 -15 -2 0.00
1127 A Ea Carolina 67-58 9 1 1.30
1130 A Florida Atl 70-65 5 0 + 2.32
1206 A Buffalo 77-69 8 0 1.59
1210 A Colgate 85-77 8 1 0.94
1213 H Ohio 83-88 -5 1 - -2.54
1220 A Le Moyne 92-81 11 2 0.31
1231 H VCU 82-89 -7 -2 -0.20
107 H Richmond 80-89 -9 0 - -2.27
110 H Fordham 77-81 -4 0 - -2.39
114 H St Joseph's 64-68 -4 -1 -1.29
117 H La Salle 74-78 -4 1 - -2.79
120 A Loyola Chic 84-70 14 1 1.16
123 H St Louis 62-97 -35 -2 -0.15
128 A Duquesne 87-79 8 0 + 2.18
131 H George Mason 73-77 -4 -1 -1.20
203 H Dayton 70-72 -2 -1 -0.83
207 A Fordham 70-67 3 0 1.63
214 H Duquesne 73-78 -5 0 -1.84
218 H St Joseph's 65-71 -6 -1 -1.29
221 H Richmond 94-99 -5 0 - -2.27
226 A Rhode Island 94-76 18 0 1.86
228 H George Mason 58-71 -13 -1 -1.20
304 H George Wash 82-91 -9 0 -1.75
307 H Davidson 63-68 -5 0 -1.63
311 A La Salle 99-80 19 1 1.23
312 A George Mason 63-57 6 -1 + 2.82
313 H Dayton 63-68 -5 -1 -0.83
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1213 H Ohio 83-88 -5 1 - -2.54 107 H Richmond 80-89 -9 0 - -2.27 110 H Fordham 77-81 -4 0 - -2.39 117 H La Salle 74-78 -4 1 - -2.79 221 H Richmond 94-99 -5 0 - -2.27 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1103 A Bradley 69-63 6 0 + 2.35 1120 A Robert Morris 75-61 14 0 + 2.05 1130 A Florida Atl 70-65 5 0 + 2.32 128 A Duquesne 87-79 8 0 + 2.18 312 A George Mason 63-57 6 -1 + 2.82 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 33.01
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A Bradley (23-12, 96.1) 69-63 -3.79 3.69 0.01 1.00 7.41
3 A Canisius (10-21, 93.9) 89-70 -5.95 1.53 0.01 1.00 3.07
3 A Siena (23-12, 95.3) 75-66 -4.60 2.88 0.01 1.00 5.78
3 A Youngstown St (15-17, 94.8) 84-80 -5.13 2.34 0.01 1.00 4.71
3 A Robert Morris (22-11, 95.8) 75-61 -4.08 3.39 0.01 1.00 6.81
3 H No Carolina (24- 9, 98.2) 70-85 -1.71 5.77 -0.01 1.00 -0.86
3 A Ea Carolina (12-19, 95.1) 67-58 -4.84 2.63 0.01 1.00 5.29
3 A Florida Atl (18-14, 96.1) 70-65 -3.82 3.66 0.01 1.00 7.34
3 A Buffalo (17-14, 95.4) 77-69 -4.55 2.93 0.01 1.00 5.88
3 A Colgate (18-15, 94.7) 85-77 -5.20 2.28 0.01 1.00 4.58
3 H Ohio (15-17, 95.2) 83-88 -4.66 2.82 -0.01 1.00 -2.33
3 A Le Moyne (15-17, 94.1) 92-81 -5.83 1.64 0.01 1.00 3.31
3 H VCU (29- 8, 97.6) 82-89 -2.32 5.16 -0.01 1.00 -1.16
3 H Richmond (15-17, 95.5) 80-89 -4.38 3.09 -0.01 1.00 -2.20
3 H Fordham (17-15, 95.4) 77-81 -4.51 2.97 -0.01 1.00 -2.26
3 H St Joseph's (25-12, 96.5) 64-68 -3.41 4.07 -0.01 1.00 -1.71
3 H La Salle ( 9-23, 95.0) 74-78 -4.91 2.57 -0.01 1.00 -2.46
3 A Loyola Chic ( 9-23, 94.9) 84-70 -4.97 2.50 0.01 1.00 5.03
3 H St Louis (29- 6, 97.6) 62-97 -2.27 5.21 -0.01 1.00 -1.14
3 A Duquesne (18-15, 95.9) 87-79 -3.95 3.52 0.01 1.00 7.07
3 H George Mason (23-10, 96.6) 73-77 -3.31 4.16 -0.01 1.00 -1.66
3 H Dayton (24-12, 96.9) 70-72 -2.95 4.52 -0.01 1.00 -1.48
3 A Fordham (17-15, 95.4) 70-67 -4.51 2.97 0.01 1.00 5.95
3 H Duquesne (18-15, 95.9) 73-78 -3.95 3.52 -0.01 1.00 -1.98
3 H St Joseph's (25-12, 96.5) 65-71 -3.41 4.07 -0.01 1.00 -1.71
3 H Richmond (15-17, 95.5) 94-99 -4.38 3.09 -0.01 1.00 -2.20
3 A Rhode Island (16-16, 95.6) 94-76 -4.28 3.20 0.01 1.00 6.42
3 H George Mason (23-10, 96.6) 58-71 -3.31 4.16 -0.01 1.00 -1.66
3 H George Wash (19-16, 96.0) 82-91 -3.86 3.61 -0.01 1.00 -1.94
3 H Davidson (20-15, 96.2) 63-68 -3.75 3.73 -0.01 1.00 -1.88
3 A La Salle ( 9-23, 95.0) 99-80 -4.91 2.57 0.01 1.00 5.16
3 A George Mason (23-10, 96.6) 63-57 -3.31 4.16 0.01 1.00 8.35
3 H Dayton (24-12, 96.9) 63-68 -2.95 4.52 -0.01 1.00 -1.48
------
62.03
|
winning pts = 92.1476 losing points = -30.1185
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------